Damaging Winds in Virginia, July 9, 2003

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1050 AM EDT WED JUL 9 2003

VRY HOT AND HUMID AFTN IN STORE ACRS FA...AS TEMPS
SHUD REACH LWR TO MID 90S JUST ABT EVERYWHERE UNDR
PRTLY SNY SKY.  PER SPC SWOMCD DISCN...WILL UP POPS
TO CHC SHRAS/TSRAS ALL ZNS FOR THIS AFTN WITH 40 POP
NRN AREAS AND 30 POP SRN AREAS.  BASED ON JUST THE
EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS ALONE AND LEFTOVR BNDRIES
FM YESTERDAY/ERLY THIS MRNG...EXPECT ISLTD TO SCTD
TSRAS TO DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTN AND MOVE E.  WENT
HIER CHC N DUE TO APPROACH OF FRNTL BNDRY/SHRTWV
ENERGY.

.AKQ...
.MD...NONE.
.NC...NONE.
.VA...NONE.

GINGRICH

MDZ021>025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-049-060>100-092200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1230 PM EDT WED JUL 09 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...
NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

HIGH TEMPERATURES FROM 90 TO 95 COUPLED WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TO
UPPER 70S WILL PRODUCE HEAT INDICES FROM 105 TO 110 DEGREES THIS
AFTERNOON.  ALSO...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

32

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...AND
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
WAKEFIELD, VA CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING
(LOWER CASE): WEATHER.NOAA.GOV/AKQ.

VAZ063-064-070>100-092030-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
142 PM EDT WED JUL 9 2003

...THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING RAPIDLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA...

AT 140 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS CENTRAL AND EASTERN
VIRGINIA...INCLUDING CHESAPEAKE BAY AND THE LOWER EASTERN SHORE. THE
STORMS WERE MOVING EAST AROUND 15 MPH. THROUGH 4 PM...THUNDERSTORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE NUMEROUS OVER THE REGION. WIND GUSTS TO
40 MPH...SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...AND RAINFALL
RATES OF 1 TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR CAN BE EXPECTED FROM THESE
THUNDERSTORMS.

ALSO...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM. AS
THE THUNDERSTORMS BECOME MORE NUMEROUS ACROSS THE REGION LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...THERE IS THE POTENTIAL THAT A FEW MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH
DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH AND HAIL 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR
GREATER.

HURLEY

MDZ021>025-VAZ048-049-060>100-100100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
225 PM EDT WED JUL 9 2003

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM EDT...

THE WATCH INCLUDES ALL OF CENTRAL...EASTERN...AND SOUTHSIDE
VIRGINIA...ALONG WITH THE LOWER MARYLAND AND VIRGINIA EASTERN
SHORE.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS BY MID AND LATE AFTERNOON...
WITH THE POTENTIAL THAT A FEW MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR GREATER...ALONG WITH HAIL 3/4 INCH IN DIAMETER OR
LARGER. FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN CAN
BE EXPECTED WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP...WITH RAINFALL
RATES BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES WITHIN ONE HOUR.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA FOR FURTHER
DETAILS OR UPDATES. FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION...CHECK OUR
WEB SITE AT WEATHER.NOAA.GOV/AKQ.

HURLEY