Hail, Elkhart
- When
- March 1, 3:36 PM EST to 3:37 PM EST
- Where
- Elkhart County, 2.14 mi NNW of Middlebury
- Measured
- 1 in hail
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 41.710, -85.710
Hail in Indiana, March 1, 2007
A strong area of low pressure drew in warm and unstable air into the area, sparking several rounds of thunderstorms much of March 1st. By afternoon, sufficent lift and energy arrived to allow for isolated severe storms.
Where it happened
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
The toll
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 2
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What happened
The episode as NWS IWX wrote it up.
A strong area of low pressure drew in warm and unstable air into the area, sparking several rounds of thunderstorms much of March 1st. By afternoon, sufficent lift and energy arrived to allow for isolated severe storms.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 1, 2:30 PM EST, 1 hour 6 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 1, 2:30 PM EST, 1 hour 6 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
230 PM EST THU MAR 1 2007
.SHORT TERM...
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...WARMER AIR GRADUALLY MOVG INTO THE AREA THIS
AFTN, HWVR, A CLEAR SLOT HAS DEVELOPED JUST AHEAD OF THE CDFNT
ACROSS WRN IL AND TEMPS HAVE RISEN TO THE LOW 50S AS FAR NORTH AS
PIA AT 18Z, SO STILL SOME POTENTIAL FOR SFC BASED STORMS WITH
DAMAGING WINDS ACROSS SRN PORTIONS OF OUR CWA, WHILE ACROSS THE
NORTH THE MAIN THREAT IS LARGE HAIL AS STORMS NEAR FRONT SHOULD
REMAINED ELEVATED IN THIS AREA. FRONT WILL MOVE QUICKLY EAST ACROSS
THE CWA THIS EVE ENDING THUNDERSTORM THREAT BY 06Z. GFS BRINGS LIGHT
SNOW IN WRAP AROUND BEHIND THE FRONT QUICKER THAN THE NAM, BUT THE
NAM APPEARS TO BE VERIFYING BETTER ACROSS MO THIS AFTN SO JUST
EXPECTING FLURRIES LATE TONIGHT. WINDS A CONCERN AS SWLY WINDS ARE
NEAR ADVISORY CRITERIA BEHIND THE FRONT ATTM ACROSS WRN IL AND ERN
MO. EXPECT WINDS WILL INCREASE FROM THE SW BEHIND THE FRONT HERE
TONIGHT BUT WITH LOSS OF DIURNAL MIXING KEPT BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA
FOR NOW. GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN TOMORROW AND AGAIN WILL BE CLOSE TO
ADVISORY CRITERIA. MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT ON MOVG WRAP AROUND
LIGHT SNOW ACROSS MAINLY NW 1/2 OF CWA TOMORROW. ONLY MINOR CHANGES
MADE TO GOING GRIDS. WITH HIGHS EXPECTED TO BE ABOVE FREEZING
DECREASED SNOW ACCUMS SLIGHTLY...EXPECTING AN INCH OR LESS.
&&
.LONG TERM...
FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...THE LARGE UPPER LOW SHOULD BE NEAR
OR OVER LOWER MICHIGAN AT THE BEGINNING OF THE PERIOD. THE LOW WILL
CONTINUE TO FILL AND LIFT NORTHEAST. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES
OVER THE WEEKEND BELOW NORMAL...WITH THE CHANCE FOR SNOW AS COLDER
AIR SPREADS OVER THE AREA. NOT A GOOD SET UP FOR A LOT OF SNOW AS
LAKE EFFECT SNOW WILL BE LIMITED WITH LAKE MICHIGAN TEMPERATURE ONLY
0C TO 1C...AND SOME ICE REMAINING. LOW LEVEL WINDS WINDS SHOULD BE
SOUTHWEST TO WEST FRIDAY NIGHT...AND THEN GRADUALLY BECOME
NORTHWEST. BY THE TIME WINDS BECOME NORTHWEST...THE SYNOPTIC LIFT
WILL BE MINIMAL PER GFS ISENTROPIC SURFACES. ALSO...WITH THIS
LARGE OCCLUDED SYSTEM...THE BULK OF THE MOISTURE WILL BE CUT OFF AS
A NEW LOW DEVELOPS NEAR THE TRIPLE POINT WELL TO THE EAST. EXPECT
OVERALL SNOW AMOUNTS TO BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE...UP TO 3 INCHES AT THE
MOST...WITH MOST TOTAL AMOUNTS AN INCH OR TWO. GUT FEELING IS THE
AMOUNTS IN THE GRIDS MAY BE TOO HIGH. THE GFS CONTINUED TO TREND
TEMPERATURES DOWN OVER THE WEEKEND...AS THE PREVIOUS SHIFT/S HAVE
DONE TO THE ONGOING GRIDS/ZFP. HAVE FOLLOWED THIS PATTERN AS CLOUDS
AND MUCH COLDER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA. AFTER THIS WEEKEND...THE A
DRY PATTERN SHOULD PREVAIL WITH A SLOW MODERATION IN TEMPERATURES AS
THE UPPER LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE WEST. HOWEVER...CONCERN WITH
TEMPERATURES BEING TOO WARM TUESDAY AS AN ARCTIC FRONT ATTEMPTS TO
COME IN THE BACK DOOR/FROM THE NORTHEAST. AT ANY RATE...THERE COULD
BE A SUBSTANTIAL TEMPERATURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY. TRIED
TO HINT AT THIS WITH HILLSDALE HIGH OF 35F TUESDAY...AND LOGANSPORT
NEAR 44F. BY THURSDAY...THE TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE NEAR TO ABOVE
NORMAL OVER THE ENTIRE AREA.
&&
.AVIATION...
SEVERAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN LARGE
AREA OF LIFT ACROSS THE REGION. 2 MORE ORGANIZED AREAS EXIST...ONE
MOVING NE TOWARDS KSBN AND ANOTHER AREA DEPARTING THE KFWA AREA.
ONE SMALL CLUSTER OF STORMS NOTED MOVING TOWARDS KFWA. DUE TO
NATURE OF THE ACTIVITY...EXACT TIMING WILL BE DIFFICULT BUT HAVE
GIVEN IT A SHOT AND ADDED SOME DETAIL INTO TAFS. MAIN FOCUS WILL
BE LATER TODAY WHEN STRONG/SVR SQUALL LINE EXPECTED ON MAIN FRONT.
HAVE ADDED A ONE HOUR GROUP TO HANDLE THIS WITH GUSTS TO 45 KTS.
DAY SHIFT WILL NEED TO MONITOR TRENDS WITH AMENDS LIKELY THROUGH
THE DAY.
&&
.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST /11 PM CST/ TONIGHT FOR
INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034.
MI...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR MIZ077>081.
OH...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT FOR OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025.
LM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EST FRIDAY FOR LMZ043-046.
&&
SHORT TERM/AVIATION...TAYLOR
LONG TERM....SKIPPERHazardous weather outlook, Mar 1, 11:30 AM EST, 4 hours 6 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA 1130 AM EST THU MAR 1 2007 INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005- 015-016-024-025-021000- LA PORTE-ST. JOSEPH IN-ELKHART-LAGRANGE-STEUBEN-NOBLE-DE KALB-STARKE- PULASKI-MARSHALL-FULTON IN-KOSCIUSKO-WHITLEY-ALLEN IN-WHITE-CASS IN- MIAMI-WABASH-HUNTINGTON-WELLS-ADAMS-GRANT-BLACKFORD-JAY-BERRIEN- CASS MI-ST. JOSEPH MI-BRANCH-HILLSDALE-WILLIAMS-FULTON OH-DEFIANCE- HENRY-PAULDING-PUTNAM-VAN WERT-ALLEN OH- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MICHIGAN CITY...LA PORTE...SOUTH BEND... MISHAWAKA...ELKHART...GOSHEN...LAGRANGE...TOPEKA...ANGOLA... KENDALLVILLE...LIGONIER...AUBURN...GARRETT...KNOX...NORTH JUDSON... WINAMAC...FRANCESVILLE...PLYMOUTH...BREMEN...ROCHESTER...WARSAW... WINONA LAKE...COLUMBIA CITY...SOUTH WHITLEY...FORT WAYNE... MONTICELLO...BROOKSTON...LOGANSPORT...PERU...WABASH... NORTH MANCHESTER...HUNTINGTON...BLUFFTON...OSSIAN...DECATUR... BERNE...MARION...HARTFORD CITY...MONTPELIER...PORTLAND...NILES... BENTON HARBOR...ST. JOSEPH...BUCHANAN...DOWAGIAC...CASSOPOLIS... STURGIS...THREE RIVERS...COLDWATER...HILLSDALE...BRYAN...WAUSEON... ARCHBOLD...DEFIANCE...NAPOLEON...PAULDING...ANTWERP...OTTAWA... PANDORA...VAN WERT...DELPHOS...LIMA 1130 AM EST THU MAR 1 2007 /400 AM CST THU MAR 1 2007/ THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST OHIO... SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN AND NORTHERN INDIANA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED INTO THIS EVENING. A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS ILLINOIS TODAY AND RACE EAST INTO THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. THE THREAT EXISTS FOR DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED TORNADO WITH THIS LINE. LOCATIONS WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE TO SEE SEVERE WEATHER ARE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A PLYMOUTH TO FORT WAYNE...TO OTTAWA OHIO LINE. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL COMBINED WITH MELTING SNOW PACK MAY RESULT IN FLOODING ON RIVERS...CREEKS AND IN LOW AREAS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX LMZ043-046-061-021000- NEW BUFFALO MI TO ST JOSEPH MI-MICHIGAN CITY IN TO NEW BUFFALO MI- MICHIGAN CITY IN TO ST JOSEPH MI OUT TO MID LAKE- 1130 AM EST THU MAR 1 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN LAKE MICHIGAN. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...WITH GUSTY WINDS AND SMALL HAIL POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL RESULT IN HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT THROUGH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY SOUTHWEST WINDS TO 30 KNOTS WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE HAZARDOUS CONDITIONS FOR SMALL CRAFT INTO FRIDAY. && STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES...OR CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/IWX/PROGRAMAREAS/MARINE/INDEX.PHP
In the hours before
Local storm report, Mar 1, 10:26 AM EST, 5 hours 10 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1026 AM EST THU MAR 01 2007
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1018 AM FREEZING RAIN MOSCOW 42.05N 84.51W
03/01/2007 M0.10 INCH HILLSDALE MI TRAINED SPOTTER
ICE COVERING SIDEWALKS DRIVEWAYS AND SECONDARY ROADS. US
12 STILL CLEAR. MOSCOW TOWNSHIPLocal storm report, Mar 1, 10:31 AM EST, 5 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
1031 AM EST THU MAR 01 2007
..TIME.. ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE.. ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1030 AM FREEZING RAIN COLDWATER 41.94N 85.00W
03/01/2007 M0.10 INCH BRANCH MI EMERGENCY MNGR
EAST SIDE OF THE COUNTY SECONDARY ROADS ARE SLICK. WEST
SIDE IS NOT BAD YET.The radar
The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 39 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 20:35 UTC.
Event by event
2 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Hail, Elkhart
- When
- March 1, 3:37 PM EST to 3:38 PM EST
- Where
- Elkhart County, 0.86 mi SW of Middlebury
- Measured
- 0.75 in hail
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 41.670, -85.710
Hailed for 10 minutes.
What these are
- Hail
- Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
The same day elsewhere
- Tornadoes and Hail in Alabama, March 1, 2007
- Tornadoes and Damaging Winds in Georgia, March 1 to 2, 2007
- Tornadoes and Flood in Georgia, March 1 to 2, 2007
- Tornadoes and Hail in Alabama, March 1, 2007
- Tornadoes in Missouri, March 1, 2007
- Tornadoes and Flash Flood in Alabama, March 1, 2007
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Iowa, March 1 to 2, 2007
- Blizzard and Lightning Strike in Iowa, March 1 to 2, 2007
- Winter Storm and Winter Weather in Michigan, March 1 to 2, 2007
- Tornado and Hail in Mississippi, March 1, 2007
- Tornado and Damaging Winds in Georgia, March 1 to 2, 2007
- Damaging Wind in Missouri, March 1, 2007
More
Every storm in Indiana in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Indiana, March 2007
Sources
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 9957, 9958.