Flash Flood in Pennsylvania, August 4, 2003

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
235 PM EDT MON AUG 4 2003

WE WILL LET FFA EXPIRE AT 4PM AS AREA OF TSTMS HAS VASTLY DECREASED
IN COVERAGE. SCT TSTMS NOW DOT THE CWA LANDSCAPE.

AREA OF TSTMS BLOWING UP IN WRN OHIO/ERN INDIANA ATTM WITH AN
EXTENSION SOUTHWARD INTO KY. IF THIS AREA HOLDS TOGETHER IT WILL
ROTATE INTO OUR CWA LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. ITS TOUGH
BEING STUCK UNDER A CLOSED UPPER LOW. TROUGH AXIS OF UPPER LOW
FINALLY MOVES THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY.

MUCH OF CWA SENSITIVE TO FLOODING DUE TO RECENT HEAVY RAIN AND MOIST
SOIL CONDITIONS. PRECIP WATER RUNNING HIGH. IF AREA TO OUR WEST AND
SOUTHWEST ROTATES INTO OUR AREA TONIGHT WELL HAVE TO POST ANOTHER
FFA.

PIT   63  79  62  80 /  50  50  40  30
HLG   63  79  61  81 /  50  50  40  30
MGW   64  79  61  81 /  50  50  40  30
ZZV   64  79  61  81 /  50  50  40  30
PHD   63  79  61  81 /  50  50  40  30
FKL   62  77  60  79 /  50  50  40  30
DUJ   62  77  60  79 /  50  50  40  30
LBE   63  77  61  79 /  60  50  40  30
BTP   62  77  60  79 /  50  50  40  30
IDI   63  77  61  79 /  60  50  40  30
ODM   60  77  60  76 /  60  50  40  30

.PBZ...
MD...NONE.
OH...NONE.
PA...NONE.
WV...NONE.

RS

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-
029>032-WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-041100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
447 AM EDT MON AUG 4 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA
EAST CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND
GARRETT COUNTY MARYLAND.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH SAYS THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA...NORTHERN WEST
VIRGINIA...EAST CENTRAL OHIO AND GARRETT COUNTY MARYLAND. THE MOST
LIKELY TIMING OF THE SEVERE WEATHER LOOKS TO BE IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS.

DAMAGING WIND...LARGE HAIL AND HEAVY RAIN CAN ACCOMPANY THESE
STORMS. SOILS REMAIN SATURATED.  AREAS THAT HAVE RECEIVED HEAVY RAIN
DURING THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS MAY NEED TO BE MONITORED IF ADDITIONAL
HEAVY RAIN OCCURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH, PA
141 PM EDT MON AUG 4 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0130 PM    MOUNT LEBANON             PA   FLASH FLOODS
08/04/03   ALLEGHENY                      STREET FLOODING. REPORTED
                                          BY LAW ENFORCEMENT

0130 PM    SOUTH FAYETTE             PA   FLASH FLOODS
08/04/03   ALLEGHENY                      ROAD AND CREEK FLOODING.
                                          REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT

MDZ001-OHZ039>041-048>050-057>059-068-069-PAZ007>009-013>016-020>023-
029>032-WVZ001>004-012-021>023-041-041930-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
232 PM EDT MON AUG 4 2003

...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN
PENNSYLVANIA...EAST CENTRAL OHIO...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND
GARRETT COUNTY MARYLAND. ANY STORMS THAT FORM CAN PRODUCE VERY HEAVY
DOWNPOURS. POSSIBLY UP TO AN INCH OF RAIN COULD FALL IN A SHORT
PERIOD OF TIME.

A FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE REGION UNTIL 400
PM. THE GROUND REMAINS SATURATED AND ANY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL RUNOFF
VERY QUICKLY. BE ALERT...FOR WATER COLLECTING RAPIDLY IN LOW LYING
AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

ALSO...SOME OF THE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON...COULD CONTAIN HAIL AND
POSSIBLY STRONG GUSTY WINDS.

OHZ041-042015-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
315 PM EDT MON AUG 4 2003

...THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS COLUMBIANA COUNTY...

STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL WERE MOVING
ACROSS COLUMBIANA COUNTY. THE STORMS EXTENDED FROM EAST OF SALEM TO
NORTH OF SUMMITVILLE. THE STORMS WERE MOVING OFF TO THE NORTHEAST
ABOUT 25 MPH.

BE ALERT FOR SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND VERY
HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

PAZ007-042030-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
334 PM EDT MON AUG 4 2003

...THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO MERCER COUNTY...

THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL BE MOVING INTO MERCER COUNTY
NEAR THE WHEATLAND AND SHARON AREAS BY 350 PM. BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
VERY HEAVY RAIN...SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS.
THE STORMS WERE MOVING NORTHEAST ABOUT 20 MPH.

ALSO...BE ALERT FOR PONDING OF WATER ON ROADS AND FOR WATER TO
RAPIDLY COLLECT IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH, PA
434 PM EDT MON AUG 4 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0415 PM    MINERAL CITY              OH   FLASH FLOODS
08/04/03   TUSCARAWAS                     MOST SMALL STRAMS AND
                                          CREEKS ARE AT OR OVER
                                          BANKFUL. COUNTY ROAD 107
                                          NEAR BOLIVAR DAM CLOSED.
                                          WATER OVER ROUTE 800.
                                          REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
                                          MANAGEMENT.

OHZ041-042130-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PITTSBURGH PA
436 PM EDT MON AUG 4 2003

...MORE THUNDERSTORMS CROSSING COLUMBIANA COUNTY...

ANOTHER THUNDERSTORM WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN AND SMALL HAIL WAS MOVING
ACROSS COLUMBIANA COUNTY. IT WAS LOCATED ABOUT 4 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
LISBON AND MOVING NORTHEAST ABOUT 20 MPH. ROGERS WILL GET A
THUNDERSTORM BY 450 PM.

BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR FREQUENT LIGHTNING...VERY HEAVY RAIN... SMALL
HAIL...AND GUSTY WINDS.