Arizona, 2004

Hail in Arizona, August 18, 2004

August 18, 2004 · NWS PSR · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 hail, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Phoenix, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 18, 3:40 PM MST, 2 hours 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 18, 3:40 PM MST, 2 hours 57 minutes before
AZZ020>028-CAZ030>033-190545-

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
340 PM MST WED AUG 18 2004

SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA...AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
FORECAST DISCUSSION

.SYNOPSIS...
A DISTURBANCE IN THE WESTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH
CENTRAL ARIZONA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA AND A CHANCE
OVER SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA. BY THURSDAY...DRIER AIR
WILL MOVE INTO THE REGION...CONFINING ANY CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS TO THE HIGHER TERRAIN EAST OF THE GREATER PHOENIX
AREA. OTHERWISE...DRY WEATHER...MOSTLY CLEAR NIGHTS AND SUNNY DAYS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE COMING WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK AS AN
UNUSUALLY STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM FROM THE GULF OF ALASKA
DEVELOPS NEAR THE WEST COAST SENDING DRY AIR AND INCREASING WINDS
FROM THE SOUTHWEST OVER OUR AREA.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
TRICKY FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON. A DAY THAT LOOKED LIKE A DOWN DAY IS
NOW STARTING TO LOOK OTHERWISE. 18Z PSR RAOB TODAY SHOWED MOISTENING
IN THE LOW LEVELS (HMMMM???) AND A MODIFIED SOUNDING WITH A MIXING
RATIO OF 9.5-10 G/KG AND WITH AN AFTERNOON HIGH OF 102...WE GET AN
UNBELIEVABLE AMOUNT OF CAPE...LIKE 1300+ J/KG WOW SURFACE TDS ARE
DOWN...CURRENTLY 53 AT SKY HARBOR AS OF 3PM...WHICH IS IN LINE WITH
OUR THINKING FROM THIS MORNING. AND...WE STILL HAVE A PRETTY DECENT
WESTERLY FLOW IN THE MID LEVELS...LIKE 20-30KT (WESTERLIES=NOT
FAVORABLE FOR VALLEY STORMS THIS TIME OF YEAR). HOWEVER...A FEATURE
IN THE WATER VAPOR THIS LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON HAS GOT OUR
ATTENTION. THERE IS A SHORTWAVE IN THE WESTERLIES THAT HAS ROTATED
THROUGH LAS VEGAS AREA...AND IS NOW ENTERING NWRN AZ. IT APPEARS
THAT DIRECTLY AHEAD OF THIS FEATURE STORMS ARE DEVELOPING. THIS
FEATURE IS ACTUALLY SEEN ON THE GFS UPPER LEVEL STREAMLINE
ANALYSIS...AND THE GFS ROTATES THE SHORTWAVE THROUGH THE CENTRAL
PART OF ARIZONA IN AN EASTERLY TRAJECTORY LATE THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING. SO...ALTHOUGH ITS NOT YOUR TYPICAL LOOKING
MONSOON PATTERN...IT LOOKS LIKE CHANCE POPS FOR THE SOUTH-CENTRAL
DESERTS (SLIGHT POPS FURTHER WEST) IS A GOOD IDEA FOR TONIGHT.

BEYOND THIS EVENING...A DRYING TREND (WHICH IS UNDERWAY ALREADY)
WILL CONTINUE. SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA WILL BE UNDER A DRY WESTERLY FLOW FOR THE NEXT FEW
DAYS...WITH ENOUGH MOISTURE LINGERING OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN WELL
EAST OF PHX FOR A SLIGHT CHANCE OF TERRAIN INFLUENCED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY. MEANWHILE...AN UNSEASONABLY STRONG LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA IS PROGED TO DEVELOP AND
MOVE SOUTHWARD. THIS LOW SHOULD POSITION ITSELF JUST OFF THE CA CST
LATE IN THE WEEKEND...AND BY THE EARLY PART OF THE WEEK...THE MED
RANGE MODELS MOVE THIS TROF THROUGH THE WESTERN CONUS FOR SOME
COOLING AND MORE SIGNIFICANTLY... INCREASING WINDS. OVERALL...NOT
MUCH CHANGE TO THE EXTENDED FORECAST WITH THE EXCEPTION OF MINOR
TWEAKS TO TEMPS...AND INCREASING THE WINDS EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.PSR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

AZ...NONE.
CA...NONE.

&&

22
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 18, 10:21 AM MST, 8 hours 16 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...COR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
1021 AM MST WED AUG 18 2004

COR FOR EXPIRATION TIME

AZZ024-190700-
SOUTHERN GILA/TONTO NF FOOTHILLS-
1021 AM MST WED AUG 18 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY AND THE
TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL.

AZZ022-023-027-028-190700-
GREATER PHOENIX AREA-NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY-SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY-
1021 AM MST WED AUG 18 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MARICOPA COUNTY INCLUDING THE
GREATER PHOENIX AREA AND FOR NORTH CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WITH DAMAGING WIND...SMALL HAIL...AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

AZZ020-021-025-026-CAZ030>033-190700-
IMPERIAL COUNTY-JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
RIVERSIDE COUNTY/EASTERN DESERTS-SOUTHWEST DESERTS-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS-YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY-
1021 AM MST WED AUG 18 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE SOUTHWEST ARIZONA
DESERTS...THE LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY...AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
INCLUDING JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

The radar

The Phoenix radar (KIWA), 43 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 01:37 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 hail. Local standard time, as filed.

Hail, Maricopa

When
August 18, 6:37 PM MST
Where
Maricopa County, Phoenix
Measured
0.75 in hail
Reported by
NWS EMPLOYEE(OFF DUTY)
Coordinates
33.483, -112.067

35th Ave and Union Hills

What these are

Hail
Hail three-quarters of an inch or larger, or smaller hail that caused damage, filed with the largest stone measured.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2004Every state in 2004This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, August 2004

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5415579.