Hail and Damaging Winds in Ohio, May 9 to 10, 2003

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
1005 PM EDT FRI MAY 9 2003

ACTIVITY DVLPG ALG AXIS OF HIGHER THETA E AND INSTABILITY ACRS IL
AND INDIANA. SW/V COMING OUT OF SW STATES SHUD PROVIDE SUPPORT FOR
CONTINUED DVLPMNT OVNGT IN EHNACED LOW LVL JET. REINFORCING PUSH OF
DRIER CANADIAN AIR HAS SLIPPED DOWN LAKESHORE TO ABT OH BORDER AND
DEWPOINTS RANGE FM 39F AT ERIE TO 70F AT MNN AND FDY. SOURCE OF NEW
DVLMNT WL CONT TO BE TO OUR WEST AND SHOWERS/STORMS WL TURN TO SE
WITH UPR FLOW AND MAY MISS NW PA FOR MOST OF THE NGT. ANY THREAT OF
SVR WX OVNGT SHUD BE CONFINED TO AREAS NR WRMFNT ACRS NW OH TWRD MNN
AND MT VERNON AND DO NOT BELIEVE IT IS A BIG THREAT. WL REMOVE
SEVERE WORDING FM CLE EAST. MORE WORRIED ABT FLOODING AS GROUND IS
QUITE MOIST ALREADY. WL CONT WITH FLOOD WATCH FDY TO MFD AND EXPAND
WATCH NORTH TO TOL AND NORWALK. WL USE CATEGORICAL POPS FDY TO MFD
AND LIKELY TOL. CHC NW PA AND WL LWR MIN TEMPS NW PA. NO OTHER
CHANGES OTHER THAN TO MENTION WINDY SUNDAY. UPDATE ABT 1020 PM.

.CLE...
OH...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NW AND N CNTRL OHIO THRU SAT AFTRN.
OHZ003-006>009-017>019-027>030-036-037-047.
PA...NONE.

KOSARIK

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-091200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
559 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN OHIO
AND A PORTION OF NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST ACROSS THE
REGION THIS MORNING.  A FEW OF THESE STORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN IS ALSO LIKELY.  LATER THIS AFTERNOON...A SECOND
ROUND OF THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS
NORTH INTO THE AREA.  SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS COULD BECOME SEVERE
WITH LARGE HAIL THE MAIN SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.  AN ISOLATED TORNADO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY SATURDAY.  A FEW OF
THESE COULD BECOME SEVERE.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY TODAY OR TONIGHT.

KUBINA