Texas, 2003

Flood in Texas, September 18 to 19, 2003

September 18 to 19, 2003 · NWS CRP · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Sep 18, 1:50 PM CST, 3 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 18, 1:50 PM CST, 3 hours 10 minutes before
SOUTH TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
250 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2003

SHORT-TERM (TONIGHT AND FRIDAY)...MSAS REVEALS A SFC FRONT
APPROACHING NORTH TX IN RESPONSE TO AN UPPER DISTURBANCE MOVG ACRS
THE PLAINS. THE GFS MOVES THE FRONT INTO THE CWFA BY EARLY FRI WHILE
THE ETA IS SLOWER. CONCUR MORE WITH THE ETA AND FEEL THAT THE FRONT
WILL STALL OVER THE CWFA FRI...AS THE FOREGOING UPPER DISTURBANCE
LIFTS RAPIDLY EAST. FURTHER...THICKNESS VALUES REMAIN WELL NORTH.
THE GFS/ETA PROG UPPER JET DYNAMICS TO PERSIST THRU FRI. THE
COMBINATION OF EXTREMELY MOIST CONDITIONS...THE STALLING FRONT...
AND UPPER FORCING...WITH RESULT IN ADDITIONAL CONVECTION TNGT AND
FRIDAY. WL RE-ISSUE THE FFA FOR TNGT. WL INCLUDE THE EXTREME WRN
COUNTIES IN THE FFA...ESP LASALLE GIVEN ITS LOW FFG VALUES.

LONG TERM (FRI NIGHT THRU THU)...FRONT WILL SAG FURTHER SOUTH INTO
CWA FRI NIGHT AND STALL NEAR COAST. WILL HAVE SCATTERED POPS OVER
THE WATERS AND SOUTHERN CWA FRI NIGHT WITH ISOL ELSEWHERE. BOTH ETA
AND GFS PROG WEAKNESS IN THE H5 FIELD ON SAT WITH WEAK EMBEDDED
SHORTWAVES MOVING ACROSS THE REGION. IN ADDITION ETA INDICATES JET
MAX OVERHEAD DURING AFTERNOON. THIS COMBINED WITH DIFFUSE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY STALLED ACROSS CWA WILL WARRANT SCATTERED POPS ACROSS
SOUTHERN AND COASTAL COUNTIES DURING THE AFTERNOON AS WELL AS
WATERS. WILL KEEP 20 POPS ACROSS THE NORTH. MODELS NOT AS AGGRESSIVE
WITH SURGE OF MOISTURE ON SUNDAY AND SHIFT UPR LVL DYNAMICS EAST.
WILL TRIM POPS BACK TO 30 PERCENT FOR SUN. 00Z MODEL RUNS WERE IN
RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH UPR LVL TROF DEVELOPING OVER PLAINS
AND COLD FRONT SURGING SOUTH INTO TEXAS ON MON. HOWEVER 06Z AND 12Z
RUNS OF GFS AS WELL AS 12Z UKMET HAVE BACKED OFF A LITTLE ON THIS
SCENARIO AND ARE NOW MORE PROGRESSIVE AND LESS DEEP WITH PLAINS
TROF. AS A RESULT COLD FRONT THAT WAS INDICATED TO ARRIVE EARLY
MONDAY BY 00Z RUNS NOW MAY BE MUCH SLOWER IN REACHING SOUTH TEXAS...
WITH THE MAIN COLD SURGE REMAINING WELL NORTHEAST. AT THIS TIME
WOULD LIKE TO WAIT FOR RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY AND THEREFORE WILL NOT
MAKE ANY CHANGES TO EXTENDED. GRIDS AND ZONES WILL REFLECT COLD
FRONT MOVING INTO CWA SOMETIME MONDAY WITH DRY AND SLIGHTLY COOLER
CONDITIONS TUE AND WED. LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED TO ADJUST THIS IF MORE
PROGRESSIVE SOLUTION PANS OUT IN FUTURE RUNS.

CRP TE 075/086 071/087 072 +73
VCT TB 072/085 068/087 070 672
LRD TE 075/087 072/086 072 553

.CRP...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TXZ229>234-240>247 THRU 12Z FRI

87...SHORT-TERM
76...LONG-TERM
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 18, 5:00 AM CST, 12 hours before
GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-191100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
600 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS.  1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES.  THIS AMOUNT OF
RAINFALL ON SATURATED GROUNDS WILL CAUSE FLOODING.  THE INTENSITY
AND COVERAGE OF THE RAINFALL WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTH TEXAS FRIDAY PROVIDING A LINGERING
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR
THE COAST ON SATURDAY. THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL INCREASE AGAIN BY SUNDAY AS TROPICAL MOISTURE INCREASES IN
ADVANCE OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE INTO SOUTH TEXAS ON
MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

TR/TMT

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 18, 1:49 PM CST, 3 hours 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
249 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0240 PM    REFUGIO                   TX   FLASH FLOOD
09/18/03   REFUGIO                        STREET FLOODING.

0240 PM    3 NW GOLIAD               TX   FLASH FLOOD
09/18/03   GOLIAD                         FLOODING ALONG HIGHWAY 1726

0235 PM    5 NE BEEVILLE             TX   FLASH FLOOD
09/18/03   BEE                            FLOODING ALONG HIGHWAY 59.

AP

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Bee

When
September 18, 5:00 PM CST to September 19, 2:15 AM CST
Where
Bee forecast zone
Reported by
OTHER FEDERAL AGENCY
Coordinates
28.417, -97.741 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy rainfall on the 17th through the 19th led to river flooding:The Aransas River near Skidmore crested at 16.94 feet on the 19th. (flood stage 13 feet)

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, September 2003

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5338055.