Kentucky, 2003

Flood in Kentucky, May 5 to 8, 2003

May 5 to 8, 2003 · NWS LMK · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 5, 2:00 PM EST, 4 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 5, 2:00 PM EST, 4 hours 10 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
300 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2003

SHORT TERM...
DIFFICULT FCST TO SAY THE LEAST...TRYING TO PIN DOWN EXACT TIMING
AND COVERAGE OF TSTMS NEXT FEW DAYS...ALL IS PREDICATED ON LOCATION
OF EFFECTIVE BOUNDARIES INCLUDING OUTFLOWS FROM PREVIOUS STORMS AND
TENUOUS LOCATION OF SYNOPTIC FRONT/QUASI-DRYLINE. THUS...A CHC OF
TSTMS HAS BEEN INCLUDED IN MUCH OF FCST NEXT FEW DAYS WITH HIGHEST
CHCS AND LOCATIONS INDICATED AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE.

IN IMMEDIATE TERM...LOW LVL BOUNDARIES OVR CENTRAL KY AIDING DVLPMT
OF SCT SUPERCELLS THIS AFTN IN AXIS OF LAPS-INDICATED SFC-BASED LI
VALUES -7 TO -9 AND CAPES AOA 3000 J/KG. AS ACTIVITY CONTS TO DVLP
LATE THIS AFTN...ACTIVITY SHLD SLIDE SLOWLY ESEWD AND PERHAPS
ORGANIZE INTO A MORE LINEAR MCS. THUS HAVE PLACED HIGHEST TSTM
THREAT ACRS SRN/SERN THIRD OF FCST AREA. OVER S-CNTRL IN AND N-CNTRL
KY...AIRMASS IS RECOVERING/DESTABILIZING FROM MRNG CNVCTN ALTHO
CELLS HAVING A HARD TIME FORMING SO FAR. THIS MAY BE DUE TO DRY AIR
ALOFT AND WIND SHEAR VENTILATING/MIXING OUT UPDRAFT PREVENTING DEEP
CNVCTN. NEVERTHELESS...VIS IMAGERY STARTING TO SHOW SOME TCU DVLPMT
IN SRN IN...SO AT LEAST A CHC OF TSTMS WARRANTED LATE AFTN AND INTO
EVNG IN THIS AREA AS WELL.

OVERNIGHT...ETA SUGGESTS THAT S/WV MOVING ENEWD OVR SRN PLNS/LWR MS
VLY WL ALLOW MSTR TO BACK NWD ACRS CNTRL KY AND SRN IN. GFS SUGGESTS
ACTIVITY WL BE HELD IN BAY OVR SRN KY ON SWD GIVEN LACK OF BACKING
IN LOW AND MID LVL WIND FIELDS. GFS SCENERIO SEEMS REASONABLE AS H85
AND H70 WINDS EVEN IN ETA DO NOT SHOW ENOUGH BACKING TO WARRANT A
SIGNIFICANT NWD PUSH OVRNGT. THUS WL MAINTAIN HIGHEST CHC IN SRN
KY...WITH A LWR CHC OVR N-CNTRL KY AT THIS TIME. NEVERTHELESS...PCPN
TRENDS OVERNIGHT WL NEED TO BE MONITORED CLOSELY. IF ADDITIONAL TSTM
ACTIVITY OCRS OVERNIGHT...THEN HEAVY RAIN AND A FLOOD THREAT COULD
ENSUE.

ON TUES...EXPECT AT LEAST DIURNAL CELLS...CONTD RICH LO-LVL MSTR
FIELD WL SUPPORT SCT TSTM DVLPMT ALG REMNANT BNDRIES. ALTHO SHEAR
VALUES WL DIMINISH SLIGHTLY...CONDITIONS STILL FAVORABLE FOR AT
LEAST PULSE SVR STORMS AND PSBLY SUPERCELL GROWTH. THUS...SPC NOW
INDICATES SLGT RISK OVR ALL OF FCST AREA TUES AFTN AND EVNG.

FOR TUES NGT INTO WED MRNG...ALL SHORT TERM MODELS INDICATE A S/WV
OR SERIES OF WEAK S/WVS MOVG NEWD IN PERSISTENT SWLY MID-LVL FLOW.
HARD TO SUBSTANTIATE THIS FEATURE...BUT THIS COULD LEAD TO BETTER
SHWR/TSTM COVERAGE DURING THIS PD.

LONG TERM...
FOR LATE WEEK...GFS SHOWS ANOTHER STG SYSTEM MOVG ACRS CNTRL U.S.
WHICH WL KEEP PERIODIC TSTM THREAT OVR OH VLY THURS AND/OR FRI.

.LMK...NONE.

FUNK
Hazardous weather outlook, May 5, 3:25 PM EST, 2 hours 45 minutes before
INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-061000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
425 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH
CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE STORMS OVER CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH
CENTRAL INDIANA TONIGHT. THE GREATEST RISK FOR SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
KENTUCKY...GENERALLY SOUTH OF MORGANTOWN TO DANVILLE TO RICHMOND.

THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS...HOWEVER
CONDITIONS ARE ALSO FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES. A WARM FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG LOW PRESSURE IN THE MID MISSOURI VALLEY HAS
MOVED NORTH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA. A SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL KEEP
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR TO REMAIN OVER THE REGION.

THERE IS ALSO A SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WITH THESE
STORMS WITH TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES LIKELY ACROSS
THE OUTLOOK AREA.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND FROM NOAA WEATHER RADIO,
WEATHER.GOV ON THE INTERNET, AND FROM YOUR LOCAL MEDIA SOURCE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK WITH A CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. THE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
ASSOCIATED WITH A STALLED OUT FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED FOR THIS EVENING.

SCHOLZ

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 5, 2:54 PM EST, 3 hours 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY
354 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0330 PM    BRADFORDSVILLE            KY   .75 INCH HAIL
05/05/03   MARION                         REPORTED BY NWS
                                          COOPERATIVE OBSERVER.

MRC
Local storm report, May 5, 3:35 PM EST, 2 hours 35 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY
435 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0407 PM    4 NW LIBERTY              KY   1.75 INCH HAIL
05/05/03   CASEY                          GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL
                                          REPORTED BY TRAINED
                                          SPOTTER.

MRC
Local storm report, May 5, 4:34 PM EST, 1 hour 36 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY
534 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0407 PM    ATTERSON                  KY   .75 INCH HAIL
05/05/03   CASEY                          REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT.

0438 PM    4 N ELLISBURG             KY   WIND DAMAGE
05/05/03   CASEY                          TREES WERE DOWNED.
                                          REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMNT.

0438 PM    LIBERTY                   KY   .75 INCH HAIL
05/05/03   CASEY                          DIME SIZE HAIL REPORTED
                                          OVER MUCH OF EASTEREN CASEY
                                          COUNTY. ALSO...TREES WERE
                                          DOWNED IN THE LIBERTY AREA.
                                          REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT.

MRC
Local storm report, May 5, 5:26 PM EST, 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY
626 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0620 PM    CANEYVILLE                KY   1.00 INCH HAIL
05/05/03   GRAYSON                        REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
                                          MANAGEMENT.

MRC
Local storm report, May 5, 5:36 PM EST, 34 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY
636 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0633 PM    3 E CANEYVILLE            KY   2.00 INCH HAIL
05/05/03   GRAYSON                        REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

MRC
Local storm report, May 5, 5:39 PM EST, 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY
639 PM EDT MON MAY 5 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0630 PM    BERRY                     KY   .88 INCH HAIL
05/05/03   HARRISON                       REPORTED BY FIRE AND
                                          RESCUE.

MRC

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flood, Nicholas

When
May 5, 6:10 PM EST to May 8, 2:20 PM EST
Where
Nicholas forecast zone
Reported by
OFFICIAL NWS OBS.
Coordinates
38.336, -84.015 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

The Licking River at Blue Licks Spring crested at 37.0 feet at 0900 EST on May 6. Flood stage Blue Licks Spring is 25 feet. At this level cultivated cropland in the area is flooded.

What these are

Flood
Flooding that develops more slowly than a flash flood: rivers leaving their banks, or water standing over land for an extended time.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Kentucky in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, May 2003

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5355553.