Kentucky, 2003Flash Flooding in Kentucky, June 17, 2003
June 17, 2003 · NWS RLX · 3 events in 2 counties and zones
3 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $320,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 17, 2:20 AM EST, 2 hours 55 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 17, 2:20 AM EST, 2 hours 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
320 AM EDT TUE JUN 17 2003
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320 AM EDT TUE JUN 17 2003
TODAY AND TONIGHT...
AFTER BUSY EVENING WITH NUMEROUS WATER PROBLEMS ACROSS CWA...TRYING
TO CATCH OUR BREATH BEFORE POTENTIAL PROBLEMS ARISE AGAIN. ALREADY
EXTENDED FLOOD WATCH THROUGH 4AM WEDNESDAY MORNING. WATER VAPOR
LOOP SHOWING SHORTWAVE MOVING THROUGH EASTERN KENTUCKY AT THIS TIME
AS WELL AS THE MORE SIGNIFICANT SHORTWAVE DROPPING SOUTHEAST INTO
ILLINOIS. KRLX RADAR INDICATING ADDITIONAL SHOWER DEVELOPMENT NORTH
OF A JACKSON OHIO TO CHARLESTON TO BECKLEY LINE...WHICH IS GOOD IN
THAT THE RAIN IS FALLING OVER AREAS THAT WERE NOT HIT HARD MONDAY.
THERE IS HOWEVER SOME ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT OF LIGHTER SHOWERS
ACROSS NORTHEAST KENTUCKY AND INTO SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA. LATEST
SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACES A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER NORTHEAST
KENTUCKY WITH THE STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDING THROUGH SOUTHEAST OHIO
INTO NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND DOWN THE APPALACHIANS.
AS SHORTWAVE ENERGY ACTS UPON THE MOIST AIRMASS IN PLACE SHOWERS
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ONCE AGAIN. THE AREA EXPECTED
TO GET HIT THE MOST QPF WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
CWA. WILL STAY IN LINE WITH GUIDANCE FOR POPS AND POST CATEGORICAL
POPS EVERYWHERE WITH MENTION OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS. EXPECT TEMPS
TO REMAIN IN 70S AGAIN TODAY.
AS THE SHORTWAVE MOVES EAST TONIGHT IT BEGINS TO TAKE SOME OF THE
DEEPER MOISTURE WITH IT ALLOWING THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS TO DRY OUT
A BIT AND DECREASE THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT. WILL STILL HAVE
CATEGORICAL TO LIKELY POPS TONIGHT AND DECREASING DURING THE NIGHT.
WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW DEEP MOISTURE MAINLY EAST OF CWA ON
WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER...ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY
REMAIN...ALONG WITH MORE SUNSHINE AND HEATING...TO ALLOW FOR
SCATTERED MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING CONVECTION ON WEDNESDAY. COLD
FRONT MOVES ACROSS DURING THURSDAY WITH AT LEAST SCATTERED
CONVECTION ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. NO CHANGE TO PREVIOUS
FORECAST BEYOND THURSDAY WITH DRY AND COOLER AIR FOR FRIDAY AND MOST
OF THE WEEKEND.
.RLX...
WV...FLOOD WATCH FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR ZONES WVZ005>011...
WVZ013>020...WVZ024>040...WVZ046>047.
VA...FLOOD WATCH FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR ZONES VAZ003>004.
KY...FLOOD WATCH FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR ZONES KYZ101>103...KYZ105.
OH...FLOOD WATCH FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT FOR ZONES OHZ066>067...
OHZ075>076...OHZ083>087.
HC/JMV
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820 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2003
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO WEAKEN IN
INTENSITY. RADAR ESTIMATED MAX OF 3.5 - 4 INCHES RAINFALL RATES IN
ONE HOUR IN MINGO AND CABELL/PUTNAM COUNTY LINE THIS
EVENING...NEEDLESS TO SAY LOTS OF WATER PROBLEMS WITH NUMEROUS
PLACES UNDER EVACUATIONS.
FOR EVENING UPDATE EXPECT TO SEE A WEAKENING TREND...HOPEFULLY ALL
WILL FIZZLE OUT SO WE CAN RESET THE STP. WILL CARRY CHANCE POPS
ACROSS THE NORTH (CKB-EKN) WHERE LITTLE PRECIP HAS FALLEN AND CARRY
LIKELY ACROSS THE COAL FIELDS INTO CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...TAPERING TO
CHANCE AFTER MIDNIGHT. WILL LOWER MINS A TOUCH IN THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS...GIVEN DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 50S...OTHERWISE REST OK.
99
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315 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2003
TONIGHT -> TUESDAY
ACTIVE REGIME PERSISTS THRU ENTIRE PERIOD. STRONG LOW LEVEL JET OF
40KTS CONTINUES TO TRANSPORT ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE INTO THE
AREA. PWATS ONCE AGAIN TOPS OUT NEAR 1.8 WITH WARM CLOUD DEPTHS OF
12KFT. SW LOW LEVEL WINDS PUSH FRONT UP TO TUG FORK TONIGHT...WITH
MAIN CONCERN BEING JUST NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY. RAIN RATES COULD
REACH 2.0 INCHES PER HOUR...SO WILL LET FFA CONT OVERNIGHT.
FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH NORTH TUESDAY REACHING A UNI-EKN LINE BY
AFTERNOON. EXPECT SIMILAR CONDITIONS TUESDAY...WHICH ARE OCCURRING
OVER TN/KY THIS AFTERNOON. PRESENT GRIDS ON TRACK FOR THE MOST
PART...UPPED POPS TO CAT ACROSS SE OH AND SWRN VA THIS
EVENING...BEFORE BRINGING THEM DOWN. TEMPS ON CUE.
TUESDAY NIGHT>THURSDAY NIGHT
MODELS HAVE COME INTO PRETTY GOOD ALIGNMENT FOR THE MIDDLE PART OF
THE FORECAST. BOTH MODELS SHOW A STRONG SHORTWAVE MOVING ACROSS THE
REGION TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. WITH DEEP MOISTURE
REMAINING IN PLACE AND GOOD DIVERGENCE...MOST MORE HEAVY RAIN IS
POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT. ONCE THE SHORTWAVE PASSES...BOTH ETA/GFS
SHOW GOOD MID LEVEL DRYING. THIS SHOULD BRING TO AN END THE
ORGANIZED PRECIPITATION...WITH ONLY SCATTERED SHOWERS DUE TO HEATING
REMAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.
COLD FRONT AND UPPER TROUGH SWING THROUGH DURING THE DAY ON
THURSDAY. MODELS DO NOT SHOW THE DEEP MOISTURE RECOVERING ENOUGH TO
CAUSE HEAVY RAIN...BUT A LINE OF SHOWERS/TSTORMS IS STILL EXPECTED.
WITH DRIER CONDITIONS FINALLY ANTICIPATED FOR THURSDAY NIGHT. HAVE
A LITTLE CONCERN ON SPEED OF THE FRONT AND HOW FAR SOUTH IT WILL
ACTUALLY MAKE IT.
FOR TEMPS...GUIDANCE LOOKED TO BE IN THE BALLPARK AND WAS CLOSE TO
PREVIOUS FORECAST SO ONLY SMALL TWEAKS MADE...GETTING NUMBERS CLOSE
TO THE MAV.
FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY
IN THE LONG RANGE WE CONTINUE TO DRY REGION OUT ON FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY. MOISTURE MAY START RETURNING FROM SOUTH ON
SUNDAY...INTRODUCED A CHANCE POP FOR SOUTHERN COUNTIES ON DAY 6.
CHANCE ENTIRE COUNTY WARNING AREA FOR DAY 7.
99/ESS/KTB
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1042 AM EDT MON JUN 16 2003
SURFACE BOUNDARY DRAPED ACROSS I-64 CORRIDOR COUPLED WITH A TROPICAL
AIRMASS AND UPPER FLOW E/SE LESS THAN 10KTS...SETUP IS PRESENT FOR
BACKBUILDING CELLS. NEARLY STATIONARY CELL ACROSS NORTHERN KANAWHA
COUNTY SINCE 5 AM DUMPING UPWARDS OF 2-3 INCHES AND CREATING LOTS OF
FLOODED ROADS.
FOR THIS AFTERNOON WITH FLOW BACKING TO THE SE ALOFT ACROSS NORTHERN
WEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE COAL FIELDS...FEEL BEST
CHANCE REMAINS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-64. PWATS REMAIN NEAR 1.7 AND
WARM CLOUD DEPTH OF 11KFT...SO 40 TO 50DBZ (NON-CONVECTIVE CELL)
COULD EASILY PRODUCE NEAR 0.75 INCHES IN AN HOUR. WITH ALL THE
CLOUDS LOWERED MAX TEMPS A CAT ACROSS THE SOUTH WITH NEAR 80F ACROSS
THE NORTH.
99
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In the hours before
Local storm report, Jun 17, 5:15 AM EST, 0 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
0615 AM EDT TUE JUN 17 2003
TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0613 AM 3 S GRAYSON KY FLASH FLOOD
06/17/03 CARTER ROUTE 1 CLOSED DUE TO HIGH
WATER OVER THE ROAD.
HCFlash Flood, Carter
- When
- June 17, 5:15 AM EST to 7:00 AM EST
- Where
- Carter County, Hitchins
- Property damage
- $20,000
- Reported by
- LAW ENFORCEMENT
- Coordinates
- 38.318, -83.049 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Little Fork flooded and closed Route 1, south of Grayson.
Flash Flood, Boyd
- When
- June 17, 5:15 PM EST to 7:30 PM EST
- Where
- Boyd County, Rush
- Property damage
- $100,000
- Reported by
- EMERGENCY MANAGER
- Coordinates
- 38.360, -82.688 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
On the order of 15 homes were evacuated along Rush Creek. The East Fork also flooded. Three pumping stations were damaged by flood waters.
Flash Flood, Carter
- When
- June 17, 6:00 PM EST to 7:30 PM EST
- Where
- Carter County, Grayson
- Property damage
- $200,000
- Reported by
- EMERGENCY MANAGER
- Coordinates
- 38.318, -83.049 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Williams Creek flooded roads. About a dozen homes were flooded around Grayson.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Wildfire in Arizona, June 17 to 30, 2003$66 million · 1 event
- Flash Flood in Kentucky, June 17, 2003$2.8 million · 1 event
- Flash Flood in Alabama, June 17, 2003$400,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flooding and Flood in Ohio, June 17 to 18, 2003$300,000 · 5 events
- Flash Flooding in Mississippi, June 17, 2003$285,000 · 5 events
- Flash Flood in Kentucky, June 17, 2003$220,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flooding and Flooding in Ohio, June 17, 2003$130,000 · 5 events
- Flash Flood in North Carolina, June 17, 2003$100,000 · 1 event
- Flash Flood and Lightning Strike in South Carolina, June 17 to 18, 2003$55,000 · 2 events
- Flash Flood in Kentucky, June 17, 2003$50,000 · 1 event
- Lightning Strike in Louisiana, June 17, 2003$50,000 · 1 event
- High Surf in Hawaii, June 17 to 19, 20033 injured · 8 events
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5364551, 5364552, 5364553.