Heavy thunderstorms caused areas of flooding for portions of extreme southeast Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS SGF wrote it up.
Heavy thunderstorms caused areas of flooding for portions of extreme southeast Kansas and the Missouri Ozarks.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 24, 1:25 AM CST, 20 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 225 AM CDT SAT MAR 24 2007 .DISCUSSION... WARM CONVEYOR BELT PROCESSES COMMENCED OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS OF TEXAS INTO WESTERN KANSAS. A LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION WAS THE PRIMARY RESULT WITHIN THE EASTERN FLANK OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST CUTOFF CIRCULATION. ANOTHER CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ONGOING ACROSS NORTHEAST KANSAS AND MOVING INTO NORTHWEST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN IOWA. THIS CLUSTER MUCH LIKE ITS PREDECESSORS WAS MAINLY ESTABLISHED FROM AN ENHANCED AREA OF JET STREAM LEVEL DIVERGENCE. THE INITIAL FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR TODAYS PERIOD HOWEVER...DEALT WITH TEMPERATURES...WITH PRECIP CHANCES SOMEWHAT PROBLEMATIC THROUGH MUCH OF NEXT WORK WEEK. SHORT TERM (TODAY - MONDAY)... WRF ISENTROPIC ANALYSIS WITHIN A LAYER FROM 300K TO 310K SUGGESTED THAT A DECENT EAST TO WEST BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT ACROSS THE CWA AFTER 12Z THIS MORNING. FLOW OVER THIS FEATURE WOULD CAUSE AN ENHANCED BELT OF PRESSURE ADVECTION FORCING...POTENTIALLY CAUSING A BAND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO DEVELOP. WRF QPF FIELDS DO NOT SUPPORT ANY CONVECTION OCCURRING FROM THIS...WHILE THE GFS ISENTROPIC FIELDS INDICATE THIS BAROCLINICITY SETTING UP WELL NORTH OF THE CWA. WITH LITTLE CHANCES OF HIGH PLAINS CONVECTION MOVING INTO THE REGION AND LIGHT SUPPORT OF THE WRFS ISENTROPIC LIFT PROGS...ILL LIKELY REMOVE THE MENTION OF PRECIPITATION THROUGH TODAY. POINT SOUNDINGS ALSO SUGGEST A HUGE CAP DEVELOPING THROUGH THE DAY...MAINLY DUE TO MID LEVEL DRYING ALONG WITH STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION WITHIN THE 850-700 MB LAYER. WHICH BRINGS ME TO OUR INITIAL FORECAST CONCERN REGARDING TEMPERATURES. WITH A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS ALONG WITH STRONG WARM AIR ADVECTION THROUGH THE DAY...WOULD THINK THAT AREAS EXPERIENCING DECENT SUN WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 70S AND LOWER 80S THIS AFTERNOON. MOS GUIDANCE SUPPORTS THIS THINKING...AND LOADED TODAYS TEMP GRID CLOSE TO THE MAV GUIDANCE. SUNDAYS TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO TODAY...WITH PERIODS OF BOTH SUN AND CLOUDS. MODELS INDICATE THAT THE MAIN CUTOFF CIRCULATION WILL SHIFT NORTH INTO THE HIGH PLAINS AND EVENTUALLY UPPER MIDWEST...CONFINING ITS FORCING WELL NORTH OF THE CWA THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEKEND. MEANING THAT THERE IS A CHANCE THAT EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI OZARKS WILL REMAIN DRY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. PASSING CLOUD COVER...SOUTHERLY WINDS...AND WARM TEMPERATURES SHOULD DOMINATE THE SENSIBLE CONDITIONS INTO SUNDAY NIGHT. HOWEVER I LIKE THE GFSS SOLUTION WITH BRINGING IN A CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY NIGHT...MAINLY FROM UPPER DIVERGENCE EAST OF A DESERT SOUTHWEST UPPER TROUGH. WILL LOWER POPS THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...AND INCREASE POPS OVER THE OSAGE PLAINS FOR SUNDAY NIGHT. PRECIP CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY AS THE SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE PIPELINE BECOMES RE-ESTABLISHED OVER TEXAS...OKLAHOMA...AND THROUGH MISSOURI. WILL ADJUST POPS ACCORDINGLY IN MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHTS GRIDS. LONG TERM (TUESDAY - FRIDAY)... PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT AS THE DESERT TROUGH GRADUALLY SWINGS OVER THE CWA. LITTLE SURFACE REFLECTION WILL ALLOW A CONTINUATION OF WARM GULF AIR TO SPREAD UNDERNEATH COOLING MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES IN RESPONSE TO THE SHORTWAVE PASSAGE. THIS WILL OFFER SOME DESTABILIZATION FOR CONVECTION...AND THE GFS QPF FIELDS SUPPORT THIS THOUGHT. MEANWHILE A REINFORCING WAVE OF TROUGHING WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE INTERMOUNTAIN WEST BY WEDNESDAY. LOW LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE WHILE A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST BY THURSDAY. FOR THE MOST PART...THE OVERALL PATTERN OFFERED BY THE ECMWF SOLUTION IS SIMILAR TO THE GFS. DEPENDING UPON INSTABILITY...THIS MAY BE OUR NEXT SHOT FOR AN EPISODE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS. AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES ARE CONCERNED NEXT WORK WEEK...AFTERNOON READINGS IN THE 70S AND 80S WILL OCCUR ON A DAILY BASIS...WHILE OVERNIGHT LOWS FALL INTO THE UPPER 50S AND 60S. CRAMER && .AVIATION... FOR THE 06Z TAF PACKAGE...WILL KEEP VFR CONDITIONS GOING THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. CURRENT TRAJECTORY OF STORMS TO OUR WEST OVER CENTRAL KANSAS TAKES STORMS NORTHWEST OF OUR AIRPORTS...SO WILL LEAVE THUNDER OUT OF TAFS FOR TONIGHT. STILL LOOKS LIKE WINDS WILL STAY UP AROUND 10 KNOTS THROUGH THE NIGHT WHICH SHOULD KEEP LOWER LEVELS MIXED ENOUGH TO LIMIT FOG POTENTIAL. HAVE CARRIED VICINITY THUNDER AFTER 18Z AS MOIST AIRMASS OVER THE REGION DESTABILIZED WITH AFTERNOON HEATING. TERRY && .SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MO...NONE. KS...NONE. WFO SGF
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO 1035 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007 KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-241200- BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON- ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS- LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON- LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE- TANEY-OZARK-OREGON- 1035 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED: THUNDERSTORMS AND LOCALIZED FLOODING. AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING: THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AFTER MIDNIGHT OVER THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK AREA. LOCALIZED FLOODING IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI. DISCUSSION: WHILE THE MAIN FOCUS FOR STORM DEVELOPMENT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT WILL REMAIN TO THE NORTH AND WEST OF THE OZARKS...ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE NIGHT AS A WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS REMAINS OVER THE AREA. LOW LYING AREAS THAT WERE FLOODED IN CHEROKEE...JASPER...DADE AND BARTON COUNTIES WILL LIKELY REMAIN INUNDATED THROUGH THE NIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND ESPECIALLY FROM SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI. THE CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK ON ALMOST A DAILY BASIS. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT. && THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE) TERRY
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
850 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0422 PM FLASH FLOOD CARTHAGE 37.18N 94.31W
03/23/2007 JASPER MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
INTERSECTION OF CIVIL WAR AND LOCUST CLOSED DUE TO
FLOODING. ALSO 2 SW OF CARTHAGE AT INTERSECTION OF COUNTY
ROAD 170 AND JACK PINE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.
&&
GCLAYCOMPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
959 PM CDT FRI MAR 23 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1227 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 SE COLUMBUS 37.14N 94.81W
03/23/2007 CHEROKEE KS EMERGENCY MNGR
FLOODING REPORTED OVER CLEMS ROAD EAST OF HIGHWAY 69
ALONG THE TRIBUTARIES OF BRUSH CREEK.
1233 PM FLASH FLOOD WEBB CITY 37.15N 94.48W
03/23/2007 JASPER MO PUBLIC
MAIN STREET AND BROADWAY FLOODED. SEVERAL INCHES COVERING
INTERSECTION.
1250 PM HEAVY RAIN 1 NW CARTHAGE 37.19N 94.32W
03/23/2007 U0.00 INCH JASPER MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
DEPUTIES REPORTED WATER OVER THE ROAD AT COUNTY ROAD 170
AND JACK PINE ROAD.
0100 PM FLASH FLOOD 1 NW CARTHAGE 37.19N 94.32W
03/23/2007 JASPER MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
ROAD IS CLOSED AT THE INTERSECTION OF COUNTY ROAD 170 AND
JACK PINE ROAD IN THE VICINITY OF SPRING RIVER.
0100 PM FLASH FLOOD CARL JUNCTION 37.18N 94.57W
03/23/2007 JASPER MO FIRE DEPT/RESCUE
ROADS AND WALKWAYS CLOSED IN CARL JUNCTION PARK.
0300 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 W LAWTON 37.22N 94.71W
03/23/2007 CHEROKEE KS EMERGENCY MNGR
ROADS FLOODED 6 FEET DEEP EAST AND WEST OF THE
INTERSECTION OF LAWTON ROAD AND NORTHWEST 40TH.
0300 PM FLASH FLOOD 3 E WEIR 37.31N 94.72W
03/23/2007 CHEROKEE KS EMERGENCY MNGR
ROAD FLOODED AT THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 69 AND
HIGHWAY 103.
0315 PM FLASH FLOOD 4 N COLUMBUS 37.23N 94.84W
03/23/2007 CHEROKEE KS EMERGENCY MNGR
PORTION OF HIGHWAY K-7 CLOSED BY KANSAS DOT NORTH OF
COLUMBUS. ROAD HAS CAVED IN.
0400 PM FLASH FLOOD LOCKWOOD 37.39N 93.95W
03/23/2007 DADE MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
ELM STREET IN LOCKWOOD FLOODED
0422 PM FLASH FLOOD CARTHAGE 37.18N 94.31W
03/23/2007 JASPER MO LAW ENFORCEMENT
INTERSECTION OF CIVIL WAR AND LOCUST CLOSED DUE TO
FLOODING. ALSO 2 SW OF CARTHAGE AT INTERSECTION OF COUNTY
ROAD 170 AND JACK PINE CLOSED DUE TO FLOODING.
0430 PM FLASH FLOOD LOCKWOOD 37.39N 93.95W
03/23/2007 DADE MO CO-OP OBSERVER
STREET FLOODING
0705 PM FLASH FLOOD 2 E GOLDEN CITY 37.39N 94.06W
03/23/2007 DADE MO EMERGENCY MNGR
KYLE CREEK EAST OF GOLDEN CITY AND MUDDY CREEK JUST NORTH
OF GOLDEN CITY OUT OF THEIR BANKS.
&&
TERRYPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
152 AM CDT SAT MAR 24 2007
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1226 AM FLOOD GIRARD 37.51N 94.84W
03/24/2007 CRAWFORD KS TRAINED SPOTTER
A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED THAT SEVERAL UNSPECIFIED RURAL
COUNTY ROADS WERE FLOODED. REPORT RECEIVED BY ESPOTTER.
COULD NOT CONFIRM ANY ROAD CLOSURES WITH LAW ENFORCEMENT
AT THIS TIME.
&&
DSAThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Heavy thunderstorms, which continued to move over the same area, caused flooding to occur across the county. Several rural roads and low water crossing were underwater and impassable to motorists.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kansas in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Kansas, March 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 23665.