Long term rainfall deficits along with recent lack of rain led to the reinstatement of severe drought conditions in Collier County.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MFL wrote it up.
Long term rainfall deficits along with recent lack of rain led to the reinstatement of severe drought conditions in Collier County.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Miami, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 21, 2:56 AM EST, 4 hours 4 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
356 AM EDT TUE AUG 21 2007
.DISCUSSION...SIMILAR WEATHER PATTERN IS IN PLAY TODAY AS WAS SEEN
YESTERDAY. ISOLATED FAST MOVING SHOWERS CONTINUE TO MOVE ONTO THE
ATLANTIC COAST...SOME EVEN CONTAIN HEAVY DOWNPOURS ALBEIT BRIEF. LOW
LEVEL WINDS WILL CONTINUE QUITE STRONG TODAY...AND THIS AGAIN IS
EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE GULF COAST SEA BREEZE
AS SHOWN BY THE NAM-WRF. SO AGAIN NO GOOD CONVERGENCE AREAS ARE
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...BUT ISOLATED SHRA/TSRA CANNOT BE RULED
OUT ANYWHERE SO WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHT CHANCE POPS AREA WIDE THIS
AFTERNOON...VERY CLOSE TO GFSMOS NUMBERS.
EASTERLY FLOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT BUT SOMEWHAT WEAKER.
STILL...ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE AGAIN EXPECTED TO STREAM ONSHORE SO
WILL FORECAST ISOLATED SHOWERS ATLANTIC COAST TONIGHT AND DRY
CONDITIONS ELSEWHERE.
A TROPICAL WAVE LIES ALONG APPROX 62 DEGREES WEST. THE FORECAST
WILL BE BASED ON THE GFS SOLUTION...WHICH BRINGS THE WAVE ACROSS
THE AREA LATE WED INTO EARLY THU. GFS HAS BEEN CONSISTENT IN
BRINGING A SURGE OF MOISTURE INTO THE AREA RIGHT OUT AHEAD OF THE
WAVE...SHOWING PWATS CLIMBING ABOVE 2 INCHES ACROSS THE AREA BY
WED EVENING. DUE TO THIS AND THAT THE MEAN ENSEMBLE POPS FROM THE
12Z RUN WERE EVEN HIGHER THAN THE OPERATIONAL RUN...DECIDED TO
FOLLOW VERY CLOSE TO GFSMOS POPS FOR WED...INCREASING POPS TO
CHANCE CATEGORY ACROSS THE BOARD...WITH HIGHEST POPS EAST COAST
WHERE MOISTURE WILL COME IN SOONER AND BE HIGHER. THEN FOR THE
MIDDLE AND LATTER PART OF THE WEEK...A LIGHTER EASTERLY WIND FLOW
REGIME IS EXPECTED WITH SEA BREEZES DEVELOPING EACH AFTERNOON
LEADING TO THE TYPICAL SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA.
&&
.AVIATION...NOT MUCH CHANGE FROM LAST COUPLE OF DAYS AS EASTERLY FLOW
WILL DOMINATE AND PREVENT WEST COAST SEA BREEZE FROM SETTING UP.
AS A RESULT, KAPF WIND SHOULD REMAIN EAST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS WITH ONLY BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR CEILING AND
VISIBILITIES MAINLY EAST COAST TERMINALS IN QUICK PASSING SHOWERS.
THREW IN A VCTS FOR KAPF AFTER 20Z AS MODELS SUGGEST SLIGHTLY
HIGHER MOISTURE VALUES THIS AFTERNOON SUPPORTING ISOLATED
CONVECTION. GUSTY WINDS EXPECTED ONCE AGAIN TODAY, ALTHOUGH
PERHAPS NOT QUITE AS STRONG AS SEEN ON MONDAY, WITH 20 KT+ GUSTS
KICKING IN AFTER 13Z AREA WIDE.
&&
.MARINE...SETTLEMENT PT STILL IS REPORTING WINDS OF 18 KTS AND A SHIP
JUST SOUTH OF THERE REPORTED 20 KTS RECENTLY. STILL BLOWING GOOD
AT MBF AS WELL...SO DECIDED TO KEEP THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
GOING FOR THE ATLANTIC WATERS AND BISCAYNE BAY THROUGH MID
MORNING...THEN IT PROBABLY CAN BE DROPPED AT THAT TIME. WINDS WILL
SUBSIDE BY ONLY ABOUT 5 KT TONIGHT INTO EARLY WED...BUT THEN WILL
PICK UP AGAIN LATER WEDNESDAY AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES
DUE TO THE APPROACH OF THE TROPICAL WAVE. ONCE THE WAVE PASSES WED
NIGHT/THU...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE TO 10 KT OR LESS. THIS
FORECAST SCENARIO ASSUMES NO DEVELOPMENT OF THE WAVE.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 91 80 90 80 / 20 20 40 40
FORT LAUDERDALE 90 81 90 79 / 20 20 40 40
MIAMI 91 81 91 79 / 20 20 40 40
NAPLES 95 76 94 75 / 20 10 30 30
&&
.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR AMZ650-
AMZ651-AMZ670-AMZ671.
GM...NONE.
&&
DISCUSSION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...57/DG
AVIATION...59/RMHAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 532 AM EDT TUE AUG 21 2007 FLZ063-066>075-168-172>174-212200- GLADES-HENDRY-INLAND PALM BEACH-METRO PALM BEACH-COASTAL COLLIER- INLAND COLLIER-INLAND BROWARD-METRO BROWARD-INLAND MIAMI DADE- METRO MIAMI DADE-MAINLAND MONROE-COASTAL PALM BEACH- COASTAL BROWARD-COASTAL MIAMI DADE-FAR SOUTH MIAMI DADE- 532 AM EDT TUE AUG 21 2007 ...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ATLANTIC BEACHES TODAY... ...SLIGHT RISK OF LIGHTNING THIS AFTERNOON... THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT RIP CURRENTS: EAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH WILL RESULT IN A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENT AT THE ATLANTIC BEACHES OF PALM BEACH, BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES. SWIMMING IS NOT ADVISED WHEN THE RIP CURRENT RISK IS HIGH. THUNDERSTORMS: THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN HAZARD WITH ANY STORM THAT DEVELOPS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY EAST WINDS WILL SLOWLY DECREASE ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA WEDNESDAY, LESSENING THE RIP CURRENT RISK ALONG THE SOUTHEAST FLORIDA BEACHES. NEVERTHELESS, THE RIP CURRENT RISK WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH THROUGH WEDNESDAY BEFORE DECREASING LATE THIS WEEK. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS A TROPICAL WAVE MOVING ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA ON THURSDAY WILL BRING DEEPER TROPICAL MOISTURE OVER THE AREA. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/MIAMI.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 drought. Local standard time, as filed.
Lack of significant rain during the second half of August, along with long term rainfall deficits, resulted in the reinstatement of severe drought conditions for the northern and western third of Collier County.
Lack of significant rain during the second half of August, along with long term rainfall deficits, resulted in the reinstatement of severe drought conditions for the northern and western third of Collier County.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Florida, August 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 55854, 55855.