Funnel Cloud in Florida, July 27, 2005

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
230 PM EDT WED JUL 27 2005

.DISCUSSION...WEAK SURFACE TROUGH IS STILL WITH US TODAY.  DRIER AIR
HAS MOVED INTO OUR ZONES AS SEEN IN THE GPSMET.  WE ALSO HAVE AN
UPPER CIRCULATION NEAR 70W THAT SO FAR HAS NOT MOVED MUCH.  EXPECT
THIS TO MOVE WESTWARD SOME AS THE RIDGE NORTH OF IT BUILDS.  AT
FIRST GLANCE THOUGHT THIS COULD ACT TO KEEP THE DRIER AIR OVER US
LONGER THAN EARLIER EXPECTED. NOW NOT AS CERTAIN. IN ANY EVENT WILL
STILL KEEP THE PROBABILITIES BELOW CLIMATE AT LEAST ANOTHER DAY.
THE TROPICAL WAVE IN THE ATLANTIC NEAR 45W IS ON A SCHEDULE FOR A
SUNDAY TO MONDAY ARRIVAL.  THE STRENGTH OF THE UPPER RIDGE IN THE
ATLANTIC THAT WILL BE BUILDING TO ITS NORTH WILL HELP DETERMINE IF
IT MOVES OVER US OR NOT.  FOR THE TIME BEING WILL STAY WITH THE
SOLUTION THAT IT WILL REMAIN TO OUR EAST AND WE WILL BE ON THE DRY
SIDE OF IT.  SO THE PLAN IS TO KEEP THE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING CONVECTION ON THE EASTERN SIDE OF OUR ZONES.  LET FRIDAY BE
THE TRANSITION DAY AND BY SATURDAY START TO SHIFT THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING CONVECTION TO THE WESTERN SIDE OF OUR ZONES.

&&

.MARINE...WINDS WILL REMAIN LESS THAN 15 KT THROUGH LATE THIS WEEK
BUT SWITCH TO EASTERLY COMPONENT. SO BOATING WX WILL CONT TO BE
GOOD EXCEPT FOR SOME CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY. BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND
WINDS MAY INCREASE A BIT AS THE WAVE APPROACHES.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO CONCERNS HERE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH  78  93  77  92 /  05  30  10  50
FORT LAUDERDALE  79  92  77  90 /  10  30  10  50
MIAMI            78  92  78  91 /  10  30  10  50
NAPLES           79  90  78  90 /  05  30  10  50

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTH FLORIDA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
356 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2005

FLZ063-066>075-280800-
GLADES-HENDRY-PALM BEACH WESTERN-PALM BEACH EASTERN-
WESTERN COLLIER-EASTERN COLLIER-WESTERN BROWARD-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-WESTERN DADE-DADE METROPOLITAN-
MAINLAND MONROE-
347 AM EDT WED JUL 27 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS: SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS
AFTERNOON WHEN THE EAST AND WEST COAST SEA BREEZES COLLIDE OVER
THE INTERIOR OF SOUTH FLORIDA. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SCATTERED
OVER THE SOUTH PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA...MOVING SOUTHEAST AND
AFFECTING THE METROPOLITAN AREAS OF BROWARD AND MIAMI-DADE
COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON. OVER THE NORTH PORTIONS OF THE AREA
...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED...FORMING IN
THE INTERIOR AROUND LAKE OKEECHOBEE AND MOVING SOUTHEAST BUT
REMAINING EAST OF THE METROPOLITAN AREAS OF PALM BEACH COUNTY. A
FEW STORMS COULD PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES, LOCALLY VERY
HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND BRIEF WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

FOR MORE INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
MIAMI WEBSITE AT WWW.MIAMIWEATHER.INFO.