Damaging Wind in Texas, May 6, 2003

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
900 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

WILL BE UPDATING THE ZONES TO MAKE A FEW MINOR ADJUSTMENTS.
DRY LINE BOUNDARY TO THE NORTHWEST OVER EAST OK INTO WESTERN
N CENTRAL TX WILL MERGE WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST.
BUT THE SOUTHWARD PROGRESS SHOULD SLOW OVERNIGHT WITH THE
SYSTEM BECOMING NEARLY STATIONARY OVER SE OK AND INTO N
CENTRAL TX. WILL KEEP CHANCE OF RAIN HIGH FOR THE NORTHERN ZONES
AND KEEP MENTION OF POSSIBLY SEVERE IN AS WELL. TEMPERATURES FOR
MOST ZONES IN GOOD SHAPE AND WILL NOT HAVE TO ADJUST MANY
ESPECIALLY SOUTHERN SECTIONS. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
UNTIL MIDNIGHT FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND PARTS OF SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS.

6

.SHV...NONE.

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-TXZ096-
097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-071100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1200 PM CDT TUE MAY 6 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...NORTHEAST
TEXAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTHWEST AND NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER...ACROSS SOUTHWEST
ARKANSAS...EXTREME NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.  THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER OVER THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA...
INCLUDING THE INTERSTATE 20 CORRIDOR.

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COMBINE WITH A VERY MOIST AND
UNSTABLE AIR MASS TO LIKELY PRODUCE SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. ALSO...VERTICAL WIND PROFILES SUGGEST THE
POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES...SOME POSSIBLY SIGNIFICANT AND LONG
LIVED...THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE MODERATE
RISK AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS...SKYWARN NETWORKS...AND STORM
SPOTTERS WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.