Kentucky, 2006Flash Flood in Kentucky, May 3, 2006
May 3, 2006 · NWS PAH · 1 event in 1 county or zone
1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Hail
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 1
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 3, 12:15 PM CST, 3 hours 30 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 3, 12:15 PM CST, 3 hours 30 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
115 PM CDT WED MAY 3 2006
.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS IA/IL INTO MO MOVING THIS WAY...HAS
CONVECTION ON ITS LEAD EDGE THREATENING PAH FA. RISING PM CAPES ESP
IN SEMO VCNTY HELPING STORMS DEVELOP ON/AHEAD OF TAIL END OF FRONT
AS WELL. NEW SVR TSM WATCH 282 JUST ISSUED FOR SEMO/SIL/SWKY TIL 01Z
COVERS MAINLY (DIURNAL) HAIL THREAT GIVEN WEAK WIND FIELDS.
FRONT IS DRAGGED ACROSS ENTIRE FA TONIGHT BY MID LEVEL WAVE MOVING
ACROSS LOWER OH VALLEY. ANTICIPATE SURFACE BASED INSTABILITY TO
DECREASE WITH LOSS OF DIURNAL AID...HOWEVER...STILL GOOD ENOUGH
ENVIRO GIVEN MOISTURE IN PLACE AND FRONT/WEAK UPPER SUPPORT TO
WARRANT POPS RANGING FROM LKLY (NORTH) TO CHC CAT (SOUTHEAST).
TOMORROW THIS WL FLIP WITH BOUNDARY STALLING IN SRN/ERN PTNS
FA...AND ANOTHER WAVE PROGGED TO EJECT OUT OF THE SRN PLAINS AND
MOVE ALONG THE BOUNDARY...ESP LATE THU-THU NIGHT...AGAIN OUTLOOKED
SLGT RISK SVR.
GFS SEEMED TO INITIALIZE BETTER ON CONVECTIVE ZONE WITH NAM
OVERDOING ITS PCPN BOTH ON 06Z AND 12Z RUNS. THEREFORE WE FOLLOWED
THE 12Z GFS FOR THE 1ST 24 HOURS. HOWEVER...IT BEGINS TO SUFFER FROM
CONVECTIVE FEEDBACK AFTER THAT...SO WE TREND BACK TO NAM/NGM HANDLE
ON 2ND WAVE IE THU-THU NIGHT-FRI. OUR FORECAST BIAS IS REFLECTED
RELATIVE TO THEIR RESPECTIVE MOS POPS NOS AS WELL.
AFTER THAT THE FORECAST IS LITTLE CHANGED. WE RETAINED THE FRI NIGHT
POP BUT DOWNPLAYED GIVEN THE BOUNDARY IS WASHING OUT OF THE PICTURE
BY THEN. WE WENT DRY OVER THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...WITH
OUR NEXT CHC PCPN STILL SLATED TO COME IN LATE DAY 6 INTO DAY 7.
THIS WAS PRETTY MUCH IN LINE WITH THE COLLABORATIVE CONSENSUS AS
WELL.
THE TEMP FORECAST WL DISPLAY A SIMILAR BIAS ALTHOUGH ODDLY THE MOS
DID NOT TRANSLATE THE MODEL EFFECTS OF HIGHER V LOWER POPS
ABSOLUTELY TO A TEMP BIAS. THE FWC HAS RETAINED ITS WARM BIAS SO
WEVE TRENDED SLIGHTLY LOWER THAN ITS NOS. NEAR TERM WE LIKED GFS
MAV MOS...BUT AGAIN TRENDED TOWARD NAM MET MOS IN THE MEDIUM RANGE.
THE LONGER RANGE FORECAST WAS A BLEND OF THE MOS WITH THE
COLLABORATIVE PICTURE AND PERSISTENCE STRATEGY FORECASTING ALSO
TAKEN INTO ACCOUNT.
&&
.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KY...SVR TSM WATCH 282 SWRN COUNTIES TIL 01Z.
MO...SVR TSM WATCH 282 ALL COUNTIES TIL 01Z.
IL...SVR TSM WATCH 282 ALL COUNTIES TIL 01Z.
IN...NONE.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 3, 2:30 PM CST, 1 hour 15 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
330 PM CDT WED MAY 3 2006
ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114-041000-
JEFFERSON-WAYNE IL-EDWARDS-WABASH-PERRY IL-FRANKLIN-HAMILTON-
WHITE-JACKSON-WILLIAMSON-SALINE-GALLATIN-UNION IL-JOHNSON-POPE-
HARDIN-ALEXANDER-PULASKI-MASSAC-GIBSON-PIKE-POSEY-VANDERBURGH-
WARRICK-SPENCER-FULTON-HICKMAN-CARLISLE-BALLARD-MCCRACKEN-GRAVES-
LIVINGSTON-MARSHALL-CALLOWAY-CRITTENDEN-LYON-TRIGG-CALDWELL-
UNION KY-WEBSTER-HOPKINS-CHRISTIAN-HENDERSON-DAVIESS-MCLEAN-
MUHLENBERG-TODD-PERRY MO-BOLLINGER-CAPE GIRARDEAU-WAYNE MO-CARTER-
RIPLEY-BUTLER-STODDARD-SCOTT-MISSISSIPPI-NEW MADRID-
330 PM CDT WED MAY 3 2006
THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN
ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA...WESTERN KENTUCKY...AND SOUTHEAST
MISSOURI.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES THROUGH EARLY THIS
EVENING. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM FOR
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...AND FAR SOUTHWEST
KENTUCKY. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS HAIL...ALTHOUGH
ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS OR TORNADOS CANNOT BE RULED
OUT...ESPECIALLY NEAR OR ALONG BOUNDARIES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS
ALSO A THREAT.
A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES OVERNIGHT BUT THE THREAT OF
SEVERE WEATHER DECREASES WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY AND
THURSDAY NIGHT...WITH SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND
WESTERN KENTUCKY UNDER A SLIGHTLY HIGHER THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER
THAN NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION...SINCE AN OLD FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL BE STALLED ALONG THE ARKANSAS AND TENNESSE BORDER REGION.
THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE HAIL WITH AN
ISOLATED WIND OR TORNADIC THREAT AS WELL. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL
ALSO BE A THREAT.
A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST FOR FRIDAY TOO...BUT WIDESPREAD
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR FRIDAY.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS ACTIVATED THIS EVENING MAY ALSO BE REQUESTED FOR
ACTIVATION THURSDAY OR THURSDAY NIGHT.
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 3, 2:43 PM CST, 1 hour 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
343 PM CDT WED MAY 03 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0338 PM HAIL 2 N SIKESTON 36.91N 89.58W
05/03/2006 E0.88 INCH SCOTT MO TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
DLLLocal storm report, May 3, 3:04 PM CST, 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
404 PM CDT WED MAY 03 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0401 PM HAIL BANDANA 37.17N 88.97W
05/03/2006 E1.75 INCH BALLARD KY TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
DLLLocal storm report, May 3, 3:08 PM CST, 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
408 PM CDT WED MAY 03 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0402 PM TSTM WND DMG SIKESTON 36.88N 89.58W
05/03/2006 SCOTT MO TRAINED SPOTTER
NUMEROUS TREES AND POWER POLES DOWN.
&&
DLLLocal storm report, May 3, 3:19 PM CST, 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
419 PM CDT WED MAY 03 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0417 PM HAIL GRAND CHAIN 37.25N 89.02W
05/03/2006 E0.88 INCH PULASKI IL TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
DLLLocal storm report, May 3, 3:25 PM CST, 20 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
425 PM CDT WED MAY 03 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0419 PM HAIL 5 WNW JOPPA 37.23N 88.93W
05/03/2006 E0.75 INCH MASSAC IL EMERGENCY MNGR
JUIST INSIDE THE MASSAC COUNTY LINE...
&&
DLLLocal storm report, May 3, 3:41 PM CST, 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
441 PM CDT WED MAY 03 2006
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0438 PM HAIL 10 W METROPOLIS 37.15N 88.89W
05/03/2006 E0.75 INCH MCCRACKEN KY EMERGENCY MNGR
&&
DLLFlash Flood, Graves
- When
- May 3, 3:45 PM CST to 7:00 PM CST
- Where
- Graves County, Mayfield
- Reported by
- NEWSPAPER
- Coordinates
- 36.723, -88.651 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
More than a dozen homes were evacuated due to flash flooding. Most of the flooding and evacuations were along a street on the city's south side that flooded due to a nearby creek. To the north of Mayfield, emergency management personnel reported two inches of rain was measured in an hour.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Flash Flood in Missouri, May 3, 20061 death · 2 injured · $10,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flooding and Hail in Texas, May 3, 2006$671,000 · 2.75 in hail · 25 events
- Flash Flood and High Wind in Texas, May 3, 2006$250,000 · 60 kt wind · 4 events
- Lightning Strike in Nebraska, May 3, 2006$75,000 · 1 event
- Damaging Wind in Missouri, May 3, 2006$70,000 · 61 kt wind · 1 event
- Flash Flood in Kentucky, May 3, 2006$50,000 · 1 event
- Hail and Lightning Strike in Alabama, May 3 to 4, 20062 injured · 0.88 in hail · 5 events
- Hail in Iowa, May 3, 2006$22,000 · 1.75 in hail · 3 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Arkansas, May 3, 2006$15,000 · 1 in hail · 7 events
- Flash Flood in Missouri, May 3, 2006$20,000 · 1 event
- Hail in Missouri, May 3, 2006$16,000 · 1 in hail · 4 events
- Flash Flood and Hail in Texas, May 3 to 4, 20061.75 in hail · 13 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5508081.