1 debris flow, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 22, 6:28 AM EST, 32 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 500 AM EST SAT FEB 22 2003 HIGH AMPLITUDE PATTERN IN PLACE WITH TROUGH IN CENTRAL PLAINS PLAINS APPROACHING. STRONG TEMPERATURE GRADIENT AT 850 MB NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER. RADAR SHOWING LATEST SLUG OF RAIN MOVING THROUGH CWA...THEN A BIT OF A REST BEFORE THE NEXT ONE COMES. EXPECT SOME GOOD WIND GUSTS TODAY WITH DRY SLOT AND STRONG WIND PROFILE. INSTABILITY WILL BE MODEST...SO NOT EXPECTING A WIDE OUTBREAK OF SEVERE WEATHER...BUT WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED BY ISOLATED SEVERE. MODELS ARE INITIALIZING FAIRLY WELL AND ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH NEAR TERM TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW LOCATED IN THE SOUTHERN MS VALLEY AFFECTING OUR WEATHER TODAY. IT SHOULD TRACK NEAR THE CWA THIS EVENING...DRAGGING AN NEWLY OCCLUDING FRONT WITH IT. THE LOW WILL DEEPEN AND BE NEAR NY STATE BY EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE GROUND IS SATURATED. OVER 1 INCH OF RAIN HAS FALLEN OVERNIGHT IN SOME AREAS...ESPECIALLY SOUTHEAST. WITH MORE RAIN ON THE WAY TODAY AND WITH PW VALUES OVER AN INCH...AND A HEALTHY LOW LEVEL JET...FLOODING IS DEFINITELY A CONCERN. SOME RESIDUAL POST-FRONTAL MOISTURE ON SUNDAY WILL GIVE A SMALL CHANCE OF PRECIP IN THE MORNING. MONDAY IS TRICKY AS A REAL COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH WITH A STRONG SHORTWAVE. LOOKS AS IF COLD FRONT WILL PASS TOWARD AFTERNOON TO ALLOW NOT SO COOL HIGHS TO OCCUR...THEN A SHARP TEMPERATURE DROP WILL OCCUR BY NIGHTFALL MONDAY. TUESDAY WILL BE COLD FOR SURE. .JKL...FLOOD WATCH FOR THE ENTIRE AREA TONIGHT THROUGH 7 AM SUNDAY. HEINLEIN -------------------------------------------------------------------- PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS FOLLOW: 920 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2003 1Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS DEEPENING 996 MB LOW OVER LA. A WARM FRONT EXTENDED EAST FROM THE LOW ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES AND INTO SOUTH CAROLINA. A COLD FRONT EXTENDED SOUTH FROM THE LOW INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. AN INVERTED TROF EXTENDED NE FROM THE LOW INTO THE TN AND OH VALLEYS. THE LOCATION OF THIS TROF IS NEAR THE EXPECTED TRACK OF THE LOW. LATEST REGIONAL RADARS AND OBS INDICATE THAT LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN HAS REACHED INTO MIDDLE TN. THE CURRENT ZONES MENTION RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES AFTER MIDNIGHT IN SOME ZONES SO AN UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED TO REMOVE MIDNIGHT WORDING AND TO CHANGE OR ADD FOG WORDING. WIDESPREAD FOG HAS BEEN REPORTED ALONG AND NEAR THE INVERTED TROF AS A RESULT OF LIGHT WINDS AND ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. HOWEVER...WIDESPREAD VISIBILITIES BELOW 1/4 MILE HAVE NOT BEEN REPORTED...WITH LOWER VISIBILITIES MAINLY CONFINED TO SOME OF THE RIVER VALLEYS. FLEMING/MASON COUNTY AIRPORT AND HTS RECENTLY REPORTED 1/4 MILE VISIBILITY. THIS SITUATION WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED...BUT SO FAR HAVE HANDLED WITH NOWCASTS. WHEN RAIN MOVES INTO THESE MORE NORTHERN LOCATION TOWARD DAWN...VISIBILITIES SHOULD IMPROVE. AS FOR TEMPS... WITH CONTINUED WARM ADVECTION AND EXPECTED RAINFALL...TEMPS SHOULD NOT DROP OFF MUCH MORE AND WILL MENTION NEARLY STEADY TEMPERATURES NEAR THEIR CURRENT VALUES. UPDATED ZONES AND GRIDS WILL BE OUT BY 10 PM. PELTON --------------------------------------------------------------------- 345 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2003 19Z SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST AND A DEEP AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG THE EAST TEXAS GULF COAST. AN INVERTED TYPE TROUGH POINTS FROM THIS UP INTO EASTERN KENTUCKY. LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS HAVE BEEN MOVING THROUGH THE AREA MOST OF THE DAY KEEPING THINGS DAMP. LOCAL AND MOSAIC RADARS ARE SHOWING A HOLE IN THE SHOWERS THAT WILL PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EVENING. HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT HAS SENT DEWPOINTS UP TOWARD 50 DEGREES WITH AREAS OF FOG AROUND WITH PLENTY FOUND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 64 IN THE MELTING ZONE. THE MODELS ARE IN DECENT AGREEMENT ALOFT TAKING A WELL DEFINED TROUGH FROM OLD MEXICO NORTHEAST INTO THE OHIO VALLEY BY SATURDAY NIGHT. PLENTY OF UNCONSOLIDATED POCKETS VORTICITY WILL LEAD AND ACCOMPANY THIS TROUGH. FOLLOWING THIS THE PATTERN TEMPORARILY FLATTENS BEFORE ANOTHER TROUGH HEADS TOWARD THE AREA. THIS SECOND TROUGH WILL MOVE IN TANDEM WITH A DEEPER NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH THAT WILL SWING DOWN SIGNALING A SOUTHERN SHIFT TO THE ARCTIC VORTEX FOR THE START OF NEXT WEEK. ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO THE DEVELOPING TROUGH OVER THE WEST THAT WILL MOVE EAST AND THREATEN TO CONSOLIDATE INTO ANOTHER DEEP UPPER LOW...DESTINED TO BRING ANOTHER LARGE STORM SYSTEM INTO THIS REGION. FOR SENSIBLE WEATHER...EAST KENTUCKY IS ENDURING ANOTHER WET START TO THE WEEKEND. THIS MOIST SYSTEM WILL BRING MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN SURGING NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT AND LASTING INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING. THIS WILL BE THE BULK OF THE RAINFALL AS DRY SLOTTING MOVES IN FOR SATURDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO THE POWERFUL LOW PASSING JUST TO OUR WEST. A DRIER AFTERNOON WILL HELP TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE LOWER AND POSSIBLY MIDDLE 60S THANKS TO BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS. HOWEVER...AS THE LOW PASSES ITS COLD FRONT WILL DRAG A SQUALL LINE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA LATE IN THE EVENING WITH ANOTHER QUICK SHOT OF HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS. THERE ARE SOME MINOR DIFFERENCES IN QPF FROM THE MODELS...GENERALLY PREFER THE ETA/S WHICH LINES UP WITH THE FORECAST FROM HPC AND ALSO THE RFC. AS A RESULT...RIVER FLOODING IS NOT EXPECTED WITH AMOUNTS MAINLY IN THE 1 TO 2 INCH RANGE. THE RATE OF RAINFALL IS THE BIGGEST CONCERN WITH FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE LATE TONIGHT AS THE WARM FRONT COMES UP...AND MORE ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING SATURDAY EVENING FROM THE QUICK MOVING SQUALL LINE. THUS A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING. THE STRENGTH OF THE STORM WILL BE DEMONSTRATED AS THE COLD AIR RUSHES IN AFTER MIDNIGHT. HARDLY AFTER THE THUNDER HAS QUIT RUMBLING ...SNOW COULD BE FLYING. THE MOISTURE FROM THIS SYSTEM WILL LIFT OUT QUICKLY THOUGH ALLOWING FOR ONLY GENERALLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH EAST KENTUCKY BY NOON SUNDAY. UP TO AN INCH OF SNOW IS POSSIBLE...WITH THE EARLIER RAINFALL AND WET GROUND CUTTING INTO TOTALS. FURTHER AHEAD IN TIME AFTER A COOL DAY SUNDAY ANOTHER LOW...THOUGH WEAKENING...WILL MOVE THROUGH WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW NORTH AND RAIN SOUTH FOR MONDAY. THIS EVENT WILL BRING DOWN THE ARCTIC AIR IN ITS WAKE AND SET THE STAGE FOR A POSSIBLE SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO END THE WORK WEEK. CERTAINLY SNOW WILL BE POSSIBLE TO BEGIN WITH ALONG WITH SOME ICE...BUT THE LATEST MID RANGE MODELS ARE SUGGESTING A LOW TRACK TO OUR WEST SO MAINLY RAIN...PROBABLY HEAVY...FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. MOS TEMPS ARE GENERALLY SIMILAR THROUGH THE PERIOD DID NOT STRAY MUCH EXCEPT TO BLEND HIGH TEMPS FOR SATURDAY IN THE 60 TO 65 DEGREE RANGE...DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH OF THE DRY SLOT. POPS LOOKED REASONABLE. AS FOR IFPS/GFE GRIDS...REPOPULATED WITH MY PREFERRED METHOD OF MESOETA WINDS AND TEMPS FIELDS THROUGH 60 HOURS. HAD TO ADJUST THESE MAJORLY TO LOWER THE EXCESSIVELY WARM TEMPS IN THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT AND SATURDAY. THEY DID SEEM TO CAPTURE THE COOLER TEMPS TONIGHT FOR THE MELTING ZONES NORTH OF INTERSTATE 64. BROUGHT TEMPS DOWN QUICKER SATURDAY NIGHT WHILE BEEFING UP CLOUDS/POPS. LITTLE CHANGE TO THE EXTENDED. WORK ZONES WILL BE AVAILABLE BEFORE TOO LONG UNDER THE AFOS PRODUCT SDFOZFJKL. UPDATES TO THE HWO AND FFA WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY. PRELIMINARY CCFS: LOZ 048/063 031/040 032 ++6 JKL 047/061 031/038 030 ++7 GREIF --------------------------------------------------------------------- 1045 AM EST FRI FEB 21 2003 LIGHT RAIN CONTINUES TO LIFT NORTHEAST. TEMPS ARE RESPONDING SOMEWHAT...BUT FEEL THAT PROJECTED HIGHS MAY BE A HAIR TOO MILD...AS EVEN THE NOTORIOUS MIDDLESBORO IS COMING IN A BIT SUPPRESSED. POPS LOOK FINE...DONT SEE ANY REASON TO ADJUST THESE AS PRECIP SHIELD HAS A FEW HOLES OFF TO THE WEST. DID ADJUST QPF DOWN AS LOCAL 6 GROUPS OFF OF OBS ARENT SHOWING ANYTHING TOO IMPRESSIVE. WILL ALSO MENTION AREAS OF FOG AS VISIBILITIES HAVE STAYED DOWN TODAY. DEWPOINT SEEMS TO WANT TO INCREASE THE SAME RATE AS TEMP. UPDATE OUT SHORTLY. GEOGERIAN
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-231200- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED FOR TIME OF EXPIRATION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 610 AM EST SAT FEB 22 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY. ...FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING... .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. A STRONG STORM SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OUT OF THE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY TODAY. PERIODS OF RAIN...HEAVY AT TIMES CAN BE EXPECTED THIS MORNING...THEN AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO THIS EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING WHICH WILL INCREASE THE POSSIBILITY OF FLOODING LATER TONIGHT...LEADING TO QUICK RISES ON AREA STREAMS AND CREEKS. THERE IS ALSO A CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. ANOTHER STORM SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TRACK THROUGH THE OHIO AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS LATE SUNDAY AND INTO MONDAY...BRINGING A CHANCE OF SNOW. AT THIS TIME...LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED. A SECOND COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE REGION LATE ON MONDAY AND BRING A CHANCE FOR SOME SNOW...AGAIN WITH LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. THERE IS A CHANCE OF MORE RAIN FROM THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CALL IN RAINFALL AND SNOWFALL REPORTS. RAY/DUSTY
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 debris flow. Local standard time, as filed.
A mudslide occurred in the town of Wooten next to a trailer on Pound Mill Road.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, February 2003
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5346026.