Lightning Strike in Florida, August 14, 2006

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
851 PM EDT MON AUG 14 2006

.UPDATE...TORRENTIAL THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOW BEGINNING TO WANE ALONG
THE SUNCOAST FROM THE TAMPA BAY AREA SOUTH...BUT NOT AFTER
PROVIDING ONE OF THE BUSIER LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENINGS WEVE HAD
IN SOME TIME...IN A SENSE MORE OF WHAT LONG TIME RESIDENTS
TYPICALLY EXPECT THIS TIME OF YEAR. HAVE UPDATED THE ZONE TEXT
ONCE TO ACCOUNT FOR ONGOING PRECIPITATION THROUGH THIS EVENING
AND WILL TRY TO GET ANOTHER UPDATE OUT BEFORE 10 PM BASED ON TRENDS.

CREDIT THE NAM (MODEL) FOR HINTING AT A COASTAL COLLISION OF SORTS
THIS AFTERNOON...RIDING NORTHWARD FROM SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND
TAILING OFF ALONG THE NATURE COAST. THE SEA BREEZE WAS A SECONDARY
FACTOR THIS TIME AROUND...MORE LIKELY THE ADVERTISED MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE...WHERE AN ATMOSPHERE WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER BELOW
1.8 RAN UP AGAINST THAT WITH 2.2 OR HIGHER ALONG THE COAST AND
INTO THE EASTERN GULF.

RAINFALL IS STILL BEING TABULATED...THE OFFICE ITSELF IS HEADING
TOWARD 3 INCHES WHILE JACKPOT WAS PROBABLY IN NORTHERN LEE AND
ESPECIALLY NORTHWEST CHARLOTTE COUNTY AND NORTH PORT IN
SARASOTA...WHERE WE MAY JUST HAVE HAD NEARLY 5 INCHES IN SOME SPOTS.

FOR THE OVERNIGHT...WILL END PRECIPITATION AND ACTUALLY CLEAR
THINGS OUT IN MOST AREAS AS DEEP LAYER DRYING REASSERTS ITSELF AND
NORTHEAST TO NORTHERLY FLOW ALOFT SHUNTS REMAINING CIRRUS AWAY.
18Z RUNS OF BOTH THE NAM AND GFS INDICATE THE MOISTURE CONVERGENCE
A BIT FARTHER WEST THIS TIME TUESDAY...WHICH SHOULD REDUCE THE
COVERAGE OF PRECIPITATION NEAR THE COAST WITH THE POSSIBLE
EXCEPTION OUR SOUTHWEST COUNTIES.

&&

.MARINE...THE ACTION SHOULD RESURFACE OVER THE WATERS BY MIDNIGHT
OR SO...ESPECIALLY BEYOND 20 NM OUT. CONDITIONS MAY ACTUALLY
BECOME NUMEROUS BUT WILL PROBABLY ROLL SCATTERED FOR NOW AFTER
MIDNIGHT WITH ISOLATED ELSEWHERE.

&&

.AVIATION...TSTM CONT ALONG THE COASTLINE WITH SOME MVFR/IFR VIS/CIG
THAT WILL WIND DOWN AFT 02/03Z. VFR OVERNIGHT WITH LIGHT NE WINDS.
VFR STARTS TUE OFF WITH EAST OR NE WINDS THAT SHIFT TO ONSHORE IN
THE AFTERNOON ALONG WITH PROB30 TSTM WITH MVFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM UPDATE...88/BSG
AVIATION....09/RKR

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
503 AM EDT MON AUG 14 2006

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-141800-
LEVY-CITRUS-SUMTER-HERNANDO-PASCO-PINELLAS-HILLSBOROUGH-POLK-
MANATEE-HARDEE-HIGHLANDS-SARASOTA-DE SOTO-CHARLOTTE-LEE-
503 AM EDT MON AUG 14 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA AND WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL REMAIN STALLED ACROSS THE REGION TODAY
AND TONIGHT. THIS BOUNDARY...ALONG WITH THE SEA BREEZE AND OTHER
SMALL SCALE BOUNDARIES...WILL SERVE AS A FOCUS FOR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT LATER DAY. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP TODAY WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS... AND SMALL HAIL. IF LIGHTNING IS
OBSERVED OR THUNDER IS HEARD MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH DAY. THESE
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN...GUSTY WINDS...
FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND SMALL HAIL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
422 PM EDT MON AUG 14 2006

FLZ065-142100-
LEE-
422 PM EDT MON AUG 14 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN LEE COUNTY...

A THUNDERSTORM...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH...WILL AFFECT RURAL
SOUTHEASTERN LEE COUNTY...5 TO 10 MILES NORTHEAST OF BONITA
SPRINGS...UNTIL 500 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS UP TO 40 MPH AND FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH
DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. THIS STORM MAY PRODUCE
PEA SIZE HAIL. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON
ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
431 PM EDT MON AUG 14 2006

FLZ050-142100-
PINELLAS-
431 PM EDT MON AUG 14 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AND SLIDING SOUTH ACROSS EASTERN
PINELLAS COUNTY INCLUDING CLEARWATER AND PALM HARBOR...

DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH...WILL CONTINUE TO
AFFECT AREAS FROM PALM HARBOR...EAST LAKE...OLDSMAR...AND CLEARWATER
UNTIL 500 PM EDT. BRIEFLY GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE
OBJECTS TO BLOW AROUND. MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS
POSSIBLE. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT
OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS. HAIL
UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS EXPECTED BUT WILL LAST NO MORE
THAN A FEW MINUTES IN ANY ONE LOCATION. TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL REDUCE
VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. MOTORISTS MAY WANT TO DELAY TRAVEL.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
536 PM EDT MON AUG 14 2006

FLZ062-142200-
CHARLOTTE-
536 PM EDT MON AUG 14 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS POUNDING CHARLOTTE COUNTY INCLUDING PUNTA
GORDA WITH TORRENTIAL RAINS AND HAIL...

THUNDERSTORMS MOVING LITTLE...WILL AFFECT THE I 75 AND TAMIAMI TRAIL
CORRIDOR...INCLUDING CHARLOTTE PARK AND PUNTA GORDA...UNTIL
600 PM EDT. GUSTY WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH MAY CAUSE LOOSE OBJECTS TO BLOW
AROUND. MINOR DAMAGE TO TREE LIMBS AND WIRES IS POSSIBLE. TORRENTIAL
RAINS WILL REDUCE VISIBILITY TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES. MOTORISTS MAY
WANT TO DELAY TRAVEL. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS
EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM
TALL OBJECTS. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER IS EXPECTED.

BSG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
641 PM EDT MON AUG 14 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0542 PM     WATER SPOUT      2 S PORT CHARLOTTE      26.95N 82.10W
08/14/2006                   GMZ856             FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            RELAYED BY CHARLOTTE SO. TIME ESTIMATED.

0542 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     PORT CHARLOTTE          26.98N 82.10W
08/14/2006                   CHARLOTTE          FL   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            RELAYED BY CHARLOTTE SO FROM PUBLIC REPORTS. SEVERAL
            REPORTS MAY HAVE BEEN SAME FUNNEL. POSSIBLE TORNADO
            TOUCHDOWN PENDING INVESTIGATION BY S.O. PERSONNEL.

0620 PM     HAIL             PORT CHARLOTTE          26.98N 82.10W
08/14/2006  E0.75 INCH       CHARLOTTE          FL   PUBLIC

            LASTED FOR TWO MINUTES. ALSO REPORTED POSSIBLE FUNNEL
            CLOUD AT 629 PM EDT.

&&

BSG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
747 PM EDT MON AUG 14 2006

FLZ051-150015-
HILLSBOROUGH-
747 PM EDT MON AUG 14 2006

...TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CONTINUE POUNDING SOUTHERN HILLSBOROUGH
COUNTY THROUGH 8 PM OR A BIT LATER...

THUNDERSTORMS...DEVELOPING AND MOVING SOUTH AT 10 MPH...WILL AFFECT
APOLLO BEACH...WIMAUMA...SUN CITY CENTER AND RUSKIN...UNTIL 815 PM
EDT. RAINFALL WAS APPROACHING 2 INCHES AT THE NWS OFFICE IN RUSKIN
SINCE AROUND 630 PM...WITH MOST FALLING SINCE 715 PM. RAINFALL RATES
OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL OCCUR WITH STORM TOTALS IN SOME AREAS
EXCEEDING 3 INCHES..

MOTORISTS CAN EXPECT PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR FLOODING
OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS SOUTH OF TAMPA . FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW
SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS.

BSG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
818 PM EDT MON AUG 14 2006

FLZ051-150045-
HILLSBOROUGH-
818 PM EDT MON AUG 14 2006

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY FROM
TAMPA SOUTH TO RUSKIN...

THUNDERSTORMS...MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH...WILL AFFECT APOLLO
BEACH...MACDILL AIR FORCE BASE...GIBSONTON AND RUSKIN...UNTIL 845 PM
EDT. RAINFALL WAS APPROACHING 2.75 INCHES AT THE NWS OFFICE IN
RUSKIN SINCE AROUND 630 PM. RAINFALL RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR
WILL OCCUR WITH STORM TOTALS IN SOME AREAS EXCEEDING 3 INCHES..

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS EXPECTED. IF CAUGHT
OUTSIDE...CROUCH DOWN IN A LOW SPOT...AWAY FROM TALL OBJECTS.
TORRENTIAL RAINS WILL CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS...AND MINOR
FLOODING OF POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

RKR