Missouri, 2006

Flash Flood in Missouri, August 27, 2006

August 27, 2006 · NWS SGF · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 27, 5:50 PM CST, 1 hour 55 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 27, 5:50 PM CST, 1 hour 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
650 PM CDT SUN AUG 27 2006

.DISCUSSION...

WATER VAPOR SHOWS ENERGY AHEAD OF THE MAIN SHORTWAVE IS MOVING INTO
CENTRAL KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
PERSISTED TODAY...WITH EFFICIENT RAINFALL PRODUCERS. INSTABILITY HAS
INCREASED A BIT OVER THE AFTERNOON AND AREAL COVERAGE HAS INCREASED
DURING THE LAST 6 HOURS. MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
DEVELOPED FROM EASTERN KANSAS INTO CENTRAL/WESTERN OKLAHOMA.
VORTICITY/LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH ENERGY JUST AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE
WILL PROVIDE ADDITIONAL SYNOPTIC ENHANCEMENT FOR PRECIP TONIGHT.

WENT AHEAD WITH A FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. COOP AND
VOLUNTEER WEATHER OBSERVERS REPORTED RAINFALL TOTALS FROM 2 TO 3
INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA OVER THE LAST 24 HOURS. SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FROM THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON HAVE EXACERBATED
THE FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL. CONTINUED ISENTROPIC LIFT...60-70KT UPPER
LEVEL JET STREAK MOVING THROUGH...VERY HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATERS
/NEAR 2 INCHES/...DEEP WARM CLOUD DEPTH...AND EXPECTED SLOW STORM
MOTION ALL INDICATE A HEAVY RAIN THREAT OVERNIGHT. AREAS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF THE I-44 CORRIDOR AND EAST OF HIGHWAY 65 HAVE SEEN THE MOST
RAINFALL OVER THE LAST 24-36 HOURS. LATEST RUC...12Z WRF...AND 12Z
UKMET ALL INDICATE THAT THE BULK OF THE ADDITIONAL PRECIP WILL BE
ROUGHLY ACROSS OUR EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA. HOWEVER...GIVEN THE
HEAVY RAIN NATURE OF ANY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT
DEVELOP...CANNOT RULE OUT FLASH FLOODING ANYWHERE IN OUR CWA THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT.

TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND INTO MONDAY NIGHT...MAJORITY OF THE PRECIP
WILL BEGIN TO SHIFT INTO EASTERN MISSOURI...AND HAVE TAPERED OFF
POPS ACCORDINGLY. CWA SHOULD BE SOCKED IN WITH CLOUD COVER FOR MUCH
OF THE DAY WITH HIGHS NEAR 80 DEGREES.

NEAR THE CORE OF THE UPPER LOW PRESENTLY ACROSS NORTHEAST
COLORADO/SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...A LARGE STRATUS DECK HAS DEVELOPED IN
ASSOCIATION WITH ISENTROPIC ASCENT. PROGS OFF THE WRF AND GFS ON THE
310K SURFACE INDICATE THAT THIS AREA OF LIFT WILL ROTATE INTO
MISSOURI ON TUESDAY...RESULTING IN CLOUD COVER AND COOLER
TEMPERATURES. WHEN COMPARING FORECAST 925MB AND 850MB TEMPS WITH A
LOCAL HISTORICAL UPPER AIR DATA SET...HIGH TEMPS ACROSS THE CWA IN
THE UPPER 70S/LOWER 80S ARE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. MOS WAS ALSO IN
THIS BALLPARK...AND HAVE SETTLED ON HIGHS NEAR 80 DEGREES FOR
TUESDAY. HOWEVER...WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE MUCH OF THE DAY
WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 70S...BUT WITH A FEW PEEKS OF SUN THE
TEMPS MAY CLIMB UP TO NEAR 80.

EXTENDED FORECAST APPEARS PRETTY TRANQUIL AT THIS TIME. HIGHS WILL
AVERAGE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S...WITH A FEW DAYS NEAR 90 DEGREES AS
SOME DRIER AIR AND A BIT STRONGER SOUTHERLY/SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW
IMPINGES ON WESTERN MISSOURI.

MAJORITY OF MEDIUM RANGE GUIDANCE AND NCEP ENSEMBLES ARE CURRENTLY
IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT OF A CUTOFF UPPER LOW SETTING UP OVER THE
NORTHERN PLAINS BY NEXT WEEKEND. A DIGGING TROUGH ALONG THE WESTERN
COAST OF CANADA WILL LIKELY INDUCE RIDGING OVER THE CENTRAL
PROVINCES. IN RESPONSE...THE PROGGED TROUGH MAY VERY WELL GET
PINCHED OFF FROM THE FLOW. AT THIS TIME WILL KEEP THE END OF THE
FORECAST PERIOD DRY. HOWEVER...IF AN UPPER LOW DOES SIT AND SPIN
OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS...PIECES OF ENERGY ROTATING ALONG THE
PERIPHERY MAY SPARK PRECIP OVER OUR AREA. THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS
SYSTEM CERTAINLY BEARS WATCHING.

SCHULTZ

&&

.AVIATION...
FOR 00Z TAFS...MAIN ISSUES WILL BE WITH THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH ABOUT
09Z/10Z THEN FOG POTENTIAL THROUGH EARLY/MID MORNING. LATEST RADAR
IS CLEARING OVER THE OZARKS LATE THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE OVER WESTERN KANSAS IS SPARKING ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS
OVER EAST CENTRAL KANSAS ALONG 850 MB TROUGH AXIS. WILL CARRY
VICINITY THUNDER AS EARLY AS 03Z AT KJLN WITH PREDOMINANT STORMS
FROM AROUND 06-10Z. THEREAFTER FOG POTENTIAL INCREASES WITH LIGHT
WINDS AND VERY SATURATED SURFACE CONDITIONS.

WIND DIRECTION WILL CONTINUE TO BE A CHALLENGE WITH WEAK PRESSURE
GRADIENT ALONG THE FRONT. FOR NOW WILL GO WITH PREVAILING NORTHWEST
WIND BY AROUND 15Z MONDAY.

TERRY

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL COUNTIES FROM 4PM SUNDAY THROUGH 7AM
     MONDAY.
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL COUNTIES FROM 4PM SUNDAY THROUGH 7AM
     MONDAY.

WFO SGF
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 27, 7:37 PM CST, 8 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
837 PM CDT SUN AUG 27 2006

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-281100-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
837 PM CDT SUN AUG 27 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED:

  THUNDERSTORMS...SOME MAY PRODUCE:
    TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS WHICH COULD LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING.
    AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING:

  ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING...ESPECIALLY
  NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44. ADDITIONAL...MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS
  ARE EXPECTED AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

DISCUSSION:

  THERE IS A CHANCE OF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING MAINLY
  OVER NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.
  THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS AFTER
  MIDNIGHT...WITH SOME OF THE STORMS LIKELY PRODUCING TORRENTIAL
  DOWNPOURS. DUE TO THE RECENT HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE
  REGION...ANY ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL LATER TONIGHT COULD LEAD TO
  FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  AS A COLD FRONT STALLS OVER SOUTHERN MISSOURI...THIS
  FEATURE WILL FOCUS ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
  MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
  CAN NOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY IF THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE
  REGION BECOMES SUFFICIENTLY UNSTABLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT...HOWEVER
  REPORTS OF FLOODING SHOULD BE FORWARDED TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
  SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

TERRY/IZZI

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 27, 4:03 PM CST, 3 hours 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
503 PM CDT SUN AUG 27 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0430 PM     FLASH FLOOD      WEST PLAINS             36.73N 91.85W
08/27/2006                   HOWELL             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            WIDESPREAD FLOODING IN CITY OF WEST PLAINS. NUMEROUS CARS
            INUNDATED WITH WATER...FIRE DEPT HAD TO ASSIST SOME
            PEOPLE TO GET OUT OF THEIR VEHICLES STRANDED IN FLOOD
            WATERS.

&&

IZZI
Local storm report, Aug 27, 6:55 PM CST, 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
755 PM CDT SUN AUG 27 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0530 PM     FLASH FLOOD      POTTERSVILLE            36.70N 92.03W
08/27/2006                   HOWELL             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FLOODING REPORTED ON K HIGHWAY...NOT AT A LOW WATER
            CROSSING. LOW WATER CROSSING ON COUNTY ROAD 8460 ALSO
            FLOODED.

&&

IZZI

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 124 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:44 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Maries

When
August 27, 7:45 PM CST to 11:00 PM CST
Where
Maries County, Vienna
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
38.162, -91.925 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

A section of Highway AA near the Little Maries Creek became impassable to motorists from flash flooding.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Missouri in 2006Every state in 2006This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, August 2006

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5532723.