1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 20, 2:05 PM CST, 7 hours 55 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 305 PM CDT SUN JUN 20 2004 .SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT) BEAUTIFUL FATHERS DAY ACROSS THE QUAD STATE TODAY...WITH A DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE. WELL...THAT WILL SOON CHANGE. MAIN CONCERN FOR THIS FORECAST IS THE TIMING/MAGNITUDE OF POPS FOR TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...AND THEN WHAT TO DO WITH FRONT(S). CLOUDS ARE ALREADY INCREASING ALONG WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE AREA...AND ALL INDICATIONS ARE THAT THIS TREND SHOULD CONTINUE ACROSS AT LEAST THE WESTERN HALF OF THE QUAD STATE TONIGHT. THE GFS HAS SLOWED DOWN CONSIDERABLY WITH THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION FROM YESTERDAYS RUN...AND NOW IS SIMILAR TO THE FAIRLY CONSISTENT ETA. WILL LIMIT POPS TONIGHT TO FAR NORTHWEST AREAS AND KEEP THEM IN THE SLIGHT CHANCE RANGE. A DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA WILL BE SLOW TO MOISTEN TONIGHT...WITH ONLY LIGHT EAST OR SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED. HOWEVER...WITH SOME WARM ADVECTION GOING ON OFF THE SURFACE AND INCREASING CLOUD COVER...TEMPERATURES SHOULD NOT BOTTOM OUT...REMAINING NEAR 60 IN MOST LOCATIONS FOR LOWS TONIGHT. FOR TOMORROW...THE ETA CONTINUES TO BE THE MODEL OF CHOICE...AS THE GFS ONCE AGAIN DISPLAYS MAJOR GRID SCALE FEEDBACK PROBLEMS...WHICH MUDDLE ITS ENTIRE FORECAST THROUGH MONDAY EVENING. THE ETA LOOKS VERY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAYS RUN...IN KEEPING PRECIPITATION AND MAJOR CLOUD COVER TO THE WEST THROUGH MIDDAY. WILL KEEP SLIGHT CHANCE POPS GOING IN THE NORTHWEST DURING THE MORNING...BUT ELSEWHERE...THERE IS LITTLE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION UNTIL THE AFTERNOON. THERE WILL LIKELY BE AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM AN MCS MOVING EASTWARD INTO THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS BOUNDARY WILL LIKELY FOCUS CONVECTIVE INITIATION IN THE WESTERN HALF OF THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON...WITH THE BEST CHANCES IN THE NORTHWEST...CLOSER TO THE BETTER FLOW/DYNAMICS ALOFT. ACCOMPANYING THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...A MID-LEVEL TROUGH WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE AREA...RESULTING IN MODERATE FLOW IN THE MID-LEVELS. HOWEVER...LOW-LEVEL FLOW/SHEAR WILL BE WEAK. THEREFORE...ROTATION IS NOT TERRIBLY LIKELY WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP TOMORROW AFTERNOON. IF THE AREA CAN GET ENOUGH SUNSHINE TO DESTABILIZE LIKE THE ETA FORECASTS...PULSY SEVERE MULTICELL TYPE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. THE THREAT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE AREA INTO THE EVENING HOURS...AND SHOULD BE OUT OF THE AREA BY 05Z. WITH THE ACTIVE CONVECTIVE BOUNDARY LINGERING JUST TO OUR SOUTH AND INDICATIONS OF OTHER MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVING ACROSS THE AREA...WILL KEEP POPS GOING OVERNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT...WITH BEST CHANCES IN THE SOUTH. ON TUESDAY...A MORE SYNOPTIC-SCALE SURFACE FRONT/TROUGH WILL CATCH UP TO THE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY...AS ANOTHER MORE SIGNIFICANT MID/UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DIVES SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THERE WILL BE SOME POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION TO FIRE MAINLY ACROSS WESTERN KENTUCKY...WHERE INSTABILITY MAY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO SUPPORT A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON. MOST LIKELY THIS DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR JUST SOUTHEAST OF THE AREA...BUT WILL KEEP LOW CHANCE POPS IN THE SOUTH JUST TO BE SAFE. THE ETA AND GFS AGREE THAT SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA ON WEDNESDAY...ALLOWING FOR AT LEAST ONE DRY DAY THROUGHOUT THE QUAD STATE. AS FOR SHORT TERM TEMPERATURES...CONSENSUS OF AVAILABLE GUIDANCE LOOKS GOOD FOR LOWS TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. WENT WITH THE WARMER ETA/FWC NUMBERS FOR HIGHS TOMORROW. THE MET GUIDANCE LOOKED BEST FOR TUESDAYS HIGHS. .LONG TERM...(THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY) MAIN PLAYER LATE THIS WEEK WILL BE THE INFLUENCE OF THE POLAR VORTEX PROGGED NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES INTO CANADA AND DEGREE OF MOISTURE RETURN FROM THE ARKLATEX AND MS VALLEY REGION. A COMPLICATED INTERACTION BETWEEN THE OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY IN THE LOWER MS VALLEY AND DEVELOPING SFC LOW AND COLD FRONT IN THE MID MS VALLEY WILL KEEP THE POP FCST IN LIMBO. WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE IF FRONTEGENETIC FORCING...ENHANCED BY PASSING SHORTWAVES EMBEDDED IN THE POLAR VORTEX...INCREASES/SHARPENS THE MOISTURE FLUX SIGNIFICANTLY NORTH OF THE LOW LEVEL BAROCLINIC ZONE. BEGINNING WITH THURSDAY...EXTRAPOLATED A SLIGHTLY FASTER AND FURTHER SOUTH SOLUTION TO LONG RANGE GFS NUMERICAL GUIDANCE...BASED ON UKMET TRENDS IN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST PERIODS. THE NET RESULT IS SLIGHTLY LOWER RAIN CHANCES IN THE NORTH 1/2 OF THE PAH FORECAST AREA...NEAR CLIMATOLOGICAL POPS CLOSER TO THE AR/TN BORDERS. MODIFIED DEWPOINT FIELDS TO REFLECT HIGHER SURFACE MOISTURE IN THE VICINITY OF SURFACE LOW. GFS ADVERTISES A SERIES OF VERY WEAK SFC LOWS PASSING CLOSE TO THE PAH FORECAST AREA. TO ACCOMMODATE THE ADJUSTED GFS SOLUTION TO THE DIGITAL FORECAST...MODIFIED WIND/CLOUD COVER/QPF FIELDS FURTHER TO THE SOUTH AND EAST...REFLECTING THE PASSAGE OF THE LOW CENTERS ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY. FOR MAX/MIN TEMPERATURES...DROPPED NUMBERS 1-2 DEGREES BELOW GFS LONG RANGE MOS VALUES ON THU/FRI...KEEPING NEAR GFS MOS OVER THE WEEKEND. && .PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... KY...NONE. MO...NONE. IL...NONE. IN...NONE. && DRS/KES
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY 330 PM CDT SUN JUN 20 2004 ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100- 107>112-114-211000- ALEXANDER IL-BALLARD KY-BOLLINGER MO-BUTLER MO-CALDWELL KY- CALLOWAY KY-CAPE GIRARDEAU MO-CARLISLE KY-CARTER MO-CHRISTIAN KY- CRITTENDEN KY-DAVIESS KY-EDWARDS IL-FRANKLIN IL-FULTON KY- GALLATIN IL-GIBSON IN-GRAVES KY-HAMILTON IL-HARDIN IL-HENDERSON KY- HICKMAN KY-HOPKINS KY-JACKSON IL-JEFFERSON IL-JOHNSON IL- LIVINGSTON KY-LYON KY-MARSHALL KY-MASSAC IL-MCCRACKEN KY-MCLEAN KY- MISSISSIPPI MO-MUHLENBERG KY-NEW MADRID MO-PERRY MO-PERRY IL-PIKE IN- POPE IL-POSEY IN-PULASKI IL-RIPLEY MO-SALINE IL-SCOTT MO-SPENCER IN- STODDARD MO-TODD KY-TRIGG KY-UNION KY-UNION IL-VANDERBURGH IN- WABASH IL-WARRICK IN-WAYNE MO-WAYNE IL-WEBSTER KY-WHITE IL- WILLIAMSON IL- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SIKESTON...POPLAR BLUFF...PERRYVILLE... CAPE GIRARDEAU...PADUCAH...OWENSBORO...MURRAY...MAYFIELD... MADISONVILLE...HOPKINSVILLE...HENDERSON...EVANSVILLE...HERRIN... HARRISBURG...CARMI...CARBONDALE AND CAIRO 330 PM CDT SUN JUN 20 2004 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...SOUTHERN ILLINOIS...SOUTHWEST INDIANA AND WESTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT MINOR FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR FORECAST TO OCCUR NEAR MURPHYSBORO ON THE BIG MUDDY RIVER...AND NEAR CAPE GIRARDEAU ON THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. SEE THE LATEST FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE ENTIRE QUAD STATE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF WESTERN KENTUCKY ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ONCE AGAIN LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS WITH ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP IN THAT REGION. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN ALONG THE WABASH RIVER NEAR NEW HARMONY ON MONDAY. SEE THE LATEST FLOOD WARNING FOR DETAILS. MINOR FLOODING IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE MONDAY NEAR MURPHYSBORO ON THE BIG MUDDY RIVER...AND NEAR CAPE GIRARDEAU ON THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. SEE THE LATEST FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED TONIGHT. SPOTTERS SHOULD STAY ABREAST TO THE LATEST THUNDERSTORM FORECASTS FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY. DRS
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Minor flooding of the Big Muddy River occurred. At Murphysboro, where flood stage is 16 feet, the river crested at 16.1 feet. This resulted in minor flooding of some low-lying fields near the river.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Illinois in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Illinois, June 2004
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5408592.