Moderate to heavy rainfall in the middle and upper portions of the Ohio River Valley caused increased river flows. The Ohio River rose above flood stage at Shawneetown, where minor flooding occurred.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.
Moderate to heavy rainfall in the middle and upper portions of the Ohio River Valley caused increased river flows. The Ohio River rose above flood stage at Shawneetown, where minor flooding occurred.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 3, 1:36 PM CST, 7 hours 24 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 136 PM CST SAT MAR 3 2007 .DISCUSSION... LARGE VERTICALLY STACKED LOW CONTINUED TO SPIN NE OF THE GREAT LAKES REGION TODAY. SFC-H8 LI/S BELOW ZERO AND H9/H8 LAPSE RATES EXCEEDING 8 DEG C...COUPLED WITH H7 Q-VEC CONVERGENCE MOVG ESE ACROSS THE FA...RESULTED IN CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS AREA WIDE TODAY...ALONG WITH SCT -SHSN. THE RUC SHOWS A SECOND AXIS OF LOW TROP MOISTURE AND FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES MOVE ESE ACROSS THE FA THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...MID LEVEL QG FORCING FOR UPWARD MOTION SHIFTS EAST. THEREFORE...WILL LINGER ONLY FLURRIES ACROSS THE FA THROUGH MID EVENING...THEN DECREASE CLOUDS OVERNIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP WEATHER CONDITIONS QUIET SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED. A FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY TUESDAY. HOWEVER A LACK OF MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN A DRY FROPA. THE HIGH WILL MOVE EAST...REACHING THE ATLANTIC COAST LATE IN THE WEEK. MEANWHILE...A COLD FRONT WILL TAKE SHAPE ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE NATION. DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. THEN...AS THE FRONT APPROACHES FRIDAY NIGHT...WILL INTRODUCE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. THE LONG RANGE PROGS MOVE THE FRONT ACROSS THE FA SATURDAY. THUS WE WILL KEEP THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS GOING. AS FAR AS TEMPERATURES ARE CONCERNED...BELOW NORMAL READINGS ARE EXPECTED SUNDAY AND TUESDAY. WE USED A BLEND OF FWC/MAV AND MET FOR MAX TEMPS SUNDAY...AND SIDED WITH SLIGHTLY COOLER MEX VALUES FOR TUESDAY...POST FROPA. OTHERWISE...LOOKS LIKE TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR OR A BIT ABOVE NORMAL NEXT WEEK...ESPECIALLY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. &&
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 149 PM CST SAT MAR 3 2007 ILZ075-076-080>082-084>086-088-089-KYZ001>003-006-008-009-011>013- 015>017-020>022-MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114-041100- JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON- SALINE-UNION IL-JOHNSON-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-GRAVES-MARSHALL- CALLOWAY-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-MCLEAN- MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER- RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID- 149 PM CST SAT MAR 3 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...WESTERN KENTUCKY AND SOUTHEAST MISSOURI. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED. ILZ077-078-083-087-090>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ004-005-007-010- 014-018-019-041100- EDWARDS-WABASH-WHITE-GALLATIN-POPE-HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI- MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-WARRICK-SPENCER-BALLARD- MCCRACKEN-LIVINGSTON-CRITTENDEN-UNION KY-HENDERSON-DAVIESS- 149 PM CST SAT MAR 3 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SOME POINTS ON THE WHITE AND WABASH RIVERS ARE JUST ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR MORE INFORMATION. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY SEVERAL POINTS ON THE OHIO...WABASH AND WHITE RIVERS WILL EITHER BE IN FLOOD...OR GO ABOVE FLOOD STAGE. REFER TO THE LATEST FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR MORE INFORMATION. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding of fields and woodlands occurred along the Ohio River. At Shawneetown, where flood stage is 33 feet, the river crested at 37.8 feet on the 9th.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Illinois in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, March 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 18406.