Weak high pressure continued across Florida with storms firing along sea breeze fronts and thunderstorm outflow boundaries.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS TBW wrote it up.
Weak high pressure continued across Florida with storms firing along sea breeze fronts and thunderstorm outflow boundaries.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 11, 12:21 PM EST, 3 hours 59 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 121 PM EDT SAT AUG 11 2007 .SYNOPSIS...UPPER LEVEL LOW OVER THE WESTERN BAHAMAS CONTINUES TO TRACK WESTWARD AROUND THE BASE OF A LARGE UPPER HIGH SPRAWLING OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. AT THE SURFACE...A RIDGE AXIS IS DEPICTED NICELY IN THE LATESET QUIKSCAT SWATH...RIGHT OVER CENTRAL FLORIDA. && .SHORT TERM (TONIGHT-MONDAY)...AS UPPER LOW CROSSES THE STATE IT WILL BRING MORE INSTABILITY ACROSS THE REGION...AND CONSEQUENTLY NEAR NORMAL CHANCES FOR RAIN TOMORROW. SURFACE RIDGE AXIS WILL CONTINUE OVER THE REGION...SO STORMS WILL BE INITIATED BY THE SEA BREEZES AND THEN BY OUTFLOW BOUNDARY COLLISIONS. BY EVENING...FLOW EASTERLY FLOW ALOFT COULD BRING ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE REGION AND OUT INTO THE GULF SO HAVE BUMPED POPS UP TO SCATTERED COVERAGE. FOR MONDAY...FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE NORTHEASTERLY AS INFLUENCE OF UPPER LOW DIMINISHES AND RIDGING ACROSS PLAINS RE-EXERTS ITS INFLUENCE. THUS EXPECT SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR OVER THE REGION...ESPECIALLY UP NORTH. HAVE GONE BACK TO 30 POPS OVER THE NATURE COAST AND 40 ELSEWHERE. TEMPERATURES BOTH DAYS WILL CONTINUE ABOVE NORMAL...THOUGH HEAT INDICES SHOULD STAY BELOW 105 FOR MOST CITIES. .LONG TERM (MONDAY NIGHT-SATURDAY)...THE GFS/UKMET AND DGEXS REMAIN FAIRLY CONSISTENT IN SHOWING AN UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFYING ALONG THE U.S. EAST COAST AT THE BEGINNING OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD. MODELS SHOW A CUT OFF LOW EVOLVING IN THE BASE OF THIS TROUGH OVER THE BAHAMAS ON WEDNESDAY...THEN RETROGRADING WEST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA AND INTO THE GULF DURING THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THE GFS SHOWS SOME DRIER AIR WORKING ITS WAY INTO THE FORECAST AREA FROM THE NORTHEAST EARLY ON TUESDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH AMPLIFIES OFFSHORE THE FL EAST COAST (PWS FALLING TO 1 TO 1.3 RANGE) BEFORE MOISTURE INCREASES AGAIN LATE IN THE DAY AHEAD OF A SPURIOUS LOOKING VORT LOBE DROPPING SOUTH INTO THE FORECAST AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON...WHICH RESULTS IN HIGH QPF (APPEARS TO BE SUFFERING FROM CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK ISSUES) VALUES OVER THE NORTHERN FA WHERE 2+ INCHES OF RAIN IS DEPICTED. GIVEN THE CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK ISSUES WITH THE GFS PREFER TO STAY CLOSER TO THE BELOW CLIMO POP TREND ALREADY ADVERTISED IN THE GRIDS...AND WILL MAINTAIN 30% POPS IN THE GRIDS FOR NOW. ON WEDNESDAY ADDITIONAL DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE FORECAST AREA COMBINED WITH SOME SUBSIDENCE ON THE NORTHWESTERN SIDE OF THE CLOSED LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PENINSULA SHOULD AGAIN KEEP RAIN CHANCES BELOW NORMAL OVER MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA AND WILL MAINTAIN 30% POPS IN THE GRIDS. DURING THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY DEEPER MOISTURE WILL ADVECT INTO THE REGION FROM THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST AS THE CLOSED LOW MOVES WEST INTO THE GULF AND THE SURFACE RIDGE AXIS SETS UP OVER THE NORTHERN PENINSULA. AS THE CLOSED LOW MOVES WEST THE FORECAST AREA WILL COME UNDER THE MORE FAVORABLE ASCENDING SIDE OF THE LOW. THIS COMBINED WITH DEEPENING MOISTURE AND COOLING MID LEVEL TEMPS (50H TEMPS DROPPING TO -9C) AND SEA BREEZE CIRCULATIONS WILL LEAD TO INCREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE OF STORMS EXPECTED DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS EACH DAY WITH POPS INCREASING TO 40% NORTH AND CENTRAL ZONES AND 50% FAR SOUTH...TAPERING BACK TO 20% EACH EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO RUN ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD...ESPECIALLY OVER THE INTERIOR EXCEPT SLIGHTLY COOLER READINGS ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST DUE TO THE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE. && .AVIATION...BRIEF PERIODS OF MVF/IFR CONDITIONS ALONG WITH SOME WIND GUST UP TO 30 KNOTS MAY AFFECT THE TERMINAL SITES THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP OVER THE REGION. OUTSIDE OF THE SHOWERS AND STORMS VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED MOST OF TONIGHT...BUT MAY SEE SOME MVFR VISIBILITIES IN FOG AND HAZE DEVELOP TOWARD SUNRISE ON SUNDAY. ANY MVFR CONDITIONS EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WILL BECOME VFR BY MID MORNING...BUT ADDITIONAL BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE AT ALL TERMINAL SITES LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS SHOWERS/STORMS REDEVELOP OVER THE REGION. && .MARINE...AS MENTIONED IN SYNOPSIS ABOVE...RIDGE AXIS RIGHT OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. THUS HAVE A LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW OVER THE NORTHERN WATERS AND WEAK EASTERLY FLOW DOWN SOUTH. THE LOCATION OF THE HIGH MAY FLUCTUATE WITH DIURNAL CHANGES...THUS WINDS WILL BECOME VARIABLE AT TIMES...AND SHOULD GENERALLY STAY 10 KNOTS OR LESS THROUGH THE PERIOD. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 80 92 78 93 / 20 50 30 40 FMY 77 93 76 94 / 20 50 30 40 GIF 78 94 77 95 / 20 50 30 40 SRQ 77 91 76 92 / 20 50 30 40 BKV 75 93 74 94 / 20 50 30 40 SPG 81 92 80 93 / 20 50 30 40 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GULF WATERS...NONE. && SHORT TERM...RJS LONG TERM/AVIATION...JCM
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 503 AM EDT SAT AUG 11 2007 FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-111645- LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK- MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE- 503 AM EDT SAT AUG 11 2007 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. ...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN TO FORM LATE THIS MORNING...WITH A DEVELOPING SEA BREEZE PROVIDING A FOCUS. THE SEA BREEZE WILL PUSH INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. THE HIGHEST CHANCES OF STORMS WILL BE THE CENTRAL INTERIOR AND THE SOUTH. THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL RETURN TO ISOLDE IN THE EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAY TIME HEATING. STRONGER STORMS WILL CONTAIN DEADLY LIGHTNING AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS. WHEN SKIES DARKEN...MOVE INDOORS. ...EXCESSIVE HEAT IMPACT... HEAT INDICES WILL REACH 100 AT MOST LOCATIONS WITH INLAND AREAS SEEING AROUND 105 AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB TO 90 TO 95 AND DEW POINTS REMAIN IN THE MID 70S. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO LIMIT OUTDOOR ACTIVITY...DRINK PLENTY OF WATER AND TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS FROM THE HEAT IN A SHADED AREA. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. ...THUNDERSTORM IMPACT... SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS...BUT BECOMING ISOLATED IN THE EVENING...ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY. STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND DEADLY LIGHTNING WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE MAIN HAZARDS WITH THE STORMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD MONITOR THE WEATHER AND SELF ACTIVATE IF NEEDED. RKR
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 345 PM EDT SAT AUG 11 2007 FLZ055-112030- MANATEE- 345 PM EDT SAT AUG 11 2007 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHERN MANATEE COUNTY... THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH...WILL AFFECT PARRISH... UNTIL 430 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE... CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. EJ
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL 451 PM EDT SAT AUG 11 2007 FLZ062-112130- CHARLOTTE- 451 PM EDT SAT AUG 11 2007 ...EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WILL AFFECT CHARLOTTE COUNTY... A GUSTY THUNDERSTORM...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH...WILL AFFECT CLEVELAND...PUNTA GORDA...PORT CHARLOTTE AND CHARLOTTE HARBOR...UNTIL 530 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. EXCESSIVE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED IF OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. IF INDOORS...REFRAIN FROM USING ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL OCCUR. MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. NP
The Tampa radar (KTBW), 87 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:18 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind, 1 tornado. Local standard time, as filed.
A home weather station measured a 60 MPH wind gust near Highway 41 and Harbor blvd. A wind gust of 44 MPH was reported at the Punta Gorda airport.
A brief tornado touchdown was reported by law enforcement in the Deep Creek subdivision. The tornado caused minor damage to trees, power lines, and vehicles.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Florida in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Florida, 2007Warnings in Florida, August 2007
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 40678, 40677.