Rip Current in Florida, December 31, 2006

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1049 AM EST SUN DEC 31 2006

.UPDATE...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES FORTHCOMING IN THE FIRST PERIOD OF THE
FORECAST...WITH ALL ELEMENTS OF THE FORECAST ON TRACK AT THIS
TIME. ISOLATED/LIGHT SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE EAST
COAST THIS AFTERNOON...WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO WARM INTO THE
MID 80S ONCE AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. UPDATED PRODUCTS TO REFRESH
MORNING WORDING WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY.

70/DD

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
DISCUSSION...
WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS EXPECTED TODAY AND MON AS A MOIST E/SE
WIND FLOW DEVELOPS. CURRENTLY...MINUTE SHOWERS ON THE WIND FLOW
ADVECTING ACROSS ATLC COASTAL WATERS AND ONSHORE E COAST BUT WITH
MINIMAL...IF ANY...ACCUMULATION. APPEARS THAT ENOUGH UPWARD LIFT
WILL OCCUR TODAY TO ALLOW ISOLATED SHOWERS INTERIOR AND W BUT WITH
MINIMAL...IF AT ALL...ACCUMULATION. SLIGHT COOLING EXPECTED MID WEEK
AS A COLD FRONT...ASSOCIATED WITH AN UPPER LOW LIFTING NE TOWARD THE
GREAT LAKES...STALLS JUST N OF LAKE OKEE. INCREASED CLOUDS AND A
MODEST INCREASE IN THE CHANCES OF RAIN TUE...GREATEST IN AREAS
AROUND LAKE OKEE. TEMPS STILL STAY WELL ABOVE NORMAL THOUGH. TOWARDS
THE WEEKEND...THE STALLED FRONT LIFTS NORTHWARD...INCHING THE
ALREADY ABOVE NORMAL MAX/MIN TEMPS UPWARD...AS ATLC HIGH PRES BUILDS
BACK IN OVER S FLA. A SLIGHT DECREASE IN POPS WED THROUGH FRI...BUT
INCREASING SAT AS ANOTHER FRONT MOVES SE ALONG THE FLA PENINSULA.

AVIATION...MODERATE TO STRONG ESE FLOW WILL CONTINUE TODAY...AND
THIS WILL CONTINUE THE PATTERN OF THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS AT THE EAST
COAST TERMINALS WITH PERIODS OF CU MOVING ONSHORE BETWEEN 2K AND 3K
FEET WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS FROM TIME TO TIME...AND HAVE PUT VICINITY
SHOWER IN THE TAF TO ACCOUNT FOR THIS.  EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS AT
KAPF WITH MAINLY DIURNAL CU.  AT ALL TAF SITES IT WILL BE BREEZY
ONCE AGAIN WITH ESE WINDS GUSTING AOA 20 KTS AT TIMES.

MARINE...EASTERLY FLOW 15 TO 20 KTS ATLC WATERS KEEPS AN EXERCISE
CAUTION UP FOR TODAY. WINDS BEGIN TO VEER AND GRADUALLY DECREASE
MON INTO MIDWEEK.

FIRE WEATHER...
NO PROBLEMS OR CONCERNS THROUGH THIS FORECAST PERIOD.

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
823 AM EST SUN DEC 31 2006

FLZ063-066>075-010015-
GLADES-HENDRY-PALM BEACH WESTERN-PALM BEACH EASTERN-
WESTERN COLLIER-EASTERN COLLIER-WESTERN BROWARD-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-WESTERN DADE-DADE METROPOLITAN-
MAINLAND MONROE-
817 AM EST SUN DEC 31 2006

...HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ATLANTIC BEACHES TODAY...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

RIP CURRENTS: EAST TO EAST SOUTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH WITH A
FEW HIGHER GUSTS WILL CONTINUE ALONG THE EAST COAST OF SOUTH
FLORIDA TODAY. THIS WILL COMBINE WITH LOW TIDES IN THE MIDDAY HOURS TO
PRODUCE A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS ALONG THE ATLANTIC BEACHES
TODAY, AND RIP CURRENTS HAVE ALREADY BEEN REPORTED THIS MORNING. SWIMMING
IS NOT RECOMMENDED DUE TO THE DANGER POSED BY RIP CURRENTS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ON MONDAY AS THE
FLOW ALONG THE EAST COAST REMAINS ONSHORE, ALTHOUGH WEAKER THAN IN
PREVIOUS DAYS.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION ON MONDAY, AND REMAIN
IN THE VICINITY THROUGH WEDNESDAY, BRINGING THE CHANCE FOR A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS TO SOUTH FLORIDA.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO.