1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 27, 3:19 AM CST, 4 hours 25 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 419 AM CDT MON SEP 27 2004 .SHORT TERM... ACTIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF THE WORKWEEK. CURRENT RADAR SHOWING EXTENSIVE AREA OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN MOVING UP FROM THE NW HILL COUNTRY THROUGH THE PERMIAN BASIN AND INTO THE SOUTH PLAINS THIS MORNING. WILL CONTINUE MODERATE TO LOCALLY RAIN FOR POINTS ON THE CAPROCK THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER NEW MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY MOVE EAST TODAY. HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATERS AND GOOD LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE THE CONVEYOR BELT OF RAIN MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT. ETA AND GFS 305 TO 310K ISENTROPIC ANALYSIS CONTINUES TO KEEP A SHARP GRADIENT OVER THE WEST AND WEST CENTRAL COUNTIES MONDAY WITH THE CUTOFF OF LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL ROUGHLY ALONG THE CAPROCK. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD IN KEEPING EVENT FOCUS GOING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY MORNING. DOPPLER ESTIMATES SHOWING A WIDESPREAD 3 TO 5 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 6 OR MORE INCHES OVER THE PAST COUPLE DAYS OVER THE CURRENT FLASH FLOOD WATCH AREA. NEW RAINS NOW ADDING TO STORM TOTALS TO THE EAST. WILL KEEP THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH GOING THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY AND WILL ADD LUBBOCK AND LYNN COUNTIES. HEAVY RAIN WILL ONCE AGAIN FALL OVER SATURATED SOILS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING...LIKELY CAUSING EXCESSIVE RUNOFF AND FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS. TEMPERATURES WILL ONCE AGAIN STRUGGLE OUT OF THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S WEST AND UPPER 70S EAST. WILL KEEP 80 TO 100 POP AND 90 TO 100 SKY COVER THROUGH THE PERIOD. ONLY MINOR CHANGES MADE TO GRIDS TO ACCOUNT FOR ONGOING TRENDS. WIDELSKI .LONG TERM... SLOW MOVING CLOSED LOW WILL BE OPENING UP AS IT MOVES ACROSS WEST TEXAS TUESDAY. IT SHOULD STILL HAVE CONSIDERABLE DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH IT WITH RAIN LIKELY TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE WRN HALF OF THE FA AND MAY POSSIBLY SPREAD EWD ONTO THE ROLLING PLAINS. WILL TAILOR POPS ACCORDINGLY. MODELS CONTINUE TO PROG A RELATIVELY QUICK EXIT AND WEAKENING OF THIS SYSTEM. MAY HAVE SOME LINGERING SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT...BUT THAT LOOKS TO BE THE END OF IT. AGREE WITH PREVIOUS FORECASTER THAT ENOUGH RESIDUAL MOISTURE MAY BE AVAILABLE FOR SOME ISOLATED STORMS WEDNESDAY WITH AFTN HEATING...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT HIGH ENOUGH ATTM TO ADD MENTION TO WX GRIDS ATTM. STILL CONSIDERABLE MODEL DIVERGENCE IN HANDLING OF BOTH NRN AND SRN STREAM ENERGY IN SPLIT FLOW SCENARIO. 00Z GFS HAS TEMPERED ITS HANDLING OF THE COLD AIR INTRUSION WHILE ECMWF AND DGEX CONTINUE TO BRING SIG COOL SHOT INTO THE SRN PLAINS. WILL CONTINUE TO PREFER THE LATTER SCENARIO AND THUS THE PREVIOUS FCST OF COOL TEMPS SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. CONTEMPLATED HIGHER POPS FOR FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY BUT WILL HOLD OFF ATTM PENDING BETTER CONSENSUS OF HANDLING OF UPPER ENERGY...MOISTURE AND FRONTAL POSITIONING. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... FRIONA 65 56 67 52 / 90 80 60 30 TULIA 70 58 70 54 / 80 70 50 30 PLAINVIEW 71 59 71 55 / 80 70 50 30 LEVELLAND 66 58 70 55 / 100 80 60 30 LUBBOCK 70 59 73 56 / 90 70 50 30 BROWNFIELD 66 59 72 56 / 100 80 50 30 CHILDRESS 77 61 78 57 / 30 30 30 20 SPUR 74 61 77 58 / 70 50 40 20 ASPERMONT 76 61 77 58 / 50 40 30 20 && .LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TONIGHT GENERALLY WEST OF A DIMMITT TO TAHOKA LINE TXZ021-022-027-028-033<035-039<041. && 17/07
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX 600 AM CDT MON SEP 27 2004 TXZ021-022-027-028-033>035-039>041-281100- BAILEY-CASTRO-COCHRAN-HOCKLEY-LAMB-LUBBOCK-LYNN-PARMER-TERRY-YOAKUM- 600 AM CDT MON SEP 27 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS. .DAY ONE... FLOODING A SLOW MOVING AND VIGOROUS UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE BANDS OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS MUCH OF THE SOUTH PLAINS AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN TEXAS PANHANDLE TODAY AND TONIGHT. SUBSTANTIAL MOISTURE ADVECTION AND LIFT WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN...FURTHER AGGRAVATING ALREADY SATURATED SOILS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES ARE LIKELY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. FOR THIS REASON...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED UNTIL 7 AM TUESDAY MORNING. DUE TO THE EXTENT OF THE PROJECTED HEAVY RAINFALL...LUBBOCK AND LYNN COUNTIES HAVE BEEN ADDED TO THE WATCH. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE TUESDAY. IF THIS BECOMES MORE LIKELY...THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH MAY NEED TO BE EXTENDED THROUGH TUESDAY. TXZ023>026-029>032-036>038-042>044-281100- BRISCOE-CHILDRESS-COTTLE-CROSBY-DICKENS-FLOYD-GARZA-HALE-HALL-KENT- KING-MOTLEY-STONEWALL-SWISHER- 600 AM CDT MON SEP 27 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN TEXAS PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS. .DAY ONE... FLOODING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAY MOVE NORTH INTO THE AREA FROM THE BIG COUNTRY AND EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN. AREAS ON THE CAPROCK ESCARPMENT HAVE THE GREATEST THREAT FOR HEAVY RAIN TODAY AND TONIGHT. PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS AND MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 108 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 13:43 UTC.
1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Flooding resulted in the closure of intersection Highway 214 and Farm-to-Market Road 1939.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5421906.