Rain of one-half to slightly over an inch fell in central and southern Indiana on the 14th and 15th. This caused lowland flooding to return to portions of the White River.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Rain of one-half to slightly over an inch fell in central and southern Indiana on the 14th and 15th. This caused lowland flooding to return to portions of the White River.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 15, 2:50 PM EST, 11 hours 10 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 250 PM CDT MON APR 15 2007 .SHORT TERM... /TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/ ONLY CONCERN FOR THE SHORT TERM IS PATCHY FROST POTENTIAL FOR LATE TONIGHT. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS...THAT HAVE TOPPED 30 KTS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA TODAY...ARE EXPECTED TO WEAKEN CONSIDERABLY TOWARD SUNSET THIS EVENING...AS SURFACE GRADIENT RELAXES AND MIXING SHUTS OFF. THE QUAD STATE IS CURRENTLY IN A NICE HOLE IN THE CU FIELD...WITH THICK 850MB MOISTURE PRESENT JUST WEST OF US OVER MISSOURI. GIVEN THE DIURNAL/CONVECTIVE NATURE OF THESE CLOUDS WOULD EXPECT THEM MOSTLY TO DISSIPATE OVER WESTERN ZONES BY SUNSET. THE NAM AND GFS BOTH DRAG SOME MORE 850MB MOISTURE OVER FAR EASTERN ZONES THIS EVENING AND KEEP IT OVERNIGHT AND INTO MONDAY MORNING. WILL INDICATE SOME MINOR INCREASE IN OTHERWISE CLEAR GRIDS TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS...BUT THE FORECAST WILL REMAIN CLEAR/MOSTLY CLEAR. GUIDANCE FOR TONIGHT KEEPS WINDS UP AOA 4KTS MOST AREAS...SO NOT REAL KEEN ON FROST DEVELOPMENT...DESPITE TEMPERATURES DIPPING INTO THE MID 30S ACROSS THE NORTH. WILL KEEP THE PATCHY FROST MENTION AND ACTUALY EXPAND IT OVER ALL OF THE NORTH WHERE LOWS ARE IN THE MID 30S...BUT WILL NOT ISSUE A FROST ADVISORY. SKIES SHOULD BE MOSTLY SUNNY FOR MONDAY...AS RIDGING ALOFT AND AT THE SURFACE DEVELOPS OVER THE REGION. DESPITE THE SURFACE RIDGING...SOME DECENT NORTHWEST WINDS WILL MIX DOWN AGAIN OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA THROUGH AT LEAST MIDDAY...BUT GUSTS WILL BE MUCH LOWER THAN TODAY. HEADING INTO TUESDAY...A CLOSED LOW WILL PUSH EASTWARD INTO NORTHWEST TEXAS BY 18Z. THE GFS ACTUALLY DEVELOPS A NARROW BAND OF QPF AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM OVER SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA BY 00Z. THIS SEEMS TO BE IN RESPONSE TO SOME 700MB FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING...THAT IS STRONGEST IN THE GFS. THE NAM HAS SOME FORCING AND INCREASING CLOUD COVER...BUT NO PRECIPITATION THIS FAR EAST...AND THE UKMET IS DRY AS WELL. WILL RAMP UP CLOUD COVER IN THE AFTERNOON...BUT HOLD OFF ON POPS FOR NOW...WITH SHORT WAVE RIDGING HOLDING OVER THE REGION. AS FOR SHORT TERM TEMPERATURES...GENERALLY WENT AT OR BELOW LOW GUIDANCE FOR TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY MONDAY NIGHT...WHEN BONAFIDE RADIATIONAL COOLING SCENARIO IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. GENERALLY FAVORED THE WARMER MAV GUIDANCE FOR HIGHS MONDAY AND TUESDAY. TUESDAY MAY NOT BE WARM ENOUGH...IF THE CLOUDS ARE NOT AS THICK AS CURRENTLY ADVERTISED. MODEL LOW LEVEL TEMPERATURE FORECASTS ARE CONSIDERABLY WARMER TUESDAY THAN ON MONDAY. .LONG TERM... /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/ CLOSED LOW CURRENTLY OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA IS STILL FORECAST TO EJECT EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN STATES MONDAY AND TUESDAY BEFORE BEING ABSORBED BY A DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION AROUND MID WEEK. AS THIS OCCURS...THE BEST DYNAMICS AND MOISTURE SHOULD KEEP MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION TO OUR SOUTH. HOWEVER...GFS STILL SHOWS THE POSSIBILITY OF MEASURING A FEW HUNDREDTHS TUESDAY NIGHT...SO WILL KEEP SLIGHT CHANCE POPS IN FOR NOW. THIS STILL BLENDS WELL IN A COLLABORATIVE SENSE. BEYOND THE TUESDAY NIGHT SYSTEM...GFS...ECMWF...AND DGEX MODEL SUITE ALL BUILD A STRONG RIDGE INTO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN UNITED STATES BY MID TO LATE WEEK. SO AFTER A SHORT-LIVED MID-WEEK COOL DOWN BEHIND THE FRONT...TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE BACK TOWARDS MORE SEASONABLE VALUES BY LATE WEEK...AND EVEN ABOVE NORMAL BY THE WEEKEND. THERE IS SOME HINT THE PATTERN MAY BECOME MORE ACTIVE BY SUNDAY...BUT WILL KEEP FROM INTRODUCING POPS AT THIS TIME UNTIL MORE CERTAINTY DEVELOPS. UTILIZING A BLEND OF HPC AND MEX GUIDANCE FOR MID TO LATE WEEK WORKED WELL COLLABORATIVELY. BY THE WEEKEND...RELIED ON WARMER HPC NUMBERS DURING THE DAY WITH A MEX/HPC BLEND AT NIGHT. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. && DRS/RP
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 1116 AM CDT SUN APR 15 2007 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087- 100-107>112-114-161000- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON- WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE- HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH- WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES- LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL- UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 1116 AM CDT SUN APR 15 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL GUST UP TO 30 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. SCATTERED AREAS OF FROST MAY DEVELOP AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED DRS
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding of the White River occurred once again. At Petersburg, the river crested at 16.69 feet on the 17th. This is only slightly above the flood stage of 16 feet. Some low-lying fields were flooded.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Indiana in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Indiana, April 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 21278.