Hail in Pennsylvania, August 7, 2005

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
132 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2005

.AVIATION...
VFR EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASING
S OF THE AREA ISOLATED LATE AFT/EVE DEVELOPMENT IS POSSIBLE IN FAR SRN
REACHES. MID DECK WILL MOVE BACK IN OVERNIGHT WITH AREAS OF 5SM BR PSBL
TOWARD DAWN.
&&

.SHORT TERM (THRU MON)...
AT THE SFC, SLIGHTLY HIER DEWPTS IN SERN 1/3 OF CWA DEFINE AREA WHERE
20% POPS SHALL OCCUR TONIGHT. A LTL H5 TROF APPROACHING FROM MICH SHALL
RAISE THE POPS TO 40% FOR MON, WHICH IS ABT THE AVG POP OF THE 3 MODELS.
&&

.LONG TERM (TUE THRU SUN)...
H5 FLOW IS BASICALLY ZONAL. ONCE IN A WHILE, A SFC FRONT PUSHES ALL THE
WAY TO SRN PA. WHEN THE FRONT IS SOUTH OF PIT, THE POPS ARE 14-20%
WHEN FRONTS ARE FURTHER N OR PRESSING IN UPON PIT, THE POPS ARE 30%.
LOWS REMAIN IN THE 60S HIGHS IN THE 80S, TYPICAL FOR THE SUMMER. MAY
SEE A SURGE TWD 90F BY END OF WEEK AS SERN STATES HIGH BLDS A BIT.
&&

.PBZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
412 AM EDT SUN AUG 7 2005

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-
029>032-WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-080811-
ALLEGHENY PA-ARMSTRONG PA-BEAVER PA-BELMONT OH-BROOKE WV-BUTLER PA-
CARROLL OH-CLARION PA-COLUMBIANA OH-COSHOCTON OH-FAYETTE PA-
FOREST PA-GARRETT MD-GREENE PA-GUERNSEY OH-HANCOCK WV-HARRISON OH-
INDIANA PA-JEFFERSON PA-JEFFERSON OH-LAWRENCE PA-MARION WV-
MARSHALL WV-MERCER PA-MONONGALIA WV-MONROE OH-MUSKINGUM OH-NOBLE OH-
OHIO WV-PRESTON WV-TUCKER WV-TUSCARAWAS OH-VENANGO PA-WASHINGTON PA-
WESTMORELAND PA-WETZEL WV-
412 AM EDT SUN AUG 7 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
EAST CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND
GARRETT COUNTY MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

15

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
530 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2005

PAZ032-072230-
FAYETTE PA-
530 PM EDT SUN AUG 7 2005

...THUNDERSTORMS DUMPING VERY HEAVY RAIN...

A CLUSTER OF INTENSE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE EASTERN
HALF OF FAYETTE COUNTY...

AT 525 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR IN PITTSBURGH
INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF OHIOPYLE...MOVING
EAST AT 5 MPH. VERY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY ACCUMULATE MORE THAN AN INCH
IN SOME AREAS. THIS HEAVY RAIN MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. THESE STORMS ARE ALSO CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE IMPACTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
  CONNELLSVILLE...DUNBAR...FARMINGTON...OHIOPYLE AND SEVEN SPRINGS

KEEP AN EYE TO THE SKY AND MOVE TO A SAFE PLACE IF THUNDERSTORMS
APPROACH.

PLEASE REPORT HAIL...STRONG WINDS OR WIND DAMAGE TO THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1-877-633-6772.

AVOID LOW LYNING AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS. WATER LEVELS
OF SMALL STREAMS AND CREEKS MAY ALSO RISE...THEREFORE SEEK HIGHER
GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

INTENSE AND FREQUENT CL0OUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS ASSOCIATED WITH
THESE STORMS. IF OUTDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM ISOLATED HIGH OBJECTS
SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INDOORS IF POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY
FROM WINDOWS AND DOORS AND AVOID USING TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN
EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE
THE THUNDERSTORM APPROACHES.