Alaska, 2007

Debris Flow in Alaska, April 21, 2007

April 21, 2007 · NWS AFC · 1 event in 1 county or zone

A series of north Pacific storms produced heavy rain over Kodiak Island beginning April 20th. 16 inches fell April 20th and 21st.

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS AFC wrote it up.

A series of north Pacific storms produced heavy rain over Kodiak Island beginning April 20th. Total precipitation of 2.16 inches fell April 20th and 21st.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 20, 11:00 PM AKST, 8 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Apr 20, 11:00 PM AKST, 8 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
500 AM ADT SAT APR 21 2007

.MODEL DISCUSSION...ALL MODELS INITIALIZED WELL AND REASONABLY
CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS RUNS OUT THROUGH 120 HOURS.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...HIGH AMPLITUDE UPPER LEVEL PERSISTS OVER
EASTERN ALASKA AND WESTERN CANADA. BROAD TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
PERSISTS OVER RUSSIAN FAR EAST BERING SEA AND ALASKA PENINSULA.
OLD 988 MB SFC LOW SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND NEAR 53N 145W WILL
DISSIPATE IN THE EASTERN GULF OF ALASKA BY SUN MORNING.
LARGE STRONG 973 MB LOW SOUTH OF THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS NEAR 45N 175W
WILL TRACK JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN AND MOVE TO NEAR 52N 157W
SUN AFTERNOON WITH LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY. AFTERWARDS THE LOW
THEN BEGINS TO WEAKEN AND DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
BRIEF RESPITE BETWEEN SYSTEMS TODAY FOR MOST OF SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA.
BUT SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL REDEVELOP OVER THE AREA SUNDAY WITH THE
APPROACH OF THE NEW SYSTEM OUT OF THE WEST.
KODIAK ISLAND WILL SEE NO BREAK BUT REMAIN IN EASTERLY FLOW UNDER
STEADY PRECIPITATION THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
OFFSHORE FLOW ACROSS INTERIOR AND SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA WILL KEEP MOST
OF THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND DELTA DRY BUT MIXED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
WILL LINGER OVER BRISTOL BAY AND THE ALASKA PENINSULA.
NORTHEAST TO NORTHWEST FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
BERING SEA AND THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS...AS WILL THE
ASSOCIATED SNOW SHOWERS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
NORTH PACIFIC STORMS WILL BEGIN TO TRACK FURTHER INTO SOUTHWESTERN
AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA BEGINNING WEDNESDAY. PATTERN INCREASINGLY
MOIST AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 120 130 132 172
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

ASB APR 07

Event by event

1 debris flow. Local standard time, as filed.

Debris Flow, Kodiak Peninsula

When
April 21, 7:00 AM AKST
Where
Kodiak Peninsula forecast zone
Property damage
$1,000
Reported by
Newspaper

A landslide in downtown Kodiak tore part of the deck from a hillside home and caused other damage Saturday morning. |

What these are

Debris Flow
A fast-moving slurry of mud, rock and debris, usually on a slope soaked by heavy rain or stripped by a fire.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Alaska in 2007Every state in 2007This day in weather historyWarnings in Alaska, April 2007

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 18196.