Damaging Wind in Florida, June 22, 2004

SOUTH FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2004

.DISCUSSION...THE FRONTAL TROUGH TO OUR NORTH HAS DEFINITELY
WEAKENED AND THE SURFACE RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN TO OUR SOUTH HAS MOVED
NORTH.  THIS NORTHWARD MOVEMENT SHOULD CONTINUE WITH THE RIDGELINE
BEING NORTH OF US BY THURSDAY AND REMAINING THERE THROUGH THE REST
OF THE FORECAST SINCE THERE IS NOTHING TO MOVE IT BACK SOUTH.

SATELLITE SHOWS DRIER AIR ON EITHER SIDE OF US AND TO THE SOUTH.
THIS SHOULD MOVE OVER ON WEDNESDAY THUS LOWERING THE CHANCE OF RAIN.
THE TROPICAL WAVE STILL SHOULD BE HERE THURSDAY ALTHOUGH MIGHT NOT
BE AS STRONG AS EARLIER EXPECTED SO WILL EASE OFF THE PROBABILITIES
A LITTLE.

BEYOND THAT NOTHING TO REALLY CHANGE THE EASTERLY FLOW RAIN PATTERN
EXCEPT IF WE DO HAVE ANOTHER WAVE IN THE NEXT TUESDAY TIMEFRAME.
HOWEVER THIS WAVE IS VERY FAR OUT IN THE ATLANTIC AND VERY WEAK
TODAY SO WILL KEEP A STEADY STATE FORECAST IN PLACE IN THE EXTENDED.
&&

.MARINE...BOATING SHOULD FINALLY HAVE A RELATIVELY STEADY EASTERLY
DIRRECTION IN THE ATLANTIC THROUGH THE PERIOD.  MAYBE SOME HIGHER
WINDSPEEDS WITH THE WAVE/S.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO HIGHLIGHTS AS HUMIDITIES REMAIN HIGH AND WINDS
RELATIVELY LOW.
&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
WEST PALM BEACH 77 93 79 91 / 10 10 10 30
FORT LAUDERDALE 79 92 80 90 / 00 10 10 30
MIAMI           79 91 80 91 / 00 10 10 30
NAPLES          77 92 76 93 / 00 20 10 40
&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
1053 AM EDT TUE JUN 22 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH FLORIDA

FLZ063-066>075-222200-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-DADE METROPOLITAN-EASTERN COLLIER-GLADES-HENDRY-
MAINLAND MONROE-PALM BEACH EASTERN-PALM BEACH WESTERN-
WESTERN BROWARD-WESTERN COLLIER-WESTERN DADE-
1053 AM EDT TUE JUN 22 2004

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA THIS AFTERNOON. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST CONCENTRATED ACROSS INTERIOR AND EASTERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA...AFFECTING THE PALM BEACH...FORT
LAUDERDALE...AND MIAMI METRO AREAS. THERE IS A CHANCE THAT A FEW
THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS THIS AFTERNOON.
DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
ACCOMPANY THE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON.

HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON IN THE LOWER TO MID 90S...COMBINED
WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 70S...WILL RESULT IN MAXIMUM HEAT INDICES
OF UP TO 108 DEGREES ACROSS INLAND PORTIONS OF PALM
BEACH...BROWARD...AND MIAMI-DADE COUNTIES. LOCATIONS IMMEDIATELY
ALONG THE GULF AND ATLANTIC COASTS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES COOLER.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DETAILED GRAPHICS CAN BE FOUND ON THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT MIAMIWEATHER.INFO. FOR
INFORMATION IN SPANISH, VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT ELTIEMPOENMIAMI.INFO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON TO SOLICIT
RAINFALL AND WIND OBSERVATIONS...MOST LIKELY OVER PALM BEACH AND
BROWARD COUNTIES.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
208 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2004

FLZ072-221835-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-
208 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2004

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IMPACTING THE FORT LAUDERDALE METRO...

AT 205 PM...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING
PARTS OF THE FORT LAUDERDALE METRO AREA. THE STORMS WILL AFFECT
AREAS FROM COOPER CITY TO SUNRISE...WHILE MOVING NORTHEASTWARD AT 5
MPH. STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO 40 MPH AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL
ACCOMPANY THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.

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