Isolated severe thunderstorms developed in a warm and humid air mass in the vicinity of an area of low pressure. Only one damage report was received of a tree limb down in Breathitt County.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JKL wrote it up.
Isolated severe thunderstorms developed in a warm and humid air mass in the vicinity of an area of low pressure. Only one damage report was received of a tree limb down in Breathitt County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 19, 3:11 PM EST, 4 hours 2 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 411 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2007 .SHORT TERM.../TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...UPDATED CURRENT SFC CHART HAS A WARM FNT FROM CNTRL W/VA TO AROUND CMH TO JUST S OF GARY TO AROUND DVN. NUMEROUS SHRA/TSRA ALONG AND NORTH OF THIS FNT WITH SCT SHRA ACROSS CNTRL IN/IL AND ALSO OVER NWRN TN/SCNTRL KY. GUSTY WINDS AND COPIOUS MOISTURE STREAMING INTO ERN KY COUPLED WITH TEMPS AT OR ABOVE 90 AND WE SHOULD HAVE SOME ACTIVITY BEFORE SUNSET. THE REMNANTS OF ERIN CONTINUE TO SPIN OVER ERN OK BUT DISCONNECTED FROM THE UPPER LVL FLOW AND THE SFC BNDRY ACROSS THE CNTRL PLAINS. MODELS HAVE NOT HAD VERY GOOD CONTINUITY AND ARE NOT IN REAL CLOSE AGREEMENT...SO THE CONFIDENCE IN THIS FCST IS LOW. POSITION OF THE FNTL BNDRY WILL REMAIN TO OUR NORTH AND BULK OF PCPN WILL STAY ALONG OR NORTH OF THE FNT. THAT SAID...THERE IS MORE THAN ENUF MOISTURE AND WITH GOOD SFC HEATING AND A DECENT WIND GRADIENT...THAT ANY BNDRY OR OUTFLOW WILL BE ENUF TO INITIATE PCPN SO CHC POPS WILL PREVAIL...ESP FOR THE NRN HALF OF THE CWFA. ERIN TO FINALLY GET ABSORBED INTO THE FNTL BNDRY AND ITS ASSOC MOISTURE AND VORT WILL CRETE A LARGE ENUF WV ON THE FNT TO BRING A LITTLE BETTER POP AND HAVE GONE WITH GOOD CHC FOR MON NITE/TUE FOR MAINLY NORTH OF THE MTN PARKWAY. WITH THE AREA IN THE WARM SECTOR SOUTH OF THE FNT TEMPS WILL CONTINUE TO PRESS TOWARDS...AND AT TIMES...EXCEED THE 90 DEG MARK DURING THE DAY. HIGH HUMIDITY WILL CONTINUE AND HEAT INDICIES COULD EXCEED 100...ESP IN OUR SWRN COUNTIES. .LONG TERM.../WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...UPDATED MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW GOOD AGREEMENT WITH BROAD...BUT PROGRESSIVE ZONAL FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN TIER OF THE CONUS. A HIGH PRESSURE CENTER WILL HOVER ROUGHLY OVER THE SOUTHEAST...DEEP SOUTH. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF DEVELOP AND MOVE A TROUGH OUT OF THE FAR NORTHWEST AND INTO THE GREAT PLAINS...BEFORE MOVING IT INTO THE MIDWEST LATE IN THE PERIOD. OPERATIONAL GFS CONTINUES TO COME IN FASTEST WITH THE EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF THIS FEATURE. HOWEVER...ALL MODELS HAVE TRENDED SLOWER WITH THE MOST RECENT RUNS. THIS TROUGH WILL REFLECT A DEVELOPING SFC FRONTAL SYSTEM ACROSS THE PLAINS OR MIDWEST BY SATURDAY. THOUGHTS ARE THE OPERATIONAL GFS CONTINUES TO BE TOO FAST WITH THE SYSTEM. INTERESTINGLY...THE GFS ENSEMBLE IS THE SLOWEST... HOLDING THE FRONT UP UNTIL SUNDAY PROPER...WHICH WAS THE PREFERRED TIMING ORIGINALLY. HOWEVER...USING A BLEND OF THE MODEL SOLUTIONS WOULD BRING THE SYSTEM THROUGH OUR AREA SATURDAY NIGHT...WHICH ALSO IS IN BETTER AGREEMENT WITH HPC GUIDANCE. THEREFORE...LEANED CLOSER TO THE BLEND WITH THE BOUNDARY MAKING IT THROUGH OUR CWA SOMETIME LATE SATURDAY NIGHT...EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. ONLY WENT WITH CHANCE POPS THIS FAR OUT AS CONCERN IS THAT MODELS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOW THIS SYSTEM DOWN WITH TIME. OTHERWISE...KEPT A SLIGHT POP GOING FOR MAINLY THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING TIME PERIODS. ANOTHER CONCERN IS TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE GFS IS SHOWING 1000 TO 850 MB THICKNESSES APPROACHING VALUES THAT SET RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE COAL FIELDS LAST WEEK FOR SEVERAL DAYS. WITH THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILDING BACK INTO THE VICINITY...EXPECT A RETURN TO SIMILAR CONDITIONS AS LAST WEEK WITH DAILY HIGHS CLIMBING SOLIDLY INTO THE MID 90S...AND EVEN APPROACHING THE CENTURY MARK FOR A DAY OR TWO AT A FEW LOCATIONS. WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY LOOK TO BE THE WARMEST DAYS OF THE UPCOMING WEEK. FRIDAY APPEARS JUST A TAD COOLER AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING BEGINS TO WEAKEN IN RESPONSE TO APPROACHING TROUGH. FIGURE THAT WITH HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES...DEW POINTS RETURNING TO THE AREA...ADDITIONAL HEAT ADVISORIES MAY HAVE TO BE CONSIDERED LATER IN THE WEEK. && .AVIATION.../18Z TO 18Z/ A VERY WARM...HAZY AND MORE HUMID AIR MASS HAS RETURNED TO EASTERN KENTUCKY ON THE BACK OF A DECENT SOUTHERLY GRADIENT WIND. A SCT CU FIELD IS FORMING AND PUSHING NORTHWARD FROM THE SOUTH. HOWEVER...EXPECT HIGH...RATHER THICK CI WILL HELP SUPPRESS CU FORMATION FURTHER NORTH. POTENTIAL STILL EXISTS FOR SOME ISOLATED CONVECTION LATER IN THE AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB TO THE CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURE...UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100. FCST SOUNDINGS CONTINUE TO ADVERTISE THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME WIND SHEAR LATER TONIGHT AS WELL. MONDAY LOOK ALMOST LIKE A REPLAY OF TODAY. BOTTOM LINE...NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST OTHER THAN TO INCREASE WINDS. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE. && SHORT TERM...DUSTY LONG TERM...RAY AVIATION...RAY
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 437 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2007 KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-202345- FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ROCKCASTLE- JACKSON-PULASKI-LAUREL-WAYNE-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN- ELLIOTT-MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT- OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-MARTIN-PIKE- 437 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN KENTUCKY. THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DIMINISH AFTER SUNSET. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE FROM MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME STORMS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...ESPECIALLY FOR LOCATIONS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE MOUNTAIN PARKWAY. TEMPERATURES WILL SOAR EACH DAY AND WITH THE HIGH HUMIDITY...HEAT INDICES COULD EXCEED 100 EACH AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY FOR AREAS IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY ALONG I 75 AND SOUTH OF THE HAL ROGERS PARKWAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. JP/DUSTY
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 356 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2007 KYZ084-192030- MCCREARY- 356 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT SOUTHERN MCCREARY COUNTY THROUGH 430 PM EDT SUNDAY AFTERNOON... AT 355 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF BLUE HERON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR BLUE HERON AROUND 410 PM EDT...STEARNS AROUND 425 PM EDT...WHITLEY CITY AROUND 430 PM EDT. RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO ONE INCH PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM. TAKE SHELTER IMMEDIATELY. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER THEN LIGHTNING IS CLOSE ENOUGH TO BE A HAZARD. RAY
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 509 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2007 KYZ084-192145- MCCREARY- 509 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN MCCREARY COUNTY THROUGH 545 PM EDT SUNDAY AFTERNOON... AT 509 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR STRUNK... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR PINE KNOT AROUND 515 PM EDT...WHITLEY CITY AROUND 520 PM EDT...MARSHES SIDING AROUND 525 PM EDT...HOLLYHILL AROUND 530 PM EDT... RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...AS WELL AS FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY. GEOGERIAN
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 608 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2007 KYZ116-192245- CLAY- 608 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM TO AFFECT NORTHERN CLAY COUNTY THROUGH 645 PM EDT SUNDAY EVENING... AT 608 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BERNICE... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR BERNICE AROUND 615 PM EDT...MILL POND AROUND 620 PM EDT...TANKSLEY AROUND 625 PM EDT...WILD CAT AROUND 635 PM EDT...HENSLEY AROUND 640 PM EDT... RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IN THESE AREAS. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY. GEOGERIAN
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 652 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2007 KYZ115-117-192315- PERRY-LESLIE- 652 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT CENTRAL PERRY AND NORTHWESTERN LESLIE COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM EDT SUNDAY EVENING... AT 652 PM EDT...AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED NEAR SIZEROCK...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. THESE STORMS WILL BE NEAR SHOAL AROUND 700 PM EDT...KALIOPI AROUND 705 PM EDT...DRYHILL AROUND 710 PM EDT...TOULOUSE AROUND 715 PM EDT... RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IN THESE AREAS. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY. GEOGERIAN
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 708 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2007 KYZ112-192345- BREATHITT- 708 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT NORTHERN BREATHITT COUNTY THROUGH 745 PM EDT SUNDAY EVENING... AT 708 PM EDT...AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED NEAR GENTRY...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR JACKSON AROUND 715 PM EDT...KECK AROUND 720 PM EDT...TAULBEE AROUND 725 PM EDT...ROCK LICK AROUND 730 PM EDT... STEVENSON AROUND 735 PM EDT... RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...AS WELL AS FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES IN THESE AREAS. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY. GEOGERIAN
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 740 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2007 KYZ109-112-200015- MAGOFFIN-BREATHITT- 740 PM EDT SUN AUG 19 2007 ...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT MAGOFFIN AND NORTHEASTERN BREATHITT COUNTIES THROUGH 815 PM EDT SUNDAY EVENING... AT 740 PM EDT...AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WAS LOCATED NEAR BAYS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THE STORMS WILL BE NEAR DALE AROUND 745 PM EDT...CORNELIA AROUND 750 PM EDT...FORAKER AROUND 755 PM EDT...HENDRICKS AROUND 800 PM EDT... LAKESVILLE AROUND 805 PM EDT... RESIDENTS SHOULD EXPECT VERY HEAVY RAIN...WITH RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR...GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES...AS WELL AS SMALL HAIL IN THESE AREAS. THE HEAVY RAIN WILL LIKELY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADWAYS. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO DRIVE CAREFULLY. GEOGERIAN
The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 9 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 00:12 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Large tree branch blown down near Highway 3193 bridge over river.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, August 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 51027.