Michigan, 2004

Flood in Michigan, May 21, 2004

May 21, 2004 · NWS DTX · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 21, 2:00 PM EST, 50 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 21, 2:00 PM EST, 50 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
300 PM EDT FRI MAY 21 2004

.DISCUSSION...
WE WILL EXTEND/HOIST FLOOD WATCH TO COVER ALL OF THE CWA THROUGH 6
PM SATURDAY (FOR NOW).  VERY ACTIVE WEATHER PERIOD SO THIS WILL BE
BRIEF.

SEVERE MCS/BOW ECHO PROGRESSING EAST WITH THE BOW APEX ACROSS
EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN.  SEVERE WEATHER, FOR THE MOMENT,
WILL CLEAR THE REGION BY 20Z AS WE WILL BE ON THE SUBSIDENCE SIDE OF
THIS DEPARTING SYSTEM WITH RAIN GRADUALLY COMING TO AN END.  COLD
POOL ACROSS WISCONSIN HAS SENT THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS NORTHERN
ILLINOIS INTO CENTRAL IOWA.  NEW CONVECTION IS ALREADY DEVELOPING,
LIKELY INTO ANOTHER MCS, IN NORTHERN IOWA WHERE LOW LEVEL JET PER
PROFILERS IS FEEDING MOIST AIR NORTH ALONG THE BAROCLINIC BOUNDARY.
LATEST MODELS SUGGEST UPSTREAM MCS WILL TRACK INITIALLY NORTHEAST
THEN TURN EAST PER CORFIDI VECTORS AND THICKNESSES.  HOWEVER, THE
WARM FRONT WILL BE DISPLACED A BIT FURTHER SOUTH SO AT LEAST FOR NOW
THE THREAT FROM SEVERE WEATHER (HAIL/WIND) WILL BE LIMITED.  THE
MAIN CONCERN WILL BE FLOODING AS THE GROUND IS QUITE SATURATED AND
FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS ARE LOWERING WITH TIME.

THE LOW LEVEL JET WILL STRENGTHEN OVERNIGHT (>50KTS) ACROSS THE
PLAINS AS TROF DIGS ACROSS THE ROCKIES.  THIS WILL BE SURE TO KEEP
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80
OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE PLAINS AND TRACK EAST ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES.
PWATS REMAIN WELL ABOVE 1.50 SO HEAVY RAINFALL A REAL CONCERN.

SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL PICKS UP ONCE AGAIN SATURDAY NIGHT INTO
SUNDAY AS IMPRESSIVE SURFACE WAVE DEEPENS A BIT AS IT TRACKS TOWARD
THE GREAT LAKES.  STRONG LOW LEVEL JET COMBINING WITH FRONTAL
BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS THE CWA COULD PROVE TO BE VERY INTERESTING.
EHI/S CLIMB OVER 2 WITH HELICITIES IN EXCESS OF 200
M2/S2...PRIMARILY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 69 WITH CAPES AROUND
2K J/KG.  OF COURSE, WITH ALL OF THIS CONVECTION IN THE MODELS, IT
WILL BE VERY DIFFICULT TO PIN DOWN FRONTAL PLACEMENT AND SEVERE
POTENTIAL.  WE ARE CERTAIN THAT WE WILL REMAIN IN THE MCS TRACK FOR
HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING INTO THE WEEKEND.

LOOKS LIKE A BREAK ARRIVES FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK AS UPSTREAM TROF
RELOADS ACROSS THE PLAINS.  THIS WILL SEND ANOTHER COLD FRONT ACROSS
THE LAKES NEXT WEEK AS IT STILL LOOKS COOL AND WET FOR LATE WEEK
INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLOOD WATCH...THROUGH 6 PM
SATURDAY...ALL OF SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN.

&&

BGM

EXPERIMENTAL GRAPHICAL FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE ONLINE AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/DTX  (ALL LOWER CASE)
Hazardous weather outlook, May 21, 11:19 AM EST, 3 hours 31 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1219 PM EDT FRI MAY 21 2004

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-221100-
BAY-GENESEE-HURON-LAPEER-MIDLAND-SAGINAW-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-
ST. CLAIR-TUSCOLA-
1219 PM EDT FRI MAY 21 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN ALONG
AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 69.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 232 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...WITH ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY TONIGHT. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE
SEVERE...WITH HAIL TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER BEING THE MAIN HAZARD.
HOWEVER...DAMAGING WINDS TO 70 MPH AND A POSSIBLE TORNADO CAN NOT BE
RULED OUT TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORM MOVEMENT WILL BE TO THE EAST AT 40
MPH. THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...WHICH
COULD LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY WILL RETURN NORTH AS
A WARM FRONT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

.DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF MORE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY...AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERS ACROSS THE REGION. A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO MONDAY MORNING...OTHERWISE THE NEXT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LATE TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
DISPATCHERS...PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGERS IMMEDIATELY.

THE SPOTTER NETWORK HAS BEEN ACTIVATED.

MIZ068>070-075-076-082-083-221100-
LENAWEE-LIVINGSTON-MACOMB-MONROE-OAKLAND-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-
1219 PM EDT FRI MAY 21 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN ALONG
AND SOUTH OF M-59.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 232 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 PM.

NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON...WITH SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AGAIN TONIGHT. SOME OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS
MAY BE SEVERE...WITH HAIL TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER AND WIND GUSTS TO
70 MPH BEING THE MAIN HAZARDS. A BRIEF TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT
AS WELL TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORM MOVEMENT WILL BE TO THE EAST AT 40 MPH.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT MAY ALSO PRODUCE LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL. THIS IS IN ADDITION TO THE 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN THAT
FELL LAST NIGHT. THE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL MAY CREATE FLOODING
PROBLEMS. FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...PLEASE SEE THE LATEST FLOOD
WATCH STATEMENT.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER THE NORTHERN OHIO VALLEY WILL RETURN NORTH AS
A WARM FRONT LATE TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAY TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF MORE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY...AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY LINGERS ACROSS THE REGION. A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO MONDAY MORNING...OTHERWISE THE NEXT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LATE TUESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

DISPATCHERS...PLEASE NOTIFY YOUR EMERGENCY MANAGERS IMMEDIATELY.

THE SPOTTER NETWORK HAS BEEN ACTIVATED.

BRAVENDER

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 21, 12:58 PM EST, 1 hour 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
158 PM EDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 PM     HAIL             2 E ADDISON             41.99N 84.31W
05/21/2004  1.75 INCH        LENAWEE            MI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0150 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 E ADDISON             41.99N 84.31W
05/21/2004  70 MPH           LENAWEE            MI   LAW ENFORCEMENT

0153 PM     HAIL             CHELSEA                 42.31N 84.02W
05/21/2004  0.50 INCH        WASHTENAW          MI   PUBLIC

&&

RBW
Local storm report, May 21, 1:01 PM EST, 1 hour 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
201 PM EDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0155 PM     TSTM WND GST     CHELSEA                 42.31N 84.02W
05/21/2004  65 MPH           WASHTENAW          MI   PUBLIC

0159 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 NW TECUMSEH           42.02N 83.96W
05/21/2004  60 MPH           LENAWEE            MI   AIRPLANE PILOT

            MARBLE SIZE HAIL

&&

RBW
Local storm report, May 21, 1:05 PM EST, 1 hour 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
205 PM EDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0145 PM     HAIL             5 N ADDISON             42.06N 84.35W
05/21/2004  1.00 INCH        LENAWEE            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&
NEAR CAMBRIDGE JUNCTION

RBW
Local storm report, May 21, 1:38 PM EST, 1 hour 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
238 PM EDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0201 PM     HAIL             SALINE                  42.18N 83.78W
05/21/2004  1.00 INCH        WASHTENAW          MI   EMERGENCY MNGR

0201 PM     TSTM WND GST     SALINE                  42.18N 83.78W
05/21/2004  60 MPH           WASHTENAW          MI   EMERGENCY MNGR

            8 INCH TREE LIMBS BLOWN DOWN

0203 PM     HAIL             ADRIAN                  41.90N 84.04W
05/21/2004  0.75 INCH        LENAWEE            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HAIL COVERING THE GROUND

0205 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST ANN ARBOR               42.28N 83.73W
05/21/2004  61 MPH           WASHTENAW          MI   AWOS

            MEASURED BY ANN ARBOR ASOS

0205 PM     HAIL             YPSILANTI               42.24N 83.62W
05/21/2004  0.75 INCH        WASHTENAW          MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CROSS STREET AND SUMMIT - EASTERN MICHIGAN UNIVERSITY

0208 PM     HAIL             ADRIAN                  41.90N 84.04W
05/21/2004  1.00 INCH        LENAWEE            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0210 PM     TSTM WND GST     ANN ARBOR               42.28N 83.73W
05/21/2004  60 MPH           WASHTENAW          MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALSO MARBLE SIZED HAIL

0215 PM     TSTM WND GST     ANN ARBOR               42.28N 83.73W
05/21/2004  95 MPH           WASHTENAW          MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ESTIMATED WIND GUST DOWNTOWN ANN ARBOR ON UNIVERSITY OF
            MICHIGAN CAMPUS

0220 PM     HAIL             2 W CARLETON            42.06N 83.43W
05/21/2004  0.75 INCH        MONROE             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0228 PM     TSTM WND GST     ROMULUS                 42.22N 83.37W
05/21/2004  70 MPH           WAYNE              MI   PUBLIC

            NEAR DETROIT METRO AIRPORT

0230 PM     HAIL             ROMULUS                 42.22N 83.37W
05/21/2004  1.75 INCH        WAYNE              MI   PUBLIC

0233 PM     HAIL             3 E CARLETON            42.06N 83.33W
05/21/2004  0.75 INCH        MONROE             MI   PUBLIC

0220 PM     HAIL             SALINE                  42.18N 83.78W
05/21/2004  1.00 INCH        WASHTENAW          MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0228 PM     HAIL             CANTON                  42.31N 83.48W
05/21/2004  1.00 INCH        WAYNE              MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0220 PM     TSTM WND GST     YPSILANTI               42.24N 83.62W
05/21/2004  70 MPH           WASHTENAW          MI   AWOS

            MEASURED BY YIP ASOS

0230 PM     HAIL             WESTLAND                42.32N 83.38W
05/21/2004  0.75 INCH        WAYNE              MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

RBW
Local storm report, May 21, 2:02 PM EST, 48 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
302 PM EDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0200 PM     HAIL             ADRIAN                  41.90N 84.04W
05/21/2004  0.75 INCH        LENAWEE            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0225 PM     TSTM WND GST     CLARKSTON               42.74N 83.42W
05/21/2004  60 MPH           OAKLAND            MI   PUBLIC

            5 INCH DIAMETER TREE LIMBS DOWN

0225 PM     HAIL             DEARBORN                42.31N 83.21W
05/21/2004  0.88 INCH        WAYNE              MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ALSO 60 TO 70 MPH WIND GUSTS ESTIMATED

0235 PM     HAIL             REDFORD                 42.39N 83.29W
05/21/2004  0.75 INCH        WAYNE              MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0235 PM     TSTM WND GST     TAYLOR                  42.23N 83.27W
05/21/2004  65 MPH           WAYNE              MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0250 PM     HAIL             DOWNTOWN DETROIT        42.33N 83.05W
05/21/2004  0.75 INCH        WAYNE              MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

RBW
Local storm report, May 21, 2:29 PM EST, 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
329 PM EDT FRI MAY 21 2004

..TIME...   ...EVENT...     ...CITY LOCATION...      ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....     ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0250 PM     TSTM WND GST     TROY                    42.58N 83.14W
05/21/2004  65 MPH           OAKLAND            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TREES DOWN ON LONG LAKE ROAD WEST OF ADAMS

0256 PM     TSTM WND GST     1 E WARREN              42.49N 83.01W
05/21/2004  75 MPH           MACOMB             MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN IN ROSEVILLE

0228 PM     HAIL             CANTON                  42.31N 83.48W
05/21/2004  1.00 INCH        WAYNE              MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

0230 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 W BLOOMFIELD HILLS    42.58N 83.29W
05/21/2004  60 MPH           OAKLAND            MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            WEST BLOOMFIELD

&&

RBW

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Wayne

When
May 21, 2:50 PM EST to 5:10 PM EST
Where
Wayne forecast zone
Reported by
AWOS,ASOS,MESONET,ETC
Coordinates
42.285, -83.261 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Ecorse Creek at Dearborn Heights went above its 8 foot flood stage at 250 pm EST on the 21st. The river crested at 8.15 feet at 4 pm EST on the 21st, then fell back below flood stage at 510 pm EST on the 21st.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Michigan in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Michigan, May 2004

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5400252.