Hail and Damaging Wind in Georgia, April 8, 2004

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1051 AM EDT THU APR 8 2004

.UPDATE...
BUSY MORNING. UPPER WAVE MOVING ACROSS ALABAMA INTO GEORGIA THIS
AFTERNOON EVIDENT IN WV IMAGERY. LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INCREASING IN
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF SURFACE BOUNDARY. INSTABILITY AXIS WITH
LIFTED INDICES OF -1 TO -3 ACROSS SOUTH GA WILL PUSH NORTH INTO PARTS
OF CENTRAL GA THIS AFTERNOON IN CONCERT WITH CURRENT SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM WATCH. FOCUS OF MORE WIDESPREAD CONVECTION WILL BE
CONFINED GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM COLUMBUS TO MACON THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON.

.&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ATLANTA     71 53 75 52 / 50 10 00 10
ATHENS      74 51 79 48 / 50 10 00 10
GAINESVILLE 72 51 76 47 / 50 00 00 10
ROME        76 49 76 49 / 50 10 00 10
COLUMBUS    74 56 80 54 / 60 10 00 10
MACON       74 51 81 50 / 60 10 00 10
&&

.ATL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

JCD

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
1115 AM EDT THU APR 8 2004

GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113-082100-
BALDWIN-BANKS-BARROW-BARTOW-BIBB-BLECKLEY-BUTTS-CARROLL-CATOOSA-
CHATTAHOOCHEE-CHATTOOGA-CHEROKEE-CLARKE-CLAYTON-COBB-COWETA-CRAWFORD-
CRISP-DADE-DAWSON-DE KALB-DODGE-DOOLY-DOUGLAS-EMANUEL-FANNIN-FAYETTE-
FLOYD-FORSYTH-GILMER-GLASCOCK-GORDON-GREENE-GWINNETT-HALL-HANCOCK-
HARALSON-HARRIS-HEARD-HENRY-HOUSTON-JACKSON-JASPER-JEFFERSON-JOHNSON-
JONES-LAMAR-LAURENS-LUMPKIN-MACON-MADISON-MARION-MERIWETHER-MONROE-
MONTGOMERY-MORGAN-MURRAY-MUSCOGEE-NEWTON-NORTH FULTON-OCONEE-
OGLETHORPE-PAULDING-PEACH-PICKENS-PIKE-POLK-PULASKI-PUTNAM-ROCKDALE-
SCHLEY-SOUTH FULTON-SPALDING-STEWART-SUMTER-TALBOT-TALIAFERRO-TAYLOR-
TELFAIR-TOOMBS-TOWNS-TREUTLEN-TROUP-TWIGGS-UNION-UPSON-WALKER-WALTON-
WARREN-WASHINGTON-WEBSTER-WHEELER-WHITE-WHITFIELD-WILCOX-WILKES-
WILKINSON-
1115 AM EDT THU APR 8 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY.

...ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA
   TODAY...

.SYNOPSIS...
AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE TROUGH WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE AREA TODAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA
TONIGHT.

.PRIMARY HAZARD...
THE PRIMARY HAZARD FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
POSSIBLY DAMAGING WINDS. THE BEST AREA FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE ACROSS CENTRAL GEORGIA SOUTH OF A LINE FROM COLUMBUS TO MACON AND
SWAINSBORO. THE BEST TIME FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL AROUND NOON UNTIL
THE LATE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE
REST OF THE AREA WITH LIGHTNING AS THE MAIN THREAT.

.DISCUSSION...
AN INCREASINGLY MOIST AIRMASS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER CENTRAL
GEORGIA. THE AIRMASS WILL ALSO BECOME WEAKLY UNSTABLE AS AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. CAPES OF 500
TO 1000 ARE EXPECTED WITH LIFTED INDICES AROUND -1 TO -2. STRONG
UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW WILL COMPENSATE
FOR THE MARGINAL INSTABILITY AVAILABLE TO PROVIDE THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER.

.FOR SPOTTERS...
SPOTTERS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION IF NEEDED.
EMERGENCY MANAGERS SHOULD MONITOR THE SITUATION.

.DAY TWO THROUGH DAY SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS SUNDAY AND MONDAY. OTHERWISE
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

&&

FOR THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK AND OTHER WEATHER
INFORMATION...PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT WEATHER.GOV...AND CLICK ON
GEORGIA.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
133 PM EDT THU APR 8 2004

GAZ067>070-081815-
133 PM EDT THU APR 8 2004

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR PEA-SIZE HAIL IN UPSON...PIKE...
LAMAR AND MERIWETHER COUNTIES UNTIL 215 PM EDT...

AT 132 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER GAY...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE PEA SIZE HAIL. BRIEF HEAVY
DOWNPOURS MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS. THIS STORM SHOULD
COME TO AN END BY 215 PM EDT.