1 debris flow, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 7, 2:10 PM EST, 8 hours 51 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 310 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2003 SW/V TROUGH AND VORT ENERGY KICKING OFF SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. A FEW OF THE CELLS HAVE BEEN TRAINING...HOWEVER NO SIGNIFICANT HYDRO PROBLEMS ARE OCCURRING AS OF YET. EXPECT MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY TO DIE DOWN AFTER THE SUN SETS. MORE OF THE SAME IN STORE FOR TOMORROW. HAVE CONTINUED LIKELY POPS IN MOST AREAS EXCEPT FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHWEST PORTION OF THE CWA...WHERE THEY WILL BE THE FURTHEST AWAY FROM MID-LEVEL INFLUENCE. INSTABILITY APPEARS MODEST...HOWEVER WITH WEAK WIND PROFILE AND HIGHER WET BULBS...SEVERE THREAT VERY MINIMAL. MAIN CONCERN WOULD BE SLOW-MOVING DUMPERS AS MOTIONS WILL BE CLOSE TO WALKING PACE AGAIN. DEPENDING ON HOW MANY AREAS SEE HEAVIER PRECIP TODAY...LATER SHIFTS MAY HAVE TO REASSESS WHETHER OR NOT A FLOOD WATCH IS NEEDED FOR TOMORROW. FOR NOW...ISOLATED FLOODING CONCERNS ARE ADDRESSED IN THE HWO. HAVE KEPT A PRETTY PERSISTENT FORECAST BEYOND TOMORROW...WITH MAINLY DIURNAL CHANCE POPS IN FROM SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...BEFORE TROUGH AXIS FINALLY LIFTS OUT...LEAVING A VERY WELCOMED DRY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY. .JKL...NONE. GEOGERIAN PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS FOLLOW ===================================================================== 200 PM EDT THU AUG 7 2003 WILL SEND OUT AN UPDATE SHORTLY TO RAISE POPS TO LIKELY FOR ALL AREAS FOR THIS AFTERNOON. OUR LOWEST POPS ARE CURRENTLY IN THE NORTH...BUT DUE TO BETTER HEATING THERE...THIS IS WHERE THE MOST ACTIVE CONVECTION IS AT. DENSER CLOUDS IN THE SOUTHEAST HAVE GRADUALLY BEEN ERODING TODAY. THERE STILL MAY BE TIME FOR SOME DESTABILIZATION AND MORE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THIS AFTERNOON...SO DO NOT WANT TO LOWER POPS IN THE SOUTHEAST. WILL ALSO MAKE SOME MINOR TEMP ADJUSTMENTS. HAL --------------------------------------------------------------------- 600 AM EDT THU AUG 7 2003 6Z SFC ANALYSIS HAD HIGH PRESSURE OVER MN. A STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDED FROM SE VA BACK INTO EASTERN TX. AN INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDED NORTH FROM MS UP INTO SE OH. THE BIGGEST FORECAST CHALLENGE OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS IS POPS. PWS ARE AROUND 1.6 AND DEWPOINTS REMAIN IN THE MID 60S. SO PLENTY OF DEEP MOISTURE IS AVAILABLE. A COUPLE OF SW/S ARE ROTATING AROUND THE MAIN UPPER TROUGH OVER ONTARIO. ONE IS MOVING THROUGH VA ATTM WITH ANOTHER IS SW OH/SE IN AREA. THE FIRST IS RESPONSIBLE FOR ONGOING SHRA/TSRA OVER PIKE CO THIS AM. THE SECOND SW IS EXPECTED TO MOVE DOWN INTO THE BASE OF THE TROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. MODELS TEND TO ALMOST CLOSE OFF A MIDLEVEL LOW OVER THE EASTERN PART OF THE CWA OR WV BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON. NEAR THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM...SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN COULD FALL WITH THUNDERSTORMS...AS STEERING WINDS WILL BE VERY LIGHT...AROUND 5 KTS OR SO. THIS UPPER SYSTEM WILL INTERACT WITH AN INVERTED TROUGH OVER THE REGION TODAY AND SOME DAYTIME HEATING TO BRING DECNET COVERAGE OF PRECIP. THE LOW LEVEL FLOW SHOULD ALSO BACK WITH THE MID LEVEL LOW IN PLACE AND ALLOW FOR SOME UPSLOPE FLOW TO POSSIBLY AID IN PRODUCING HVY RAIN OVER THE FAR SE. WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED...BUT THE AREA JUST NW OF THE LOW TRACT WOULD BE MOST PRONE TO HVY RAIN ( GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM MIDDLESBORO TO INEZ). WENT WITH THE HIGHEST POPS THERE (LIKELY) TO CHANCE IN THE FAR NORTH (AWAY FROM DEEPER MOISTURE). CLOUDS AND PRECIP SHOULD HOLD TEMPS DOWN TODAY... ESPECIALLY OVER THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PART OF THE CWA. HIGHS SHOULD BE NEAR GUIDANCE IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S. THE PERSISTENT EASTERN US TROUGH PERSISTS INTO THE WEEKEND. TROUGH AXIS ACTUALLY RETROGRADES WEST ON SAT. ANOTHER VORT MAX SHOULD MOVE DOWN INTO THE REGION ON NORTHERLY FLOW TOMORROW. MOISTURE SHOULD WILL STILL BE FAIRLY DEEP WITH SOME SPREADING WEST FROM THE ATLANTIC AS A SFC WAVE MOVES UP THE APPALACHIANS ON THE STATIONARY FRONT. META FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW CAPE BETWEEN 1000 AND 1500 J/KG ALONG WITH NEGATIVE LIS AND NO CAP. SO WENT WITH LIKELY POPS OVER MUCH OF THE REGION DURING FRI AFTERNOON. TRENDED THE POPS DOWN ON FRI NIGHT AND THEN BROUGHT CHANCE POPS BACK ON SAT AFTERNOON AS TROUGH AXIS SHOULD STILL BE WEST OF THE REGION. GUIDANCE TEMPS HAVE TRENDED DOWN THROUGH THE PERIOD AND CUT BACK HIGH TEMPS A COUPLE OF DEGREES...CLOSER TO HIGHS FROM WED. EXTENDED...GENERALLY WENT WITH DIURNALLY DRIVEN POPS. GFS AND ENSEMBLES INDICATE THAT THE THROUGH SHOULD GRADUALLY LIFT ON OUT WITH A WEAKNESS STILL INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. SOME RIDGING MAY WORK INTO THE AREA BY MID TO LATE IN THE WEEK? GENERALLY WENT WITH PERSISTENCE FROM PREVIOUS FORECAST. PELTON --------------------------------------------------------------------- 1020 PM EDT WED AUG 6 2003 ANOTHER QUICK UPDATE TONIGHT...TEMPS RUNNING ABOUT 5 DEGREES LOWER IN OBS THAN IN GRIDS. DROPPED TEMPS ACCORDINGLY AND LOW TEMPS FOR THE MORNING SLIGHTLY...LEFT RANGE OF 63 TO 68 FOR MORNING LOWS TO COVER SLIGHTLY LOWER TEMPS IN VALLEYS. CLOUD COVER WILL KEEP TEMPS FROM DROPPING AS MUCH AS LAST NIGHT. SHOWER ACTIVITY HAS DIED DOWN WITH SUNSET. RADAR SHOWING ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY AT BEST. HOWEVER...SATELLITE SHOWING DISTURBANCE UPSTREAM IN INDIANA MOVING TOWARDS THE CWA...SO KEPT LOW CHANCE POPS GOING OVERNIGHT. ZONES ALREADY OUT. RAY
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-081100- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 641 AM EDT THU AUG 7 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY. ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP WILL BE SLOW MOVING AND COULD PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN OF BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES. THIS COULD LEAD TO SOME LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY. ONCE AGAIN...ANY THUNDERSTORMS ON FRIDAY WILL BE SLOW MOVING...POSING A RISK OF ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING PROBLEMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ARE URGED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING WHICH IS OBSERVED. PELTON
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 debris flow. Local standard time, as filed.
Mud and rocks blocked both lanes of United States Highway 460 about 1 mile east of Marrowbone.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, August 2003
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5333469.