Oklahoma, 2004Flash Flooding in Oklahoma, March 4, 2004
March 4, 2004 · NWS TSA · 3 events in 3 counties and zones
3 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $40,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Mar 4, 2:05 AM CST, 5 hours 15 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 4, 2:05 AM CST, 5 hours 15 minutes before
EASTERN OKLAHOMA/NORTHWEST ARKANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
205 AM CST THU MAR 4 2004
FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE EXTENDED THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR ALL
ZONES. IMPRESSIVE UPPER STORM SYSTEM...CURRENTLY MOVING EAST OF
BAJA MEXICO WILL LIFT NORTHEAST INTO AREA TODAY WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR SEVERE WX/FLOODING ACROSS A LARGE PORTION OF THE CWA TODAY.
WARM FRONT LOCATED NEAR THE RED RIVER EARLY THIS MORNING WITH DWPTS
IN THE UPPER 60S SOUTH OF BOUNDARY. SEVERAL CLUSTERS OF ELEVATED
TSTMS HAVE ALREADY DEVELOPED IN STRONG CONVERGENT ZONE OF 50 KT LOW
LEVEL JET. THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO DEVELOP...SPREADING
INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...WITH THE THREAT
FOR LARGE HAIL IN THE STRONGER STORMS. PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA HAVE ALREADY RECEIVED A BAND OF THREE TO FOUR INCHES OF
RAINFALL AND ANY ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION WILL LIKELY LEAD TO
SIGNIFICANT FLASH FLOODING.
STILL SOME QUESTION MARK CONCERNING THE SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL FOR
THIS AFTERNOON GIVEN EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER AND MARGINAL INSTABILITY.
SHEAR PROFILES HOWEVER WILL REMAIN VERY STRONG/FAVORABLE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS FOR SMALL SCALE BOW ECHOS/LEWP STRUCTURE
WITH CONVECTION THAT DEVELOPS ALONG THE DRY LINE/COLD FRONT. WARM
SECTOR WILL NEED TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS
FOR ANY BREAKS IN CLOUD COVER/ADDITIONAL DESTABILIZATION. IF THIS
OCCURS ANY DISCRETE CELLS THAT DEVELOP WILL LIKELY BE SUPERCELLULAR
IN NATURE WITH THE THREAT FOR TORNADOES...PRIMARILY OVER FAR
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA/WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS. MAIN SEVERE THREAT HOWEVER
WILL LIKELY BE HAIL/WIND DAMAGE AS THE MAIN CONVECTIVE LINE MOVES
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING.
SHOWERS/TSTMS EXPECTED TO SWEEP EAST OF THE AREA AROUND MIDNIGHT
WITH THE SEVERE/FLOODING THREAT ENDING. KEPT THE SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS IN FOR FRIDAY AS SECONDARY UPPER WAVE MOVES THROUGH. PRECIP
HOWEVER SHOULD REMAIN LIGHT WITH LIMITED COVERAGE. NO MAJOR CHANGES
TO THE EXTENDED ANTICIPATED.
PRELIM NUMBERS:
TUL 62 48 56 38 / 100 70 20 10
FSM 69 51 64 38 / 100 80 20 10
MLC 69 51 63 39 / 100 50 20 10
BVO 57 44 54 34 / 100 70 20 10
FYV 66 51 58 37 / 100 80 20 10
BYV 66 50 60 36 / 100 90 20 10
MKO 67 50 60 36 / 100 70 20 10
MIO 59 44 56 35 / 100 90 20 10
F10 66 48 59 38 / 100 50 20 10
HHW 72 55 66 41 / 100 40 20 10
FORECAST ID= 12
.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR ZONES
ARZ001>002...ARZ010>011...ARZ019>020...ARZ029.
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR ZONES
OKZ049...OKZ053>076.
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 4, 4:30 AM CST, 2 hours 50 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
430 AM CST THU MAR 4 2004
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-051200-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY THROUGH THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS...
...CHANCE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND
NORTHWEST ARKANSAS...
...FLASH FLOODING LIKELY ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA...
A WARM FRONT EXTENDED FROM SOUTHERN ARKANSAS INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS
EARLY THIS MORNING. A POTENT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM LOCATED OVER
NORTHERN OLD MEXICO WILL OPEN UP AND RAPIDLY MOVE NORTHEAST TODAY.
PIECES OF ENERGY WILL CONTINUE TO EJECT FROM THE LOW AND TRAVERSE
THE AREA. INTERACTION WITH THE WARM FRONT WILL RESULT IN ADDITIONAL
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
STRONG LIFT IN THE VICINITY OF THE FRONT COMBINED WITH A 30 TO 40
KNOT LOW LEVEL JET MAY RESULT IN SOME STORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING
LARGE HAIL...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT.
PREVIOUS HEAVY RAINFALL HAS RESULTED IN 3 TO 4 INCH TOTALS IN THE
VICINITY OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR. AS THE SURFACE FOCUS SHIFTS
NORTH TODAY...IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING UPPER SYSTEM...
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO SET UP ACROSS THE AREA WHICH
MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS AREAS OF NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA THAT WERE AFFECTED BY PREVIOUS RAINFALL.
CHANCES FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS THE UPPER
SYSTEM PUSHES THE WARM FRONT NORTH INTO KANSAS BY THIS AFTERNOON
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 60S SURGING NORTH. FORECASTED
INSTABILITIES REMAIN MARGINAL AND MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR FOR
SEVERE WEATHER DESPITE STRONG SHEAR. HOWEVER ANY BREAKS IN CLOUD
COVER WILL QUICKLY DESTABILIZE THE ATMOSPHERE. IF THIS OCCURS...
CAPES OF UP TO 1000 J/KG AND HELICITIES IN EXCESS OF 300 M2/S2 MAY
RESULT IN DISCRETE SUPERCELLS OUT AHEAD OF THE DRYLINE THIS
AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS.
FURTHER WEST...CONVECTION WILL FIRE AND MOVE OFF THE DRYLINE...
MOVING INTO EASTERN OKLAHOMA BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. BOW SEGMENTS
WITHIN THE SQUALL LINE WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS.
EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS WILL MAINTAIN THE TORNADO POTENTIAL ACROSS
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA WHERE SHEAR AND INSTABILITY WILL BE MAXIMIZED.
THE SEVERE WEATHER AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL WILL QUICKLY DIMINISH
BY LATE EVENING ONCE THE SQUALL LINE MOVES EAST OF THE AREA. DRIER
AND STABLE AIR WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION BEHIND THE DRY LINE.
SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON.
WARNING PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES CAN BE
FOUND IN THE OUTLOOK SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA. GIVEN
PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT
YOUR LOCATION.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ONCE THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS MOVES EAST OF THE AREA FRIDAY...
SETTLED WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE OUTLOOKED
PERIOD.
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL TABULAR
AND GRAPHICAL INFORMATION.
Flash Flood, Osage
- When
- March 4, 7:20 AM CST to 10:00 AM CST
- Where
- Osage County, South Portion
- Reported by
- EMERGENCY MANAGER
- Coordinates
- 36.629, -96.398 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Heavy thunderstorm rains caused water to flow over Highway 99 four miles north of Hominy. Isolated flooding was reported on other county road in the vicinity of Hominy.
Flash Flood, Nowata
- When
- March 4, 8:15 AM CST to 12:00 PM CST
- Where
- Nowata County, Northwest Portion
- Reported by
- EMERGENCY MANAGER
- Coordinates
- 36.799, -95.617 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Heavy thunderstorm rains caused flash flooding of small streams in the northwest part of Nowata County. Water from one stream flowed over HIghway 10 four miles east of Wann.
Flash Flood, Washington
- When
- March 4, 8:30 AM CST to 12:00 PM CST
- Where
- Washington County, Countywide
- Property damage
- $40,000
- Reported by
- EMERGENCY MANAGER
- Coordinates
- 36.715, -95.904 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Heavy thunderstorm rains caused flash flooding around Washington County. The most notable damage occurred north of Wann in the far northeast part of the county where a bridge was washed out and also in the Bartlesville area where there was street and small stream flooding. Water entered a few homes along Nowata Road in Bartlesville.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornadoes and Hail in Texas, March 4, 200412 injured · $3.7 million · F1 · 76 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Texas, March 4, 20042 injured · $2.1 million · F2 · 39 events
- Flood and Hail in Oklahoma, March 4, 20041 injured · $1.7 million · 75 kt wind · 60 events
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Oklahoma, March 4 to 6, 20045 injured · $1.3 million · 19 events
- Hail and Damaging Winds in Texas, March 4, 2004$1.9 million · 79 kt wind · 16 events
- Heavy Snow in Arizona, March 4 to 5, 200412 injured · 3 events
- Tornado and Flash Flooding in Oklahoma, March 4, 2004$241,000 · F0 · 16 events
- Tornado in Texas, March 4, 2004$30,000 · F1 · 1 event
- Flash Flooding in Kansas, March 4, 2004$80,000 · 3 events
- Flash Flood in New York, March 4, 2004$50,000 · 1 event
- Damaging Wind in Arkansas, March 4, 2004$50,000 · 60 kt wind · 1 event
- Tornado and Damaging Winds in Arkansas, March 4, 2004$25,000 · F0 · 9 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5389108, 5389110, 5389109.