1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 17, 6:28 AM EST, 2 hours 2 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 726 AM FRI SEP 17 2004 .DISCUSSION... MODELS ARE FINALLY IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT FOR HANDLING WHAT REMAINS OF IVAN...ESPECIALLY CONSIDERING THE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THEM UP UNTIL NOW. ONE DIFFERENCE WHICH DOES REMAIN IS THE QPF. BASED ON WHAT HAS FALLEN OVERNIGHT AND ITS RECENT HISTORY WITH TROPICAL SYSTEMS...THE ETA IS TOO LIGHT. THE GFS IS PROBABLY A BETTER REPRESENTATION...ALTHOUGH IT MAY BE SLIGHTLY HEAVY. THE SURFACE SYSTEM IS FORECAST BY AN ETA/GFS COMPROMISE TO TRACK FROM E TN THIS MORNING NE TO THE VA/NC BORDER TODAY...THEN SLOWLY E TONIGHT...BEFORE GOING SOUTH INTO NC ON SATURDAY. OF MOST SIGNIFICANCE IS THE DEEP MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH IT. A DEFORMATION ZONE...WARM AIR ADVECTION...AND RIGHT REAR QUAD OF UPPER JET WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT PRECIP TODAY. AN ETA AND GFS COMPROMISE SUGGESTS THE RAIN TAPERING OFF IN OUR WESTERN COUNTIES THIS AFTERNOON...AND EARLY THIS EVENING IN ALL BUT OUR FAR EASTERN COUNTIES. THE GFS TENDS TO HOLD ONTO IT LONGER IN THE EAST...AND HAVE LEANED THAT DIRECTION. WITH FLOODING STARTING TO BE REPORTED IN SOME COUNTIES AND SIGNIFICANT RAIN STILL TO FALL...HAVE CONTINUED THE FLOOD WATCH UP UNTIL THE TIME THAT RAIN IS FORECAST TO TAPER OFF. HAVE HAD SOME STRONG WINDS OVERNIGHT...AND WITH THE SYSTEM PASSING JUST TO OUR EAST WE WILL SEE A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT TODAY. IT APPEARS THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE IN OUR WESTERN COUNTIES. THEY LOOK MARGINAL FOR A LAKE WIND ADVISORY...AND HAVE USED ONE ON OUR WESTERN FRINGE TODAY. OTHER THAN SOME LINGERING DRIZZLE POSSIBLE IN THE EAST ON SATURDAY MORNING...WE SHOULD FINALLY DRY OUT TOMORROW...WITH SUNSHINE OR PARTIAL SUNSHINE RETURNING AS A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE TO THE NORTH TAKES CONTROL. THE FAIR WEATHER THEN LASTS INTO THE START OF THE NEW WORK WEEK. THE MODELS DO TRY TO BRING SOME LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BACK WESTWARD ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER...IT DOES NOT APPEAR WE WOULD SEE ANYTHING MORE THAN SOME CLOUDS IN OUR SOUTHEAST COUNTIES WITH THIS. && .PREV DISCUSSION... 620 PM THU SEP 16 2004 WHAT A DAY. AS IS TYPICAL WITH TROPICAL SYSTEMS...MODELS ARE HAVING A DIFFICULT TIME WITH THE DETAILS...IN PARTICULAR QPF AMOUNTS...AS THE REMNANTS OF IVAN MOVES MORE QUICKLY NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE APPALACHIANS. MOST NOTICEABLE DIFFERENCE IS THE SPEED AT WHICH THE 12Z GFS MOVES THE SYSTEM OUT OF THE DEEP SOUTH. IF THIS PANS OUT THE RESULT WILL BE AN INCREASE IN WINDS...WITH THE BETTER ORGANIZED SYSTEM...AND SOMEWHAT LOWER QPF AMOUNTS WITH THE FASTER MOVEMENT. BUT AM HESITANT TO GO TOO FAR IN THAT DIRECTION WITH ONLY THE LATEST RUN ADVERTISING THIS. FCST SOUNDINGS STILL INDICATE HIGH PWS...AROUND 2 INCHES THROUGH EACH 6 HOUR PERIOD...AND THE SYSTEM WILL BE VERY EFFICIENT AT PRODUCING RAIN. EVERYTHING CONSIDERED...THE FINAL RESULT WILL BE TO DECREASE PRECIP TOTALS A BIT...AND DECREASE POPS SOONER THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO STALL OUT FURTHER EAST...CLOSER TO THE ATLANTIC COAST...BEFORE DRIFTING BACK TO THE WEST AS AN UPPER LEVEL CUTOFF LOW. A LITTLE CAUTIOUS WITH THE EXTENDED AS THIS UPPER LOW APPEARS TO HANG AROUND IN THE GENERAL VICINITY...POSSIBLY INTERACTING WITH JEANNE. THEREFORE HAVE SLIGHT CHANCE POPS THROUGH MOST OF THE EXTENDED...AND INCREASED POPS FOR THU TO CHC WITH THE APPROACH OF THE NEXT TROUGH FROM THE PLAINS. LITTLE CHANGE TO THE TEMPS OR SKY FORECAST. && .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 6 PM TODAY FOR KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>087-104-106-108-109-111- 112-114-116...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL MIDNIGHT TONIGHT FOR KYZ088-107-110- 113-115-117>120...LAKE WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM FOR KYZ044-050-051- 068-079-083. && HAL
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 459 PM EDT THU SEP 16 2004 KYZ080-084>088-107-109-110-112>120-171100- BELL KY-BREATHITT KY-CLAY KY-FLOYD KY-HARLAN KY-JOHNSON KY-KNOTT KY- KNOX KY-LAUREL KY-LESLIE KY-LETCHER KY-MAGOFFIN KY-MARTIN KY- MCCREARY KY-OWSLEY KY-PERRY KY-PIKE KY-WHITLEY KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BARBOURVILLE...BOONEVILLE...HARLAN... HAZARD...HINDMAN...HYDEN...INEZ...JACKSON...LONDON...MANCHESTER... MIDDLESBORO...PAINTSVILLE...PIKEVILLE...PINEVILLE...PRESTONSBURG... SALYERSVILLE...WHITESBURG...WHITLEY CITY AND WILLIAMSBURG 459 PM EDT THU SEP 16 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EXTREME EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM IVAN TRACK INTO EASTERN KENTUCKY. AREA LAKES MAY SEE WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH TONIGHT. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM IVAN WILL LIKELY BRING HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE EASTERN KENTUCKY FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THERE WILL BE A RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...AND A RISK OF RIVER FLOODING FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. AREA LAKES MAY SEE WINDS GUSTING TO 40 MPH THROUGH 9 PM EDT FRIDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ASSISTANCE...INCLUDING REPORTS OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ROAD CLOSURES...WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED WHEN HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING MATERIALIZE DURING THE PERIOD OF THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-083-104-106-108-111-171100- BATH KY-ELLIOTT KY-ESTILL KY-FLEMING KY-JACKSON KY-LEE KY-MENIFEE KY- MONTGOMERY KY-MORGAN KY-POWELL KY-PULASKI KY-ROCKCASTLE KY-ROWAN KY- WAYNE KY-WOLFE KY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEATTYVILLE...CAMPTON...FLEMINGSBURG... FRENCHBURG...IRVINE...MCKEE...MONTICELLO...MOREHEAD... MOUNT STERLING...MOUNT VERNON...OWINGSVILLE...SANDY HOOK... SOMERSET...STANTON AND WEST LIBERTY 459 PM EDT THU SEP 16 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT AS THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM IVAN APPROACH SOUTHEASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM IVAN WILL LIKELY BRING HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE EASTERN KENTUCKY FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. THERE WILL BE A RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...AND A RISK OF RIVER FLOODING FOR SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ASSISTANCE...INCLUDING REPORTS OF RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND ROAD CLOSURES...WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED WHEN HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING MATERIALIZE DURING THE PERIOD OF THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. DUSTY
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
709 AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0550 AM FLOOD VICTORY 37.26N 84.10W
09/17/2004 LAUREL KY CO-OP OBSERVER
ONE FOOT OF WATER FLOWING WATER OVER THE ROAD WASHED CAR
OFF OF PAVEMENT.
0702 AM FLOOD VICTORY 37.26N 84.10W
09/17/2004 LAUREL KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
WATER RUNNING THROUGH HOME ON VICTORY ROAD JUST OFF OF
HIGHWAY 490.
&&
PIEPERPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
727 AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0210 AM NON-TSTM WND DMG ESTILL 37.46N 82.82W
09/17/2004 FLOYD KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
TWO TREES DOWN IN IRVINE...ONE KNOCKED OUT POWER IN
IRVINE...AND BLOCKED ROAD.
0600 AM FLOOD IRVINE 37.70N 83.97W
09/17/2004 ESTILL KY LAW ENFORCEMENT
CLEAR CREEK...DARK HOLLOW...AND MURPHYS CREEK ROADS ALL
CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER.
&&
PIEPERPRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
802 AM EDT FRI SEP 17 2004
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION...ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0749 AM FLOOD 1 E MOORE HILL 36.93N 84.06W
09/17/2004 KNOX KY TRAINED SPOTTER
4 FOOT OF WATER OVER BRIDGE AT CENTRAL ELEMENTARY SCHOOL
IN CORBIN.
&&
PIEPERThe national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
County officials reported that Sand Lick Road off of Highway 421, North of McKee, and Gray Hawk Park Road near Gray Hawk, were impassable due to high water. Welchburg Road, in Welchburg, and Highway 421 near Clover Bottom were also impassable due to high water.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, September 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5421863.