1 debris flow, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jackson, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 6, 9:35 AM EST, 6 hours 33 minutes earlier.
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 1035 AM EDT WED AUG 6 2003 ONLY FORECAST CHANGE THIS MORNING IS TO REMOVE MORNING FOG. WITH S/W COMING IN...POPS SEEM VERY REASONABLE WITH LESS OF A CHANCE IN THE NORTH...TO GOOD CHANCE IN THE SOUTH. WIND PROFILES ARE RELATIVELY WEAK COMPARED TO WHAT WE HAVE BEEN EXPERIENCING LATELY AND INSTABILITY IS ALSO NOT TOO IMPRESSIVE TODAY. WHILE NOT ANTICIPATING ANYTHING SEVERE WISE...WILL HAVE TO KEEP HYDRO ON THE MIND...WITH PWS APPROACHING 1.7 INCHES...STORM MOTIONS BELOW 10 KTS AND LIGHT FFG IN MOST PLACES THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. THESE CONCERNS ARE ALREADY SPELLED OUT IN THE HWO. ALL OTHER ELEMENTS ON TRACK AS WELL...SO UPDATE OUT SHORTLY. .JKL...NONE. GEOGERIAN PREVIOUS DISCUSSIONS FOLLOW ==================================================================== 516 AM EDT WED AUG 6 2003 THE MAIN FORECAST ISSUE CONTINUES TO BE POPS...HOW HIGH... WHERE...AND WHEN. THE CONSIDERATIONS FOR THIS ARE SHORTWAVES ROTATING AROUND THE LARGE UPPER LOW...AND AVAILABLE INSTABILITY. MODELS AGREE ON THE NEXT WAVE...CURRENTLY OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...TO ROTATE THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROUGH LATE TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY. MOS FROM VARIOUS MODELS DIFFER ON POPS THOUGH. THE GFS IS MUCH LOWER THAN THE NGM OR ETA...ESPECIALLY TODAY. THINK THAT POPS CLOSER TO THE ETA AND NGM ARE BETTER SUITED. CONSIDERING WE HAD ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS ON TUESDAY WITH A LACK OF UPPER SUPPORT AND A BIT OF A MID LEVEL INVERSION TO OVERCOME...THINK THAT SHOWERS/STORMS SHOULD EASILY BE MORE NUMEROUS TODAY SINCE THERE IS UPPER SUPPORT AS THE NEXT WAVE APPROACHES AND THE MID LEVELS SHOULD BE A LITTLE COOLER LATE TODAY. THE GREATEST INSTABILITY SHOULD BE IN THE SOUTH AND WILL USE HIGH CHANCE POPS THERE. WILL GO WITH LOW CHANCE POPS IN THE FAR NORTH. CONVECTION MAY HOLD OVER INTO THE NIGHT AND WILL CONTINUE THE SAME POPS...BUT MAINLY FOR THE EVENING. THINK THAT THERE WILL BE A DECREASE IN COVERAGE AFTER SUNDOWN. ON THURSDAY THE WAVE STARTS UP THE EASTERN SIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH...WITH THE TROUGH AXIS OVER US. BEST CHANCE AT PRECIP WILL BE IN OUR EASTERN COUNTIES WHERE A LIKELY POP WILL BE USED. MEANWHILE...WILL USE HIGH CHANCE IN THE WEST. FOR TEMPS...THE ETA MOS LOOKS A BIT TOO COOL FOR HIGHS ON THURSDAY. NOT THAT IT CAN NOT VERIFY...SINCE IT WILL DEPEND ON THE EXTENT OF CLOUD COVER AND PRECIP...BUT PREFER NUMBERS AROUND THE NGM AND GFS MOS VALUES. OTHERWISE...GUIDANCE NUMBERS ARE CLUSTERED WITHIN A FEW DEGREES AND WILL FOLLOW THEM. HAL =================================================================== 931 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2003 QUICK UPDATE. GRIDS LOOK GOOD...ONLY A MINOR CHANGE TO MORNING LOW TEMPS. VISIBLE SATELLITE SHOWING CLEARING SKIES...CU DISSIPATING WITH SUNSET. HOWEVER...LEFT SKY ELEMENT IN GRIDS UNTOUCHED AT PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME SCATTERED HIGH LEVEL CI SHOWING ON IR...AND POSSIBLE LOW STATUS WITH ANY MORNING FOG. WITH CLEARING SKIES DECIDED TO DROP TEMPS JUST A DEGREE OR TWO. DEW POINTS IN THE MID 60S NOW ACROSS MOST OF CWA AND WITH LOW TEMPS TYPICALLY HITTING A COUPLE OF DEGREES BELOW THAT...THOUGHT 60 TO 65 RANGE FOR LOWS MIGHT FIT BETTER...ESPECIALLY AS MANY VALLEY LOCATIONS SAW LOWER 60S FOR THEIR LOW TEMPS THIS MORNING. ALSO...SOME VALLEY LOCATIONS ALREADY DOWN TO MID 60S. UPDATE TO ZONES OUT SOON. RAY --------------------------------------------------------------------- 352 PM EDT TUE AUG 5 2003 LOOKS AS IF THE SAME UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BE THE CULPRIT STILL THROUGH THE WEEKEND IN ANY PRECIPITATION CAPERS. TWO SHORTWAVES PROGGED TO ROTATE INTO THE CWA THROUGH SATURDAY...THE FIRST LATE WED INTO THURS...AND THE SECOND FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE WEEKEND...SPECIFICALLY THE FRIDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING TIMEFRAME ACCORDING TO THE GFS...AND THE THURSDAY AFTERNOON TIMEFRAME ACCORDING TO THE META. THANKS TO A SLOW EASTWARD PROGRESSION OF THE LONG WAVE PATTERN OVER THE EASTERN US...THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS WILL HAVE MOVED EASTWARD THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS WELL. THIS FEATURE WILL TEND TO HELP PROGRESS POPS EASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD AS LAYER MOISTURE IS TRAINED EASTWARD WITH IT...LEAVING THE CWA FAIRLY DRY BY LATE IN THE WEEKEND. AS WE APPROACH THE WEEKEND...THE TIMING OF THE LATER SHORTWAVE AND/OR ANY SUBSEQUENT WAVES MAY BE A BIT QUESTIONABLE THANKS TO THE OBVIOUS SMALL-SCALE DEVIATIONS...SO POPS WERE KEPT AT A FAIRLY DIURNAL RATE THROUGH MUCH OF THE LATER HALF OF THE FORECAST. THE HIGHER POPS WILL BE RESERVED FOR THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN SECTIONS OF THE CWA THANKS TO THE AFORE-MENTIONED SHIFT OF MOISTURE. COREY
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-068-069-079-080-083>088-104-106>120-071100- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY 622 AM EDT WED AUG 6 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT...BUT ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. ANY THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE SLOW MOVING...AND AS A RESULT THE STRONGEST AND MOST PERSISTENT STORMS MAY LEAVE BEHIND HEAVY RAINFALL...PRESENTING A RISK OF ISOLATED FLOODING PROBLEMS. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD...WITH THE GREATEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY. ONCE AGAIN...ANY THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY WILL BE SLOW MOVING...POSING A RISK OF ISOLATED FLOODING PROBLEMS. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ARE URGED TO REPORT ANY FLOODING WHICH IS OBSERVED.
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 debris flow. Local standard time, as filed.
A mud slide covered Kentucky Route 197 along Elkhorn Creek near the old Shelby Gap Post Office
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Kentucky in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Kentucky, August 2003
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5333468.