The east coast sea breeze front pushed into the west coast and created scattered thunderstorms.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TBW wrote it up.
The east coast sea breeze front pushed into the west coast and created scattered thunderstorms.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jul 27, 12:31 PM EST, 5 hours 22 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 131 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2007 .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT - SUNDAY)...FIRST...MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WITH SOME LIGHT RAIN CONTINUE TO STREAM SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE NATURE COAST. THIS AREA WILL PROBABLY NOT HEAT UP ENOUGH TO HAVE SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT...EXCEPT PERHAPS IN SUMTER COUNTY WHERE TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE UPPER 80S AT THIS TIME. ELSEWHERE...SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL SOON DEVELOP IF THEY HAVENT ALREADY AND ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY PERSIST INTO THE EVENING HOURS. FOR THE WEEKEND...THE SCENARIO HASNT CHANGED MUCH SINCE YESTERDAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD WILL SHIFT TO SOUTH FLORIDA BY SUNDAY. MOISTURE SLOWLY INCREASES THROUGH THE PERIOD...SO IT LOOKS LIKE SATURDAY WILL BE THE BETTER OF THE 2 WEEKEND DAYS. ON SATURDAY...LIGHT WINDS UNDER THE RIDGE AXIS WILL ALLOW AFTERNOON SEA BREEZES TO MOVE INLAND...WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF STORMS OVER THE INTERIOR AND SOUTHWEST. POPS RIGHT ALONG THE COAST WILL ONLY BE AROUND 40 PERCENT...WITH MANY COASTAL COMMUNITIES REMAINING DRY. ON SUNDAY...WITH THE RIDGE AXIS TO THE SOUTH...THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE IN THE MORNING HOURS NEAR THE COAST... THEN ACROSS THE INTERIOR DURING THE AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES WILL BE DEPENDENT ON CLOUDS...SHOWERS AND SEA BREEZES...BUT OVERALL EXPECT HIGHS TO BE NEAR AVERAGE WHILE LOW TEMPERATURES... ESPECIALLY NEAR THE COAST NORTH OF TAMPA BAY WILL RUN A BIT ABOVE. .LONG TERM (SUNDAY NIGHT - FRIDAY)...LITTLE CHANGE IN FORECAST THINKING. A LONGWAVE TROF WITH AXIS ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD WILL BECOME POSITIVELY TILTED EARLY NEXT WEEK BEFORE CUTTING OFF ON WEDNESDAY. SUBSEQUENT CUTOFF LOW THEN EXPECTED TO DRIFT SW TOWARD THE GOM. ALONG THE WAY...A SERIES OF SHORT WAVES MOVING AROUND THE BASE OF THIS TROF WILL COMBINE WITH DEEP W-SW FLOW AND HIGH PW (>=2.25 INCHES) TO PRODUCE ABOVE NORMAL CHANCE FOR RAIN CHANCES MONDAY THRU EARLY THURSDAY. DURING THIS TIME...LOOKS LIKE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN 2/3 OF OUR CWA...AS SUCH WILL CARRY 60 POPS NORTH OF SRQ AND 50 POPS SOUTH. BY FRIDAY...RIDGE MAY TRY TO BUILD BACK ACROSS FROM THE EAST WITH GRADUALLY LOWERING PWS AS THE DEEP MOISTURE BAND LIFTS NORTH...SO WILL TREND BACK TO NEAR-CLIMO 50 POPS FOR THE DAYTIME FRIDAY. CLOUDS AND RAIN WILL LIMIT DAYTIME HEATING...SO HIGHS DURING THE LONG TERM PERIOD MAY RUN A FEW DEGREES BELOW NORM. && .AVIATION...LARGE AREA OF MID AND HIGH CLOUDS WITH SOME EMBEDDED LIGHT RAIN APPROACHING THE NORTHERN TERMINALS ATTM. EVEN WITH THE LIGHT RAIN...GIVEN MID-HI CIGS...THINK FLT CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR AT THOSE TERMINALS THE REST OF TODAY. FARTHER SOUTH WHERE THE AIRMASS IS MORE UNSTABLE (MORE SUNSHINE THUS FAR TODAY)...SCATTERED TSTMS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON. WILL CARRY A TEMPO PERIOD OF TSTMS WITH ASSOC MVFR CONDITIONS LATER THIS AFTERNOON...THEN CONDITIONS RETURNING TO VFR TONIGHT. && .MARINE...NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS THROUGH SUNDAY...THEN INCREASING WESTERLY WINDS WILL KICK SEAS UP SOME AS A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE DROPS INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES NEXT WEEK. WE MAY NEED SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION HEADLINES LATE MONDAY AND INTO TUESDAY. && .FIRE WEATHER...NO FIRE WEATHER PROBLEMS ANTICIPATED. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 76 90 76 90 / 20 50 40 50 FMY 74 91 74 91 / 20 60 20 60 GIF 74 92 75 92 / 30 60 20 60 SRQ 74 90 75 90 / 20 40 20 50 BKV 69 90 71 90 / 20 50 20 60 SPG 80 90 80 90 / 20 40 40 50 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GULF WATERS...NONE. && SHORT TERM/MARINE....JILLSON LONG TERM/AVIATION...PETRO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 510 AM EDT FRI JUL 27 2007 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-272115- LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 510 AM EDT FRI JUL 27 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... SCATTERED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE COASTAL COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON AND SPREAD INLAND DURING THE DAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EACH AFTERNOON MAY PRODUCE WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP MONDAY AND TUESDAY MAINLY NORTH OF TAMPA AHEAD OF A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TODAY. OGLESBY
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 559 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2007 FLZ061-272245- DE SOTO- 559 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT DESOTO COUNTY... A THUNDERSTORM...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH...WILL AFFECT RURAL CENTRAL DESOTO COUNTY...JUST SOUTHEAST OF ARCADIA...UNTIL 645 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS POSSIBLE. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL OCCUR. MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 652 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2007 FLZ065-272330- LEE- 652 PM EDT FRI JUL 27 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN LEE COUNTY... A THUNDERSTORM...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH...WILL AFFECT WHISKEY CREEK...PAGE PARK-PINE MANOR...FORT MYERS VILLAS AND ESTERO...UNTIL 730 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS POSSIBLE. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 137 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:53 UTC.
1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.
Several reports of penny to nickel size hail were received during a slow moving severe thunderstorm. The hail lasted about 10 minutes in each case.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, July 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 40209.