Flood in Florida, July 1 to 4, 2003

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
900 PM EDT MON JUN 30 2003

SCATTERED STORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA ALONG OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES AND THEN MOVE
NORTHWEST.  THESE SHOULD BE WINDING DOWN OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF
HOURS WITH SKIES GRADUALLY CLEARING OVERNIGHT.  WILL WAIT FOR STORMS
TO DISSIPATE BEFORE UPDATING ZONES TO REMOVE POPS FOR TONIGHT.
OTHERWISE...NO OTHER CHANGES PLANNED.

WINDS OVER COASTAL WATERS GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AT
10 KNOTS.  LATEST RUC INDICATES WINDS BECOMING EAST SOUTHEAST AT 10
TO 15 KNOTS OVERNIGHT AND WILL THEREFORE DROP SCEC ON EVENING UPDATE.
REMAINDER OF MARINE FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK AND NO OTHER MAJOR
CHANGES ANTICIPATED.

LOOKING LIKE TPA WILL END UP WITH THE 6TH WETTEST JUNE SINCE RECORDS
BEGAN IN 1891 AND FMY WITH THE 10TH WETTEST SINCE RECORDS BEGAN IN
1931.  HOWEVER...STILL A FEW SHOWERS AND STORMS AROUND TAMPA BAY AREA
AND WOULDNT TAKE MUCH MORE THAN HALF OF AN INCH AT TPA TO MOVE INTO
3RD PLACE.  FOR THE EXACT NUMBERS CHECK STATEMENT AT THE TOP OF THE
CLIMATE PAGE IN THE CLIMATE TIDBITS SECTION ENTITLED JUNE 2003 - ONE
OF THE WETTEST ON RECORD.

.TBW...NONE.

PRC

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-301400-

WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL FL
600 AM EDT MON JUN 30 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY:

A WARM...MOIST...AND UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT REMAINS OVER THE AREA TO
GENERATE POTENTIALLY STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
DEEP SOUTHEAST FLOW OVER THE AREA WILL KEEP THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE
PINNED NEAR THE COAST DURING AFTERNOON HEATING. STRONGER STORMS MAY
FORM ON LATE DAY BOUNDARY COLLISIONS PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY WINDS...
DANGEROUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY:

THE BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL REMAIN ESTABLISHED OVER THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT EACH
DAY.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW

RD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN  FL
823 PM EDT MON JUN 30 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0705 PM    6 N VERNA                 FL   NON SVR WIND DAMAGE
06/30/03   MANATEE                        HOUSE UNDER CONSTRUCTION
                                          WAS BLOWN DOWN. REPORTED BY
                                          EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

0729 PM    BEVERLY HILLS             FL   45 MPH NON SVR TSTM GUST
06/30/03   CITRUS                         ESTIMATED WIND SPEED. TWO
                                          INCHES OF RAIN IN ONE HOUR.
                                          REPORTED BY TRAINED SKYWARN
                                          SPOTTER.

0735 PM    2 E RUSKIN                FL   48 MPH NON SVR TSTM GUST
06/30/03   HILLSBOROUGH                   ALSO RECEIVED 2.52 INCHES
                                          OF RAIN IN ONE HOUR.
                                          REPORTED AT NWS OFFICE.

NOAH