Flash Flooding and Hail in Indiana, May 9, 2003

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
255 AM EDT FRI MAY 9 2003

PRECIPITATION HAS ENDED MOST OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA. WARM FRONT MOVING NORTH OUT OF KENTUCKY INTO INDIANA AND
SOUTHERN OHIO. RADAR SCREEN CLEAR AT THE MOMENT.

STRONG SHORT WAVE OVER NORTHERN PLAINS MOVING NORTHEAST EARLY THIS
FRIDAY MORNING. IN ITS WAKE WILL BE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND
SUMMERLIKE AIR OVER LOWER OHIO VALLEY. WITH FAIR AMOUNT OF SUN TODAY
AND BRISK SOUTHWEST WIND...EXPECT WARMING WELL INTO THE 80S WITH DEW
POINTS NEAR 70 DEGREES. SO DESPITE ABSENCE OF STRONG SHORT WAVES OR
SURFACE FEATURES...MOIST AND VERY UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL PRODUCE
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

NEXT THREAT OF ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER WILL COME AS STRONG TROUGH
EMERGES OUT OF SOUTHWEST UNITED STATES. THIS AND ASSOCIATED JET
ENERGY WILL PUSH COLD FRONT TOWARD AND INTO KENTUCKY SATURDAY
EVENING AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

PASSAGE OF THIS TROUGH INTO GREAT LAKES REGION AND OF THE STRONG
COLD FRONT TO THE EAST AND SOUTH SUNDAY WILL BRING COOLER AND MUCH
DRIER AIR FOR A RUN INTO MIDWEEK.

.LMK...NONE.

REITMEYER

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-101100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1230 PM EDT FRI MAY 9 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH
CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.
A VERY WARM, MOIST, AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS WILL REMAINS OVER THE
OUTLOOK AREA THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS, SOUTH OF A WARM FRONT OVER
INDIANA AND OHIO. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEREFORE
BE POSSIBLE. THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH TONIGHT, WITH LARGE HAIL AND HIGH WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY
THREATS. ALSO, DUE TO THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE IN THE ATMOSPHERE,
ANY STORMS WILL PRODUCE VERY INTENSE RAINFALLS, ALONG WITH DEADLY
LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.
THIS AIRMASS WILL PERSIST INTO SATURDAY, WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
STORMS POSSIBLE. INTO SATURDAY NIGHT, A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH EASTWARD
ACROSS THE REGION. A COMPLEX OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS
LIKELY TO DEVELOP ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS FRONT, AS IT MOVES THROUGH
THE OUTLOOK AREA. THIS HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BE A FAIRLY SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE WEATHER EVENT FOR THE AREA.

A SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST
SATURDAY NIGHT, WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES OF SEVERE WEATHER ALONG AND
NORTH OF THE OHIO RIVER. LARGE HAIL, DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS,
AND POSSIBLY A FEW TORNADOES MAY ACCOMPANY THIS THUNDERSTORM
CLUSTER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTERS AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT ANY
SEVERE WEATHER OR FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
LOUISVILLE. SKYWARN SPOTTERS AND AMATEUR RADIO NETWORKS SHOULD BE
PREPARED FOR ACTIVATION, PARTICULARLY SATURDAY NIGHT.

SMALLCOMB