Funnel Cloud in Florida, July 28, 2004

SOUTH FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
545 PM EDT WED JUL 28 2004

.QUICK UPDATE...THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS OVER THE INTERIOR AND WEST COAST REGIONS EARLY THIS
EVENING...AS THE ACTIVITY OVER THE EAST COAST METRO REGION HAS
BECOME ISOLATED. BUT WITH THE PWAT ABOVE 2 INCHES...SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS COULD REDEVELOP OVER THE EAST COAST METRO REGIONS THIS
EVENING. SO PLAN ON KEEPING NUMEROUS WORDING IN THE UPDATE AND ONLY
REMOVE THE AFTERNOON WORDING IN THE ZONES.

&&
BAXTER

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...SURFACE TROUGH JUST TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
FORECAST AREA...AND ANOTHER APPROACHING THE EASTERN BAHAMAS.
POSITION OF THESE TWO FEATURES IS QUITE INCONSEQUENTIAL AS OUR
TROPICAL ATMOSPHERE REMAINS SATURATED WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER NEAR
2.25 INCHES. WINDS REMAIN LIGHT OVER SOUTH FLORIDA FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...AND SUBTLY CYCLONIC FLOW IS EVIDENT IN THE
SATELLITE/RADAR/OBSERVATION DATA. THE
UKMET/GFS/ETA/CANADIAN...PRETTY MUCH ALL MODELS IN AGREEMENT
DEVELOPING A WEAK SURFACE LOW OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. AS THIS OCCURS...WOULD EXPECT PRECIP TO
BEGIN SHIFTING WESTWARD. EVERYONE WILL EXPERIENCE WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK...AND AS ADVERTISED
YESTERDAY...THERE WILL BE A FEW LOCAL SOAKERS...WITH LOCAL AMOUNTS
BETWEEN 2 AND 3 INCHES POSSIBLE. EACH STORM SHOULD BE OF SHORT
ENOUGH DURATION THAT SIGNIFICANT FLOODING NOT AN APPARENT
CONCERN...BUT LOCAL URBAN/STREET FLOODING IS A BETTER PROBABILITY
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.

ATTENTION TURNS TOWARD THE WESTERN HALF OF THE PENINSULA BY SATURDAY
AS DEEP LAYER WIND BECOMES A LITTLE STRONGER OUT OF THE
EAST/SOUTHEAST. THUS KEEP LIKELY POPS FOR OUR NORTHWEST ZONES
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD...BUT PAINTED ONLY SCATTERED POPS IN FOR
THE EAST COAST FROM THE WEEKEND ON.
&&

.MARINE...WINDS REMAIN LIGHT AND SEAS REMAIN RATHER SMOOTH AS WELL.
&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WET CONDITIONS SHOULD PRECLUDE ANY WEATHER RELATED
FIRES.
&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
AM...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

HANDEL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
817 AM EDT WED JUL 28 2004

FLZ063-066>075-282030-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-EASTERN COLLIER-GLADES-HENDRY-MAINLAND MONROE-
MIAMI-DADE METROPOLITAN-PALM BEACH EASTERN-PALM BEACH WESTERN-
WESTERN BROWARD-WESTERN COLLIER-WESTERN MIAMI DADE-
817 AM EDT WED JUL 28 2004

.DAY ONE...TODAY

...HIGH RISK OF LIGHTNING ALL AREAS...
...MODERATE RISK OF WATERSPOUTS...
...HEAT INDICES 100 TO 105 NORTHWEST INTERIOR...

NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING IN ALL
PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA. THE THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN WILL BE SLOW
MOVING AS WINDS ALOFT WILL BE QUITE LIGHT. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS CAN
BE EXPECTED. PONDING OF WATER IN LOW LYING OR POORLY DRAINED
AREAS CAN BE EXPECTED.

LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA WILL CREATE CONDITIONS THAT MAY
PRODUCE WATERSPOUTS IN THE COASTAL WATERS OF THE ATLANTIC
AND GULF OF MEXICO AS WELL AS BISCAYNE BAY AND LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
MARINERS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR WATERSPOUTS AND MOVE AT A 90 DEGREE
ANGLE TO THEIR APPARENT MOTION.

AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL REACH TO LOWER 90S TODAY IN THE
NORTHWEST INTERIOR AREAS. THE TEMPERATURES...COMBINED WITH HIGH
RELATIVE HUMIDITIES ...WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDICES OF 100 TO 105
LATE THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS.

NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND DETAILED GRAPHICS CAN BE FOUND ON THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WEB SITE AT MIAMIWEATHER.INFO. FOR
INFORMATION IN SPANISH, VISIT OUR WEB SITE AT ELTIEMPOENMIAMI.INFO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
156 PM EDT WED JUL 28 2004

FLZ071>074-282000-
BROWARD METROPOLITAN-MIAMI-DADE METROPOLITAN-WESTERN BROWARD-
WESTERN MIAMI DADE-
156 PM EDT WED JUL 28 2004

...FUNNEL CLOUDS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON...

AN UPPER LEVEL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA THIS
AFTERNOON IS CREATING AN ENVIRONMENT THAT MAY LEAD TO FUNNEL CLOUD
FORMATION. AT 155 PM EDT...THE PUBLIC REPORTED A POSSIBLE FUNNEL
CLOUD IN THE DORAL AREA.

ALTHOUGH ADDITIONAL FUNNEL CLOUDS ARE POSSIBLE...THE CHANCES THAT A
FUNNEL CLOUD WILL ACTUALLY TOUCH DOWN ARE EXTREMELY REMOTE.
HOWEVER...PERSONS SHOULD BE ALERT AND TAKE COVER IF THREATENING
WEATHER APPROACHES OR A WARNING IS ISSUED.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
433 PM EDT WED JUL 28 2004

FLZ067-282100-
PALM BEACH WESTERN-
433 PM EDT WED JUL 28 2004

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER WESTERN PALM BEACH COUNTY...
AT 432 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM JUST EAST OF BELLE GLADE MOVING SLOWLY WEST. THE
STORM WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING STRIKES...VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS
AND POSSIBLE BRIEF WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH AS IT MOVES ACROSS BELLE
GLADE...OKEELANTA AND SOUTH BAY.

RESIDENTS NEAR THE PATH OF THIS STORM SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR
ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. STAY INDOORS UNTIL THE
STORM HAS PASSED.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES.