Hail in Florida, May 29, 2005

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
147 PM EDT SUN MAY 29 2005

.DISCUSSION...CURRENTLY, SEABREEZES ARE NOW ACTIVE BUT TO PRECIP
YET. ACARS SOUNDINGS SHOW THAT THE H5 TEMPS HAVE DECREASED TO -9
TO -10, SO DEVELOPMENT WILL BE RATHER QUICK THROUGH 3 PM. CHANCES
ARE GOOD FOR AT LEAST WIND GUSTS TO 35 KNOTS AND SMALL HAIL.

WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE EXTENDS WESTWARD INTO SOUTH FLORIDA
FROM THE ATLANTIC. THIS WILL REMAIN THE SURFACE SYNOPTIC FEATURE
THROUGH THE EXTENDED. ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE WILL INCREASE NEXT FEW
DAYS AS MEAN WIND TURNS MORE TO THE SOUTH. PWATS WILL CLIMB TO
OVER 2 FOR TUE AND WED AND THESE DAYS WILL HAVE THE HIGHEST POPS.
BY THU, MEAN FLOW BECOMES SE AND THEN E BY NEXT WEEKEND AS THE
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE STRENGTHENS JUST TO THE NORTH OF THE
CWA. PWATS WILL ALSO DECREASE STEADILY. FOCUS OF HIGHEST POPS
WILL BE INTERIOR AND WEST THU THROUGH SUN.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 15 KNOTS AND SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS
THROUGH ENTIRE PERIOD, SO GOOD BOATING WILL CONTINUE OUTSIDE OF
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO PROBLEMS HERE SINCE AFTN RHS WILL BE ABOVE
40 PERCENT.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  73  91  75  90 /  20  30  20  50
FORT LAUDERDALE  75  88  77  89 /  20  30  20  50
MIAMI            76  90  77  90 /  20  30  20  50
NAPLES           73  88  75  88 /   5  20  20  30

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

18

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
308 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2005

FLZ063-066>075-292300-
GLADES-HENDRY-PALM BEACH WESTERN-PALM BEACH EASTERN-
WESTERN COLLIER-EASTERN COLLIER-WESTERN BROWARD-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-WESTERN DADE-DADE METROPOLITAN-
MAINLAND MONROE-
308 AM EDT SUN MAY 29 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

...A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG EAST COAST TODAY...
...CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS INTERIOR AND EAST COAST TODAY...
...SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEST COAST TODAY...

THUNDERSTORMS: THE EAST AND WEST COAST SEA BREEZES ALONG WITH THE
LAKE BREEZE SHOULD DEVELOP AND MOVE INLAND SLOWLY BEFORE GETTING
PUSH BACK TO THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON, AS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ALONG THE SEA AND LAKE BREEZES.

A FEW OF THE STORMS COULD EVEN BECOME STRONG LATE THIS AFTERNOON
ALONG THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS WITH GUSTY WINDS...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...AND SMALL HAIL DUE TO THE COLDER AIR ALOFT OVER SOUTH
FLORIDA.

REMEMBER...IF YOU SEE ANY LIGHTNING OR HEAR THUNDER MOVE INSIDE
UNTIL THE STORMS HAVE PASSED.

NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE EAST COAST METRO AREAS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

BAXTER