Hail in Mississippi, March 9, 2003

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
235 AM CST SUN MAR 9 2003

SHORT TERM...SURFACE FRONT WAS JUST OFFSHORE AT 1 AM. FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO BE FOCUS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AS IT MEANDERS
OVER THE NEARSHORE WATERS...POSSIBLY JUST MOVING INLAND BEFORE NEXT
COLD FRONT ARRIVES LATER TODAY. H5 FLOW ZONAL SO WONT BE MUCH OF A
PUSH TO EITHER FRONT UNTIL UNTIL H5 WAVE SEEN IN THE WATER VAPOR AND
RUC DATA ARRIVES THIS AFTERNOON TO PUSH THE MESS OUT OF HERE. MAY BE
A FEW STRONG OR POSSIBLY SEVERE STORMS THIS MORNING...LIKELY HAIL IN
THE ELEVATED STORMSA NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT...ALTHOUGH MID LEVEL
TEMPERATURES ARE NOT ALL THAT COOL. A CHANCE OF RAIN OVER FORECAST
AREA UNTIL AFTER COLD FRONT PASSES. CLOUDS SHOULD THIN OUT AFTER H7
TROF PASSES LATE THIS AFTERNOON. MORE THAN ONE DAY OF NICE WEATHER
FOR A CHANGE...SHOULD BE OK THROUGH WEDNESDAY...COOL NIGHTS AND MILD
AFTERNOONS. MAY NEED TO CONTINUE DENSE FOG UNTIL THROUGH MID
MORNING...H5 TROF AND VORT MAX MOVING ACROSS LOUISIANA MAY PROVIDE
ENOUGH LOW LEVEL VERTICAL MOTION TO IMPROVE THE VISIBILITY...AT
LEAST NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT. WILL NOT VARY MUCH FROM GUIDANCE
TEMPERATURES.

EXTENDED...NO CHANGES.

FIRE...NO CONCERNS TODAY...WILL BEGIN TO DRY OUT TUESDAY WITH
AFTERNOON HUMIDITY DROPPING BELOW 40 PERCENT.

MARINE...WINDS WILL LIKELY STAY BELOW CAUTION LEVELS AS THE COLD
FRONT CROSSES THE COASTAL WATERS THIS EEVENING. NOT EXPECTING ANY
MAJOR PROBLEMS OVER THE MARINE AREA WITH REGARD TO WINDS AND
SEAS...WILL KEEP FOG IN FOR THIS MORNING.

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS...
MOB TB 072/049 068/046 074 117-0
PNS TB 072/052 068/049 072 11810
DTS TB 071/053 069/052 070 11810
GZH TB 072/045 068/041 073 11610
2RO TB 069/041 065/039 072 11500
61A TB 071/044 067/040 073 11610

.MOB...
AL...NONE.
FL...NONE.
MS...NONE.

ALZ051>064-FLZ001>006-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-081800-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE A
600 AM CST SAT MAR 8 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR INLAND SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...AND THE WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.

.DAY ONE...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)

A STATIONARY FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXCIO WILL MOVE INLAND
THIS EVENING AS A WARM FRONT. AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE RIDING OVER
THE FRONT TONIGHT WILL DEVELOP SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF
WHICH MAY BE SEVERE. THE PROBABILITY OF SEVERE STORMS WILL BE HIGHER
THIS EVENING AND TONIGHT OVER THE WEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND THE
ALABAMA COUNTIES NORTH OF THE PANHANDLE. A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE
STORMS POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL ALABAMA THIS EVENING.

SOME PATCHY AREAS OF DENSE FOG ARE ALSO POSSIBLE THIS EVENING AS THE
WARM AND MOIST GULF AIR MASS MOVES OVER THE COLDER LAND AND NEAR
SHORE WATERS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...(SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY)

NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...STORM SPOTTERS AND
HAM RADIO OPERATORS MAY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT.

ALZ064-FLZ002-004-006-090830-

THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
117 AM CST SUN MAR 9 2003

...THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA
UNTIL 230 AM CST...

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WERE OCCURRING
MOSTLY OVER THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS OF NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA EXTENDING INLAND TO ABOUT 30 MILES...MOVING EAST
AT 40 MPH.

STRONG GUSTY WINDS UP TO 30 TO 45 MPH...DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...AND SMALL TO MEDIUM SIZE HAIL WILL BE LIKELY WITH SOME
OF STRONGER STORMS MOVING NEAR THE IMMEDIATE COAST DURING THE NEXT 1
TO 2 HOURS.

ISOLATED CASES OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO COULD BE
POSSIBLE WITH SOME OF THE STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS THROUGHOUT THE
MORNING HOURS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS IF
THREATENING WEATHER IS APPROACHING YOUR AREA.