Damaging Wind in Arkansas, August 6, 2005

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
404 PM CDT SAT AUG 6 2005

.SHORT TERM...TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT
SCATTERED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS POPPED UP MAINLY IN NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL ARKANSAS THIS AFTERNOON...WITH PRECIPITATION MORE
ISOLATED IN THE SOUTH. MAIN PRECIPITATION AREA NEAR A COLD
FRONT...WHICH WILL CONTINUE PUSHING INTO THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES
OVERNIGHT.

SCATTERED STORMS WILL SHIFT WITH THE FRONT THIS EVENING...AND WILL
BECOME MORE ISOLATED TOWARD MIDNIGHT.

ON SUNDAY...FRONT WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHERN ARKANSAS. SCATTERED
STORMS WILL REDEVELOP MAINLY FROM LITTLE ROCK SOUTHWARD.

LOOKING AHEAD...LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP ALOFT MONDAY/TUESDAY.
PATTERN WILL REMAIN UNSETTLED...WITH A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
CONTINUING.

IF TODAY IS ANY INDICATION...STORMS IN THE SHORT TERM WILL NOT
EXHIBIT MUCH MOVEMENT...WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN LIKELY. ALSO...A
FEW STORMS COULD BE SEVERE...BUT NO ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS
EXPECTED.

TEMPERATURES IN THE SHORT TERM WILL TEND TO BE AT/A LITTLE BELOW
NORMAL WITH CLOUDS/SCATTERED PRECIPITATION EACH DAY. (46)
&&

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY
AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL BE ACROSS
THE AREA TO BEGIN THE EXTENDED PERIOD. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE LOCATED
IN THE PLAINS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER ARKANSAS LATE THURSDAY
INTO FRIDAY...DIMINISHING RAIN CHANCES.

WILL KEEP SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ACROSS MAINLY SOUTHEAST SECTIONS
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING DRIER AIR INTO
THE AREA FRIDAY ALLOWING STORMS TO EXIT TO THE EAST. MUCH OF THE
MOISTURE WILL BE EAST OF ARKANSAS ON SATURDAY SO WILL KEEP SATURDAY
DRY AT THIS TIME. TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE
NORMAL. (51)
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
LITTLE ROCK   AR  72  92  72  92 /  40  30  30  30
HARRISON AR       67  88  67  90 /  20  20  20  30
HOT SPRINGS AR    72  92  72  92 /  30  30  30  30
PINE BLUFF AR     72  92  72  92 /  30  40  30  30
MOUNTAIN HOME AR  67  88  67  90 /  20  20  20  30
MONTICELLO AR     73  92  73  93 /  30  40  30  30
SEARCY AR         70  91  70  92 /  40  30  30  30
MOUNT IDA AR      71  92  71  92 /  30  30  30  30
RUSSELLVILLE AR   70  92  70  92 /  30  20  20  30
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...46 / LONG TERM....51

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
330 PM CDT SAT AUG 6 2005

ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-071000-
BOONE-MARION-BAXTER-FULTON-SHARP-NEWTON-SEARCY-STONE-IZARD-
INDEPENDENCE-JOHNSON-POPE-VAN BUREN-CLEBURNE-JACKSON-LOGAN-CONWAY-
FAULKNER-WHITE-WOODRUFF-SCOTT-YELL-PERRY-POLK-MONTGOMERY-GARLAND-
SALINE-PULASKI-LONOKE-PRAIRIE-MONROE-PIKE-CLARK-HOT SPRING-GRANT-
JEFFERSON-ARKANSAS-DALLAS-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-DESHA-OUACHITA-
CALHOUN-BRADLEY-DREW-
330 PM CDT SAT AUG 6 2005

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A WEAK COLD FRONT WAS SLOWLY PUSHING SOUTHWARD INTO CENTRAL ARKANSAS
THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MID EVENING...USING THE FRONT AS A FOCAL POINT. SOME OF THE
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS. HOWEVER...ORGANIZED
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH
AFTER SUNSET THIS EVENING.

THE STORMS WILL BE MOISTURE LADEN AND MOVE VERY SLOWLY. AS A RESULT
...COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF RAIN AND LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING MAY RESULT.
SOME OF THE STRONGER STORMS MAY DROP IN EXCESS OF TWO INCHES OF RAIN
IN AN HOUR OR LESS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALOFT WILL LINGER IN THE AREA FOR THE
NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. AS A RESULT...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY...WITH SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCES OVER THE
SOUTHERN PARTS OF ARKANSAS. HOWEVER...THE CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER
WILL REMAIN LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

&&

FOR THE LATEST GRAPHICAL AND TEXT FORECASTS AND OUTLOOKS...PLEASE
VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT HTTP://WWW.SRH.WEATHER.GOV/LZK

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