Lightning Strike in Florida, July 23, 2006

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
200 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2006

.SHORT TERM...SOUTHWEST FLOW HAS INCREASED SINCE YESTERDAY WITH
DEEP MOISTURE INCREASING AS A RESULT. THIS TRIGGERED NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE GULF COAST EARLY THIS MORNING
WHICH ARE NOW SPREADING ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE JAX CWA.
STORMS ARE NUMEROUS BUT NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG WITH THE CORES
REMAINING BELOW THE -10C LEVEL THUS FAR. HOWEVER...ARE STILL
SEEING SOME OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AND EXPECT THIS TO
CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.

MONDAY EXPECTED TO BE A NEAR CARBON COPY OF TODAY ACROSS THE AREA
WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW CONTINUING AND STALLED SFC TROUGH JUST NORTH
OF THE CWA. EXPECT STORMS TO FIRE EARLY ALONG THE GULF COAST AND
SPREAD EAST DURING THE DAY. WILL HAVE LIKELY POPS MOST LOCATIONS.

FLOW BECOMES MORE WESTERLY ON TUESDAY SO EXPECT LESS MORNING
ACTIVITY OFF THE GULF. INSTEAD...EXPECT ACTIVITY TO FIRE A LITTLE
LATER IN THE DAY OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE CWA.

MAX TEMPS TO REMAIN IN THE LOWER 90S THROUGH THE SHORT TERM.

.LONG TERM...SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WILL BEGIN TO BUILD OVER THE
AREA WEDNESDAY AND REMAIN IN THE VICINITY THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE WEAK. HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL DECREASE CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY TO
SOME EXTENT...BUT REMNANT OF SFC TROUGH MAY STILL BE HANGING
AROUND AND HELP PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR SCATTERED AFTN THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPS EXPECTED TO REMAIN PRETTY CLOSE TO CLIMO.

&&

.MARINE...NO HEADLINES. FRONTAL BOUNDARY EXTENDS ACROSS CENTRAL
GEORGIA WITH A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH EXTENDING ALONG THE STATE LINE AND
ACROSS THE LOCAL COASTAL WATERS. SOUTHERLY WINDS WERE SUSTAINING
BETWEEN 10 AND 15 KNOTS...WITH SEAS IN THE 2 TO 4 FT RANGE. STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF JAX CWA IS BEGINNING TO
APPROACH THE COASTLINE. FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO STALL JUST
NORTH OF THE LOCAL AREA...MAINTAINING A SOUTHERLY FLOW OVER THE LOCAL
WATERS. WIND SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE STRONGEST AT NIGHT...WITH WIND
SPEEDS AROUND 15 KNOTS...DECREASING TO AROUND 10 KNOTS DURING THE
DAY. FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS THEN FORECAST TO LIFT NORTH EARLY NEXT
WEEK...AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND ADJACENT
WATERS ADVANCES NORTH.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AMG  73  91  73  91 /  40  70  40  60
SSI  78  90  77  89 /  40  60  40  60
JAX  74  90  74  90 /  40  60  40  60
SGJ  76  89  76  88 /  40  60  40  60
GNV  74  89  74  90 /  30  70  30  60
OCF  74  89  74  90 /  30  60  30  60

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
&&

PUBLIC...CAMP
MARINE/FIRE WX...ZAPPE

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
532 AM EDT SUN JUL 23 2006

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-240900-
ALACHUA-APPLING-ATKINSON-BACON-BAKER-BRADFORD-BRANTLEY-
CAMDEN (COASTAL)-CAMDEN (INLAND)-CHARLTON-CLAY-CLINCH-COFFEE-
COLUMBIA-DUVAL-ECHOLS-FLAGLER-GILCHRIST-GLYNN (COASTAL)-
GLYNN (INLAND)-HAMILTON-JEFF DAVIS-MARION-NASSAU-PIERCE-PUTNAM-
ST JOHNS-SUWANNEE-UNION-WARE-WAYNE-
532 AM EDT SUN JUL 23 2006

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

DUE TO ABUNDANT ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE AND WEAK DISTURBANCES ALOFT...
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY...
ESPECIALLY THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE
MORE NUMEROUS FROM THE SUWANNEE VALLEY AREA AND INTO SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...STRONG WIND GUSTS...AND EXCESSIVE
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL ACCOMPANY THE STRONGER STORMS.
MOVEMENT OF STORMS WILL BE EAST TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH A SLIGHT DECREASE IN RAIN CHANCES THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ARE THE MAIN CONCERNS WITH THE
THUNDERSTORMS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...
SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS OR
FLOODING.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

ARS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
213 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     TSTM WND GST     ORTEGA                  30.27N 81.71W
07/23/2006  M51 MPH          DUVAL              FL   ASOS

            WIND GUST TO 51 MPH REPORTED AT JACKSONVILLE NAVAL AIR
            STATION.

&&

ECZ

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
215 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2006

FLZ025-231845-
DUVAL-
215 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR DUVAL COUNTY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND FUNNEL CLOUDS VALID UNTIL 245 PM EDT...

AT 215 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED OVER TALLYRAND...OR 2 MILES NORTH OF
ARLINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THESE STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND TALLYRAND...SAN MARCO...RIVERSIDE...
DOWNTOWN JACKSONVILLE...ARLINGTON...UNF...SAN PABLO...FORT
CAROLINE...JACKSONVILLE BEACH AND NEPTUNE BEACH THROUGH 245 PM EDT.
GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR
DAMAGE. DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
TORNADOES MAY DEVELOP WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

CAMP

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
256 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0219 PM     TSTM WND GST     UNF                     30.28N 81.51W
07/23/2006  M50.00 MPH       DUVAL              FL   ASOS

            WIND GUST TO 50 MPH REPORTED AT CRAIG FIELD.

&&

ECZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
305 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 PM     FLOOD            ARLINGTON               30.34N 81.60W
07/23/2006                   DUVAL              FL   PUBLIC

            NEAR TERRY PARKER HIGH SCHOOL...TOWNSEND AND WOODLAY
            ROADS COVERED WITH WATER.

&&

PKEEGAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
308 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0235 PM     TSTM WND DMG     FORT CAROLINE           30.39N 81.50W
07/23/2006                   DUVAL              FL   NWS EMPLOYEE

            TREE UPROOTED IN RALLY CREEK SUBDIVISION.

&&

PKEEGAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
311 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2006

FLZ038-231945-
FLAGLER-
311 PM EDT SUN JUL 23 2006

...A SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR FLAGLER COUNTY FOR
STRONG WINDS AND EXCESSIVE LIGHTNING VALID UNTIL 345 PM EDT...

AT 311 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF FLAGLER BEACH...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT
AREAS AROUND PALM COAST AND FLAGLER BEACH THROUGH 345 PM EDT.
EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

REPORT DAMAGE TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY OR YOUR COUNTY
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT...OR YOU CAN CALL THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
IN JACKSONVILLE DIRECTLY AT 1-800-499-1594.

CAMP