Texas, 2003

Flood in Texas, September 23 to 25, 2003

September 23 to 25, 2003 · NWS CRP · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

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The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 23, 1:45 AM CST, 4 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 23, 1:45 AM CST, 4 hours before
SOUTH TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
245 AM CDT TUE SEP 23 2003

SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...BASICALLY A TEMPERATURE
FORECAST IN THE SHORT TERM. ACTUAL HIGH TEMPS HAVE BEEN
SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER THAN ALL MODEL GUIDANCE. ALTHOUGH GFS HAS BEEN
THE CLOSEST AND THE ETA MOS COMPLETELY OUT TO LUNCH. BELIEVE THIS
TREND WILL CONTINUE AS SATURATED GROUND CONDITIONS COUPLED WITH
LITTLE AIRMASS CHANGE AND HIGH CLOUDINESS WILL KEEP TEMPS ABOUT THE
SAME. WILL TREND SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN YESTERDAY CONSIDERING THE
LOW-MID LVLS WILL BE DRIER THAN PAST COUPLE DAYS. THE NERN COUNTIES
SHOULD BE THE WARMEST WHERE CLOUDS WILL BE THINNEST. WILL
SIGNIFICANTLY UNDERCUT GUIDANCE OUT WEST WHERE MOISTURE IS DEEPER.

PATCHY DENSE FOG IS ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS IN THE
NEXT FEW HOURS WHICH WILL BURN OFF AROUND 9AM. FOG POTENTIAL WILL BE
ABOUT THE SAME TUE NGT WITH LIGHT SE WINDS AND DRY AIR IN THE
LOW-MID LVLS.

LONG TERM (WED NIGHT THRU MON)...UPR LVL ANTICYCLONE OVER THE WRN
GOMEX WILL SHIFT WEST AS A STRONG S/WV PUSHES THROUGH THE GREAT
LAKES. AS THIS OCCURS...THE UPR FLOW WILL BECOME WNW CONTINUING TO
TRANSPORT MID AND HIGH LVL MOISTURE FROM MARTY EAST INTO THE REGION.
MODELS ALSO SHOW A S/WV IN THE MID LVL FLOW APPROACHING THU-FRI.
THE ORIGINS OF THE S/WV APPEAR TO BE FROM MARTY BEING ABSORBED OUT
WEST. ONSHORE FLOW WILL RESUME BY WED NIGHT AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE
SHIFTS EAST. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE REGION ON THU...
STALLING ACROSS THE AREA FRI AS THE AFOREMENTIONED S/WV QUICKLY
LIFTS INTO THE NERN STATES. MOISTURE FIELDS CONTINUE TO BE AN AREA
OF LARGE DISAGREEMENT AMONGST THE DIFFERENT MODELS AS THE ETA
REMAINS VERY DRY WHILE THE UKMET AND CANADIAN ARE RATHER MOIST WITH
THE GFS SOMEWHERE IN BETWEEN. THINK WHAT WILL LIKELY HAPPEN IS
MOISTURE WILL RETURN UP THE RIO GRANDE AND THERE WILL BE A LARGE E-W
MOISTURE GRADIENT IN PLACE LATE THIS WEEK. THIS REMAINS RATHER
UNCERTAIN AND WILL CONTINUE W/ SLT CHC POPS ALL ZONES THU AND
FRI...ALTHOUGH IF CANADIAN AND UKMET SOLN VERIFY MAY NEED TO BUMP UP
TO CHC POPS...ESP IN WRN ZONES.

GFS...CANADIAN AND ECMWF IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT REINFORCING S/WVS
WILL EVENTUALLY CARVE OUT A DEEP UPR TROF ACROSS THE UPR MS RIVER
VALLEY WHILE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES UP THE WRN US. HOWEVER...THE GFS
HAS BACKED OFF PREVIOUS RUNS WRT SOUTHWARD MOVEMENT OF THE ASSOC
COLD FRONT (A RE-OCCURRING THEME THIS WEEK). PREVIOUSLY THE GFS
SHOWED A FROPA ON SUN BUT NOW THE MODEL SHOWS THE FRONT ARRIVING ON
MON AS IT WAITS FOR A FINAL STRONGER REINFORCING S/WV TO PUSH THE
BOUNDARY FURTHER SOUTH. WILL CONTINUE TO PUT VERY LITTLE FAITH IN
MODEL PREDICTIONS THAT SHOW STRONG FRONTS MAKING TO SOUTH TEXAS IN
SEPTEMBER...ONLY TO PUSH BACK THE TIMING A DAY AT A TIME WITH EACH
NEW RUN. WE WILL SEE A STRONG FRONT MAKE IT TO THE REGION...BUT MY
BET IS ON OCTOBER FOR NOW.

CRP BB 084/070 085/072 087 000
VCT BB 085/068 086/069 087 000
LRD EE 084/071 086/073 089 000

JM...SHORT-TERM
MJG...LONG-TERM

.CRP...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 23, 5:00 AM CST, 45 minutes before
GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-241100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
600 AM CDT TUE SEP 23 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY. AREAS OF FOG WILL DEVELOP
ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND TONIGHT REDUCING VISIBILITES TO 1 TO 3
NAUTICAL MILES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL NEAR THE COAST BY FRIDAY. THIS
FRONT IN COMBINATION WITH WEAK UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL PROVIDE
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE COASTAL BEND AND RIO GRANDE PLAINS
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

JM/MJG

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Nueces

When
September 23, 5:45 AM CST to September 25, 8:15 PM CST
Where
Nueces forecast zone
Reported by
OTHER FEDERAL AGENCY
Coordinates
27.735, -97.516 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy rainfall over South Texas on the 17th through the 19th led to river flooding.The Nueces River at Calallen crested at 7.27 feet on the 25th. (flood stage 7 feet)

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2003

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5338059.