Arizona, 2007

Flash Flood in Arizona, August 15, 2007

August 15, 2007 · NWS FGZ · 1 event in 1 county or zone

Heavy rain caused flash flooding in Chino Valley.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FGZ wrote it up.

Heavy rain caused flash flooding in Chino Valley.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 15, 10:30 AM MST, 4 hours 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 15, 10:30 AM MST, 4 hours 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1030 AM MST WED AUG 15 2007

.SYNOPSIS...AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH FRIDAY AS MONSOON MOISTURE REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA. BY
SATURDAY DRIER SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL DECREASE CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORMS IN NORTHWESTERN ARIZONA THROUGH SUNDAY.

&&

.DISCUSSION...LATEST RADAR IMAGERY INDICATES THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING
TO DEVELOP OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN ONCE AGAIN THIS MORNING.
EXPECTING ACTIVITY TO QUICKLY EXPAND INTO SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
COVERAGE OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND MOVE OFF TO THE NORTHWEST. THE
GREATEST THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE MAY TAKE SHAPE ACROSS THE RIM FIRST
AND THEN LATER THIS AFTERNOON OVER WESTERN YAVAPAI AND WESTERN
COCONINO COUNTY AS THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
MOVE WEST OVER THESE AREAS. WILL BE UPDATING GRIDS SHORTLY TO
INCREASE PRECIP CHCS IN SOME AREAS TO LIKELY FOR THIS AFTERNOON.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 18Z PACKAGE...EXPECT SCT SHRA/TSRA WITH MVFR
CONDITIONS IN THE STRONGER STORMS. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AND
VARIABLE ALTHOUGH GUSTY AND VARIABLE TO AROUND 25 KTS IN THE
VICINITY OF THUNDERSTORMS. AFT 03Z...ISOLD-SCT -SHRA/-TSRA TAPERING
OFF OVERNIGHT. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT UPDATED FOR AMENDMENTS.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

TC/DJO
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 15, 10:20 AM MST, 4 hours 25 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED RETRANSMISSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
1020 AM MST WED AUG 15 2007

AZZ004>018-037>040-160700-
WESTERN MOGOLLON RIM-GRAND CANYON COUNTRY-YAVAPAI COUNTY MOUNTAINS-
YAVAPAI COUNTY VALLEYS AND BASINS-OAK CREEK AND SYCAMORE CANYONS-
MARBLE AND GLEN CANYONS-KAIBAB PLATEAU-COCONINO PLATEAU-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS HWY 264 NORTHWARD-
NORTHEAST PLATEAU AND MESAS SOUTH OF HWY 264-
CHINLE VALLEY-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS AND DEFIANCE PLATEAU-
BLACK MESA AREA-LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN COCONINO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN NAVAJO COUNTY-
LITTLE COLORADO RIVER VALLEY IN APACHE COUNTY-
EASTERN MOGOLLON RIM-WHITE MOUNTAINS-NORTHERN GILA COUNTY-
1020 AM MST WED AUG 15 2007

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN
GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

A MOIST UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE OVER NORTHERN ARIZONA ONCE AGAIN
TODAY. STORMS WILL FIRE EARLIER TODAY THAN USUAL AS IT IS FAIRLY
UNSTABLE. IT APPEARS THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE TODAY WILL BE SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF YAVAPAI
AND COCONINO COUNTIES. THE MAIN WEATHER THREAT TODAY WILL BE
ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING SMALL HAIL AND VERY HEAVY
RAIN. SOME LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE TODAY ACROSS
NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR MASS WILL BRING DAILY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AND AN ISOLATED THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER. THERE IS THE
POSSIBILITY OF A DRYING TREND BEGINNING ON SUNDAY AS A WEATHER
DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES. THERE IS STILL A
DEGREE OF UNCERTAINTY IN THIS DUE TO THE TROPICAL STORM  DEVELOPING
IN THE GULF OF MEXICO...WHICH COULD HAVE IMPACT ON ARIZONA WEATHER
LATER THIS WEEK FIRST PART OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 15, 2:42 PM MST, 3 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
242 PM MST WED AUG 15 2007

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0230 PM     HAIL             CHINO VALLEY            34.76N 112.46W
08/15/2007  M1.00 INCH       YAVAPAI            AZ   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

TOMC

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 117 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:46 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Yavapai

When
August 15, 2:45 PM MST to 5:00 PM MST
Where
Yavapai County, 2.15 mi NNW of Chino Vly
Cause
Heavy Rain
Reported by
Emergency Manager
Coordinates
34.760, -112.460

Numerous city streets flooded in Chino Valley and high water flowing across many low water crossings.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, August 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 58403.