2 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 2 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 15, 10:12 AM CST, 3 hours 48 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 1112 AM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004 .UPDATE... LARGE WAVE OF HEAVY RAIN IS MOVING WEST ACROSS THE BUFFALO AND COLLEGE STATION AREAS TOWARD THE AUSTIN AREA. AM NOT CONFIDENT THIS WAVE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MAINTAIN THEIR CURRENT INTENSITY SO WILL HOLD OFF ISSUING A FFA FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN IS A DISTINCT POSSIBILITY SO HAVE BUMPED THE AUSTIN AREA INTO LIKELY POPS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL. INHIBITING FACTOR IS THE SUBSIDENCE FEATURE ON THE BACK SIDE OF THIS LOW, SO CURRENT THINKING IS FOR WEAKENING BEFORE THE STORMS REACHING AUSTIN. HOWEVER, A MIDDAY UPDATE IS LIKELY WITH POP GRADIENTS BECOMING TIGHT AND A FFA LOOKING MORE INVITING WITH EACH FRAME OF THE RADAR LOOP. FFG NUMBERS OVER NORTHEAST COUNTIES ARE TOO CLOSE FOR COMFORT. CURRENTLY, AM NOT TOO WORRIED ABOUT THE PULSE SEVERE THREAT DUE TO STORM STRUCTURES SUGGESTING A MORE TROPICAL SOUNDING ENVIRONMENT. TEMPS WERE KNOCKED DOWN TO ACCOUNT FOR CLOUDS NORTHEAST COUNTIES AND WINDS AND DEWPOINTS WERE TAMPERED WITH SLIGHTLY. ANOTHER REASON TO DELAY THE DECISION ON THE FFA IS THE CONSIDERATION OF TONIGHT. CURRENTLY THE UPPER LOW IS WOBBLING NORTHWEST SLIGHTLY, AND THIS COULD RESULT IN DRAMATIC DIFFERENCES IN THE FORECAST. MIDDAY UPDATE WILL LIKELY INCLUDE CHANGES TO TONIGHT AND POSSIBLY DAY2 PERIODS. && .PREV DISCUSSION... UPPER LOW CENTERED OVER THE CROSSROADS AREA WILL DETERMINE THE FORECAST IN THE SHORT-TERM AND SUBTROPICAL RIDGE IN THE LONG-TERM. MODELS SHOWING BETTER CONSISTENCY AND SEEM REASONABLE, SO WILL GO WITH A CONSENSUS. TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...UPPER LOW REMAINS OVER AREA WITH SHORT- WAVE RIDGE OVER THE RIO GRANDE. PWS RANGE FROM 1.4 INCHES FAR WEST TO 1.8 INCHES FAR EAST. VORTICITY MAXES AND JET STREAKS WILL ROTATE AROUND LOW TO PROVIDE LIFT, WHILE OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND SEABREEZE ENHANCE CONVECTION IN THE EAST. OUT WEST, SUBSIDENCE WILL BE IN ORDER. AS A RESULT, POPS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR ZERO ALONG THE RIO GRANDE TO 50 OR 60 OVER THE FAR EAST. WILL MENTION LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL FAR EAST, ALTHOUGH WILL LET DAY CREW DETERMINE ANY WATCHES AFTER PERUSAL OF 12Z RUNS. SUPPOSE THERE COULD BE A FEW PULSE STRONG STORMS WITH DOWNBURSTS POSSIBLE DUE DEEP LAYER SHEAR. DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WILL BE KEPT DOWN MAINLY IN THE EAST DUE TO CLOUDS AND RAIN. THURSDAY...WILL BE A DAY OF TRANSITION AS MOST OF UPPER LOW LIFTS NORTHEAST DUE TO TROUGH LIFTING OUT OF THE GREAT BASIN WITH A SHEAR AXIS REMAINING WITHIN A BUILDING SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. POPS MUCH LOWER AS SEABREEZE WILL BE THE MAIN MECHANISM. FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...SUBTROPICAL RIDGE CONTINUES TO BUILD FROM THE SOUTHERN STATES INTO NORTHERN MEXICO WITH ONLY A HINT OF THE SHEAR-AXIS REMAINING. NO POPS, EXCEPT FOR THE SOUTHEAST DUE TO THE SEABREEZE. && .EWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE && 18/03
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 106 PM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004 TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-161100- ATASCOSA-BANDERA-BASTROP-BEXAR-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-COMAL-DEWITT- DIMMIT-EDWARDS-FAYETTE-FRIO-GILLESPIE-GONZALES-GUADALUPE-HAYS-KARNES- KENDALL-KERR-KINNEY-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-MAVERICK-MEDINA-REAL-TRAVIS- UVALDE-VAL VERDE-WILLIAMSON-WILSON-ZAVALA- 106 PM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. A FLOOD WATCH FOR FLASH FLOODING IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR BASTROP...FAYETTE...LAVACA...LEE...TRAVIS AMD WILLIAMSON COUNTIES. THIS INCLUDES THE AUSTIN METROPOLITAN AREA. AN EASTERLY WAVE MAY PRODUCE RAINS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES. THIS MOISTURE ADDED TO THE NEARLY SATURATED CONDITIONS WILL RESULT IN FLOODING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS WHICH COULD LEAD TO ADDITIONAL FLOODING. .SPOTTER ACTIVATION... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 1235 PM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004 TXZ173-192>194-208-209-223>225-151830- BASTROP-CALDWELL-DEWITT-FAYETTE-GONZALES-LAVACA-LEE-TRAVIS- WILLIAMSON- 1235 PM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004 TRIGGERED BY TROPICAL MOISTURE AND AN UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE... A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS APPROACHING THE EASTERN- MOST COUNTIES OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. THE AREA IS MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH AND BY 130 PM SHOULD EFFECT A ROUND TOP TO LEXINGTON LINE. EXPECT 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 35 MPH WITH THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR REDUCED VISIBILITY IN HEAVY RAIN AND FOR POSSIBLE FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS. THUNDERSTORMS IN THE HALLETTSVILLE AREA COULD PRODUCE NEAR ONE INCH OF RAIN. ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...YIELDING UP TO ONE HALF INCH OF RAINFALL.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 141 PM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004 TXZ173-192>194-208-209-222>225-151930- BASTROP-CALDWELL-DEWITT-FAYETTE-GONZALES-KARNES-LAVACA-LEE-TRAVIS- WILLIAMSON- 141 PM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004 TRIGGERED BY TROPICAL MOISTURE AND AN UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE... A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS MOVING INTO THE EASTERN- MOST COUNTIES OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS. THE AREA IS MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH AND BY 230 PM SHOULD BE NEAR A THRALL TO LINCOLN TO LA GRANGE LINE. EXPECT 1 TO 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS UP TO 35 MPH WITH THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR REDUCED VISIBILITY IN HEAVY RAIN AND FOR POSSIBLE FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS. THUNDERSTORMS IN THE HALLETTSVILLE AREA COULD PRODUCE NEAR TWO INCHES OF RAIN. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE YIELDING UP TO ONE HALF INCH OF RAINFALL.
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX 235 PM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004 TXZ171>173-188-190>194-208-209-222>225-152030- BASTROP-BLANCO-BURNET-CALDWELL-DEWITT-FAYETTE-GILLESPIE-GONZALES- HAYS-KARNES-LAVACA-LEE-LLANO-TRAVIS-WILLIAMSON- 235 PM CDT TUE JUN 15 2004 A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS MOVING INTO THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN COUNTIES OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.TRIGGERED BY TROPICAL MOISTURE AND AN UPPER AIR DISTURBANCE. THE AREA IS MOVING SOUTHWEST AT 20 MPH AND BY 330 PM SHOULD BE NEAR AN ANDICE TO BASTROP TO KARNES CITY LINE. EXPECT 1 TO 2.5 INCHES OF RAIN...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS UP TO 35 MPH AND HAIL WITH THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS. MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR REDUCED VISIBILITY IN HEAVY RAIN AND FOR POSSIBLE FLOODING OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS. THUNDERSTORMS IN THE CUERO AREA COULD PRODUCE NEAR TWO INCHES OF RAIN. A RAPIDLY MOVING AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS HEADING SOUTH MAY MOVE THROUGH BURNET TO NEAR JOHNSON CITY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE YIELDING UP TO ONE HALF INCH OF RAINFALL.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
2 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Rainfall between 1 and 2 inches, with totals up to 3 inches began falling near noon over Fayette and Lavaca Counties east of US77. Flash flooding was reported in the late afternoon period.
Rainfall between 1 and 2 inches, with totals up to 3 inches began falling near noon over Fayette and Lavaca Counties east of US77. Flash flooding was reported in the late afternoon period.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, June 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5409283, 5409284.