A light steering flow and unstable airmass fueled scattered severe storms across the forecast area along the sea breeze fronts and outflow boundaries. Lingering energy from a decaying MCV system across central Florida enhanced convection.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS JAX wrote it up.
A light steering flow and unstable airmass fueled scattered severe storms across the forecast area along the sea breeze fronts and outflow boundaries. Lingering energy from a decaying MCV system across central Florida enhanced convection.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 25, 8:20 AM EST, 2 hours 30 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 920 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2007 .UPDATE...12Z JAX SOUNDING CAME IN QUITE UNSTABLE...3500 J/KG CAPE AT 12Z USING 950-970MB SATURATED PARCEL. WEAK LIFT OF MOIST AIR LEADING TO INCREASING LOW/MID CLOUDINESS AS SHOWN ON SATLT IMAGERY...WITH INCREASING SHOWERS/TSRA JAX NWD. VERY WEAK SHEAR BUT WILL MONITOR CLOSELY FOR ANY STRONG OUTFLOW...LIKELY TO BE SOMEWHAT LIMITED IN MOIST ENVIRONMENT PER SOUNDING. CONDITIONS APPEAR QUITE FAVORABLE FOR BRIEF WATERSPOUTS FROM DEVELOPING TSRA ALONG COAST AND JUST OFFSHORE GIVEN CONSIDERABLE INSTABILITY AND WEAK FLOW ABOVE GROUND...ISSUED MARINE WEATHER STATEMENT ON THIS POTENTIAL. STILL ANTICIPATE SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPING WITH HEATING...FOCUSING FURTHER INLAND DURING THE AFTN. NO SIG CHANGES TO CURRENT FORECAST ATTM. && .AVIATION...ANTICIPATING VFR EXCEPT IN VICINITY OF TSRA...AND FOR JAX/CRG/SSI AREA THROUGH LATE MORNING WITH SOME BKN015-025. && .MARINE...NO CHGS PLANNED IN UPDATE. && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GA...NONE. AM...NONE. && WOLF
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL 502 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2007 FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-260915- HAMILTON-SUWANNEE-COLUMBIA-BAKER-NASSAU-DUVAL-UNION-BRADFORD-CLAY- ST JOHNS-GILCHRIST-ALACHUA-PUTNAM-FLAGLER-MARION-COFFEE- JEFF DAVIS-BACON-APPLING-WAYNE-ATKINSON-WARE-PIERCE-BRANTLEY- INLAND GLYNN-COASTAL GLYNN-ECHOLS-CLINCH-CHARLTON-INLAND CAMDEN- COASTAL CAMDEN- 502 AM EDT SAT AUG 25 2007 THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT... ...MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES TODAY... LONG PERIOD SWELLS WILL CONTINUE A MODERATE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT AREA BEACHES. REFER TO THE SURF ZONE FORECAST FOR MORE DETAILS. INCREASED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH NUMEROUS STORMS DEVELOPING BY AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AND EXTENDING NORTHWARD ALONG INTERSTATE 75. SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING THE MAIN THREATS. ADDITIONALLY...ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS ARE SUPPORTIVE OF BRIEF WATERSPOUTS WITH THE MORE INTENSE SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT DEVELOP OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... A SURFACE TROUGH JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA WILL SUPPORT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE AREA ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON WITH LOCALLY STRONG STORMS POSSIBLE ONCE AGAIN. THE FOCUS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHEAST GEORGIA PRIMARILY FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH CONTINUED HEAVY RAINFALL...GUSTY WINDS...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING THE PRIMARY THREAT IN THE STRONGER ACTIVITY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WEATHER.GOV/JAX. DEESE
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 heavy rain. Local standard time, as filed.
Localized ponding of water of 3-4 inches was observed in the Sugar Mill Plantation subdivision, the entrance to Kings Bay Navy Base and the Wal-Mart parking lot on Highway 40.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Georgia in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Georgia, August 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 46811.