Damaging Wind in Delaware, July 28, 2006

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1100 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

.NEAR TERM /THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THIS EVENING/...
AT LATE MORNING, A MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE WAS DRIFTING EASTWARD OVER
WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA.  THE AXIS OF THE SHORT WAVE SHOULD REACH THE
NEW JERSEY COAST THIS EVENING.  AS IT MOVES INTO THE VERY UNSTABLE
AIR OVER OUR REGION IT WILL TOUCH OFF ANOTHER ROUND OF TSTMS FOR
THIS AFTERNOON INTO EARLY THIS EVENING.

THE TSTMS WILL BECOME QUITE ORGANIZED AND SPC CONTINUES TO HAVE MOST
OF EASTERN PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NEW JERSEY IN ITS
SLIGHT RISK AREA FOR SEVERE WEATHER.  HOWEVER, IT SEEMS VERY
POSSIBLE THAT SOME SEVERE WEATHER COULD SPILL OVER INTO THE UPPER
DELMARVA AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AS WELL.  THE MAIN THREAT TODAY IS
FOR GUSTY WINDS ALONG WITH FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.

WITH SURFACE DEW POINTS IN THE LOWER AND MIDDLE 70S AND WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES IN THE 2 INCH RAIN, WERE EXPECTING SOME
HEAVY DOWNPOURS AS WELL.

UNLIKE LAST NIGHTS CONVECTION, MUCH OF TODAYS TSTM ACTIVITY SHOULD
MOVE OFF TO OUR EAST AND SOUTH SHORTLY AFTER DARK AS THE SHORT WAVE
PASSES OFF THE COAST.  AS A RESULT, WE ARE EXPECTING A RELATIVELY
QUIET OVERNIGHT PERIOD.

&&

.AVIATION...
IT LOOKS LIKE THE BEST CHANCES FOR TSTMS WILL BE JUST AHEAD OF THE
MID LEVEL SHORT WAVE AXIS.  BY LATE MORNING, THERE WAS ALREADY QUITE
A BIT OF PRECIP OVER THE MOUNTAINS OF WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA.  IT
LOOKS FAIRLY LIKELY THAT ALL EIGHT OF OUR TAF SITES WILL EXPERIENCE
A TSTM THIS AFTERNOON.  WELL CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE ACTIVITY IN
WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA, AND WELL ATTEMPT TO FINE TUNE THE TIMING OF
THE CONVECTION.  IT SEEMS AS THOUGH THE MAIN PLAYER WILL BE THE
CONVECTION THAT WAS LOCATED AROUND LATROBE AND JOHNSTOWN LATE THIS
MORNING.  TIMING THAT PRECIP EASTWARD WOULD BRING IT AND THE BEST
CHANCE FOR TSTMS TO KPHL AROUND 5:00 PM.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...NONE.
NJ...NONE.
DE...NONE.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

NEAR TERM/AVIATION...IOVINO

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...RETRANSMIT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
955 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

DEZ001-NJZ015-017>019-PAZ067>071-291030-
NEW CASTLE-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
955 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN PENNSYLVANIA,
NORTHERN DELAWARE, AND PORTIONS OF WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST NEW
JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN, OKLAHOMA HAS PUT THE AREA
UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
AN EXCESSIVE HEAT OUTLOOK IS IN EFFECT FOR HIGHLY URBANIZED SECTIONS
OF THE DELAWARE VALLEY FOR SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HEAT AND
HUMIDITY ARE FORECAST TO RETURN TO THE DELAWARE VALLEY ON SUNDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY, WITH HEAT INDICES EXPECTED TO RISE TO OR ABOVE
100 IN HIGHLY URBANIZED AREAS. NIGHTTIME HEAT INDICES MAY NOT DROP
BELOW 80.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY.

ANZ450>452-MDZ008-NJZ001-007>010-012>014-016-020-022-025>027-
PAZ054-055-060>062-291030-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT
20 NM-CECIL-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-
WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-
MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
955 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF EASTERN
PENNSYLVANIA, THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE, AND NORTHERN,
EAST CENTRAL AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY, EXCLUDING THE
FIVE NORTHEAST COUNTIES.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER IN NORMAN, OKLAHOMA HAS PUT THE AREA
UNDER A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL ARE THE MAIN THREATS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TODAY.

ANZ430-431-453>455-DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ021-023-024-
291030-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
KENT DE-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-
TALBOT-CAROLINE-CUMBERLAND-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-
955 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN DELAWARE,
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE AND FAR SOUTHERN NEW
JERSEY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

CORRECTED DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN SECTION OF THE FIRST GROUP.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1130 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ001-007>010-012>020-022-025>027-PAZ054-055-
060>062-067>071-282100-
NEW CASTLE-CECIL-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-
MIDDLESEX-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-MERCER-SALEM-
GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-OCEAN-ATLANTIC-
COASTAL ATLANTIC-COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-CARBON-
MONROE-BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...ELKTON...NEWTON...
WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...
NEW BRUNSWICK...FREEHOLD...SANDY HOOK...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
JACKSON...HAMMONTON...ATLANTIC CITY...LONG BEACH ISLAND...
WHARTON STATE FOREST...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...
ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...
DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA
1130 AM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

...STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATER TODAY...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFFSHORE TODAY. AT THE SAME TIME, AN
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION AND HELP TO
PRODUCE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, SOME OF WHICH MAY BE STRONG TO
SEVERE. BESIDES STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL, LOCALIZED HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING COULD OCCUR.

IF YOU HAVE OUTDOOR PLANS TODAY, KEEP AN EYE TO THE SKY. SEEK
SHELTER IF THUNDERSTORMS APPROACH.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR
THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
147 PM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

NJZ001-007>010-PAZ054-055-060>062-067>069-282000-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-CARBON-MONROE-BERKS-
LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...JIM THORPE...STROUDSBURG...READING...
ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...EASTON...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...
DOYLESTOWN
147 PM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

...THUNDERSTORMS EXPLOSIVELY DEVELOPING ACROSS THE REGION...

NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN THE HOT AND HUMID AIR
MASS OVER THE REGION. AN ORGANIZED LINE OF STORMS IS ABOUT TO
ENTER BERKS COUNTY AND THE POCONOS AS AS 140 PM. AHEAD OF THOSE
STORMS, SCATTERED STRONG STORMS ARE DEVELOPING IN THE
PHILADELPHIA NORTHWEST SUBURBS AND THE LEHIGH VALLEY. EXPECT THE
AREAL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF THESE STORMS TO INCREASE AS THE
AFTERNOON CONTINUES.

IF YOU SEE THREATENING WEATHER, HEAD INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. DO NOT
BECOME THE NEXT LIGHTNING DEATH STATISTIC. THESE STORMS WILL ALSO
PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN ALONG WITH THE THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS.
PLEASE WATCH FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND TAKE ROADS THAT ARE NOT
PRONE TO FLOODING.

TFG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
221 PM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

PAZ060>062-067>071-282030-
BERKS-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-
PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...READING...ALLENTOWN...BETHLEHEM...
EASTON...WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA
221 PM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA...

SKYWARN SPOTTER AND AIRPORT OBSERVATIONS REPORTED THAT WIND GUSTS
OF ABOUT 40 TO 50 MPH ARE ACCOMPANYING THE STORMS AS THEY MOVED
THROUGH CENTRAL BERKS COUNTY AND VALLEY TOWNSHIP IN CENTRAL CHESTER
COUNTY.

SIMILAR WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED IN THE LEHIGH VALLEY AND THE
NORTHWEST PHILADELPHIA SUBURBS WITH THE STRONGER STORMS DURING THE
NEXT ONE TO TWO HOURS.

THE STORMS COINCIDING WITH THE DAYTIME HEATING DOES INCREASE THE
LIKELIHOOD THAT THEY COULD BECOME SEVERE. SEVERE OR NOT FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
STORMS.

PLEASE SEEK SHELTER AT THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING WEATHER.

TFG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
258 PM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0220 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WEST CHESTER            39.96N 75.61W
07/28/2006                   CHESTER            PA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN COUNTY WIDE.

0250 PM     TSTM WND GST     PHILADELPHIA            40.01N 75.13W
07/28/2006  M0.00 MPH        PHILADELPHIA       PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            69 MPH WIND GUST IN ROXBOUROUGH WITH NUMEROUS TREES DOWN
            AROUND THE AREA.

&&

ROBERTSON

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
305 PM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

NJZ001-007>010-PAZ062-282115-
SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-NORTHAMPTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWTON...WASHINGTON...MORRISTOWN...
FLEMINGTON...SOMERVILLE...BETHLEHEM...EASTON
305 PM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS MOVING THROUGH THE AREA...

PUBLIC REPORTS AND AIRPORT OBSERVATIONS REPORTED THAT WINDS HAVE
GUSTED TO ABOUT 50 MPH AS THE STORMS MOVED THROUGH LEHIGH COUNTY.

SIMILAR WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED IN NORTHWEST NEW JERSEY
WITH THE STRONGER STORMS DURING THE NEXT ONE TO TWO HOURS.

THE STORMS COINCIDING WITH THE DAYTIME HEATING DOES INCREASE THE
LIKELIHOOD THAT THEY COULD BECOME SEVERE. SEVERE OR NOT FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS WILL ACCOMPANY THE
STORMS.

PLEASE SEEK SHELTER AT THE FIRST SIGN OF THREATENING WEATHER.

TFG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
311 PM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

DEZ001-NJZ015>019-PAZ067>071-291200-
NEW CASTLE-MERCER-SALEM-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-
CHESTER-MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WILMINGTON...TRENTON...PENNSVILLE...
GLASSBORO...CAMDEN...CHERRY HILL...MOORESTOWN...MOUNT HOLLY...
WEST CHESTER...NORRISTOWN...DOYLESTOWN...MEDIA
311 PM EDT FRI JUL 28 2006

...EXCESSIVE HEAT OUTLOOK FOR THE HIGHLY URBANIZED AREAS THE FIRST HALF OF
NEXT WEEK...

THE SCORCHING HEAT THAT HAS BEEN OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE NATION
THIS PAST WEEK IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT OVER THIS SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS
THIS COMING WEEK.

HEAT INDICES WILL BEGIN TO CLIMB ON SUNDAY AND CONTINUE TO SLOWLY RISE
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WHILE THE COMBINATION OF HEAT AND HUMIDITY
WILL MAKE IT FEEL LIKE 95 TO 100 DEGREES ON SUNDAY, INCREASED LEVELS
OF HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL MAKE IT FEEL MORE LIKE 100 TO 105 DEGREES
ON MONDAY, TUESDAY, AND WEDNESDAY.

REMEMBER, THE NIGHTTIME CAN BE JUST AS OPPRESSIVE AND THERE IS
LITTLE IF ANY PLACE TO GO FOR RELIEF EXCEPT IN YOUR OWN HOME. SO
MAKE SURE YOU HAVE PROPER VENTILATION AND PERHAPS EVEN STAY WITH A
FAMILY MEMBER OR FRIEND THROUGH THE UPCOMING HEAT WAVE.

HERE ARE A FEW RECOMMENDATIONS FOR WHEN THE HEAT ARRIVES.

TRY TO AVOID WORKING OR PLAYING DIRECTLY IN THE SUN. IF YOU WILL BE
BE OUTSIDE, WEAR LIGHT-COLORED, LIGHTWEIGHT CLOTHING, A HAT WITH
A BRIM, AND SUNSCREEN.

AN AIR-CONDITIONED ENVIRONMENT IS BEST. IF THAT IS NOT AVAILABLE,
TURN ON A FAN AND OPEN WINDOWS TO RELEASE TRAPPED HOT AIR.

DRINK PLENTY OF NON-ALCOHOLIC FLUIDS EVEN IF YOU ARENT THIRSTY.

IF YOU TAKE MEDICATION, CONSULT WITH YOUR PHYSICIAN ABOUT POSSIBLE
ADVERSE REACTIONS IN HEAT.

ANIMALS CAN SUFFER FROM THE HIGH HEAT AS WELL. MAKE SURE THEY HAVE
ACCESS TO WATER AND SUFFICIENT VENTILATION.

LASTLY, NEVER LEAVE ELDERLY PEOPLE, CHILDREN OR PETS ALONE IN CARS.

CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO ALL HAZARDS OR LOCAL MEDIA
FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION CONCERNING THE UPCOMING HEAT.

EBERWINE/OHARA/KRUZDLO