Arkansas, 2003Tornado and Flash Flood in Arkansas, May 16, 2003
May 16, 2003 · NWS TSA · 4 events in 4 counties and zones
2 thunderstorm wind, 1 tornado, 1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
- Tornadoes
- Tropical storms and surge
- Floods
- Wind
- Hail
- Winter weather
- Heat and drought
- Cold
- Fire, smoke and dust
- Marine and coastal
- Other
Open the live radar over this ground
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $10,000
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 4
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 16, 3:33 PM CST, 12 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 16, 3:33 PM CST, 12 minutes before
MESOSCALE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
433 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003
THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MOVING INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS IS EVOLVING
INTO A LINEAR SYSTEM...WITH REMAINING EMBEDDED MESOCYCLONES.
LOW-LEVEL STORM-RELATIVE HELICITY ANALYSIS SHOWES VALUES MAXIMIZED
ALONG AND NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT THAT IS IN THE ARKANSAS RIVER
VALLEY. VALUES HAVE REACHED 429 M2/S2 IN FORT SMITH. GIVEN THE
CURRENT MORE LINEAR NATURE OF THE STORMS AND THEIR PROXIMITY TO THE
BACKED MID-LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW...THE STORMS SHOULD
CONTINUE IN THEIR CURRENT LINEAR MODE WITH THE THREAT FOR BRIEF
TORNADOES.
THE DRY SLOT AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA HAS RESULTED
IN MORE SUN...WARMING TEMPERATURES AND DESTABILIZING AIR FROM THE
TULSA AREA SOUTH TO WEST OF MCALESTER. CAPE VALUES HAVE RECOVERED
TO AROUND 1000 J/KG AND THIS WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS
DEVELOPING IN THESE AREAS OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO WITH HAIL BEING
THE PRIMARY THREAT.
FORECAST ID= 08
.TSA...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT FOR ZONES ARZ001>002...
ARZ010>011...ARZ019>020.
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT FOR ZONES OKZ054>064...OKZ067>069.
Hazardous weather outlook, May 16, 12:00 PM CST, 3 hours 45 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171100-
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003
THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.
.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT
SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
IN THE WAKE OF STRONG EARLY MORNING STORMS...CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN
BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. A
POTENT UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS DURING THE
AFTERNOON WHILE A SURFACE LOW TRACKS EASTWARD ACROSS OKLAHOMA.
CONVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL INITIATE THUNDERSTORMS BY EARLY
AFTERNOON WHICH WILL QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE.
STORMS PRODUCING TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE MOST LIKELY IN
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS WHERE SHEAR PROFILES ARE
MOST FAVORABLE. ELSEWHERE...BANDS OF SUPERCELLS OR STRONG MULTICELLS
WITH BOWING SEGMENTS WILL BE MOST LIKELY. THESE WILL HAVE THE
POSSIBILITY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS ALONG WITH
LARGE HAIL.
GIVEN THE RAINFALL THIS MORNING AND THE EXPECTED MAGNITUDE OF THE
RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...FLASH FLOODING MAY BECOME A
PROBLEM. A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.
WARNING PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES CAN BE
FOUND IN THE OUTLOOK SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA. GIVEN
PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT
YOUR LOCATION.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WHICH HAS AND WILL PRODUCE STORMINESS WILL
HEAD OFF TO THE EAST OF THE AREA SATURDAY BRINGING AN END TO THE
RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR A DAY OR TWO. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
WILL BRING THUNDERSTORMS BACK INTO THE FORECAST LATE MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT FOR WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY.
.SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA
In the hours before
Local storm report, May 16, 10:12 AM CST, 5 hours 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1112 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003
TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0615 AM PEA RIDGE AR WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 BENTON HUNDREDS OF TREES DOWNED
BLOCKING MANY ROADS AND
HIGHWAYS.
0600 AM CROWDER OK WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 PITTSBURG TREE BLOWN DOWN
0600 AM WESTVILLE OK WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 ADAIR BARN DESTROYED AND TREES
DOWN
0557 AM 1 E GORE OK WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 SEQUOYAH TREE BLOWN ONTO MOONSHINE
ROAD
0550 AM LEE CREEK AR WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 CRAWFORD MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ALONG
HIGHWAY 220
0450 AM MUSKOGEE OK WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 MUSKOGEE TREES BLOWN DOWN
0445 AM CHECOTAH OK WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 MCINTOSH SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS BLOWN
DOWN
0430 AM ONAPA OK WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 MCINTOSH SHINGLES BLOWN OFF AND OUT
BUILDINGS DAMAGED. POWER
LINES AND POWER POLES
DOWNED. MOBLE HOME BLOWN
OFF FOUNDATION.
0400 AM 2 W OKEMAH OK WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 OKFUSKEE TREES DOWN AND OUT
BUILDINGS DAMAGED
0400 AM WELTY OK WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 OKFUSKEE OUT BUILDINGS DESTROYED
AND TREES DOWNED
0355 AM 5 E BIXBY OK 60 MPH TSTORM WIND
05/16/03 TULSA
0300 AM RALSTON OK 60 MPH TSTORM WIND
05/16/03 PAWNEE
XXXSpecial weather statement, May 16, 11:25 AM CST, 4 hours 20 minutes before
OKZ054>072-162300-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1225 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH #392 UNTIL 600
PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 19 COUNTIES...
IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA:
CHEROKEE MUSKOGEE OKFUSKEE
SEQUOYAH
IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA:
ADAIR CRAIG CREEK
DELAWARE MAYES NOWATA
OKMULGEE OSAGE OTTAWA
PAWNEE ROGERS TULSA
WAGONER WASHINGTON
IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA:
MCINTOSH
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BARTLESVILLE...BRISTOW...BROKEN ARROW...
CLAREMORE...EUFAULA...JAY...MIAMI...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...PAWHUSKA...PAWNEE...PRYOR...SALLISAW...SAND SPRINGS...
STILWELL...TAHLEQUAH...TULSA...VINITA AND WAGONER.
Special weather statement, May 16, 11:43 AM CST, 4 hours 2 minutes before
ARZ019>020-029-OKZ049-053-073>076-162300-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1243 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH #393 UNTIL 600
PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES...
IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS:
CRAWFORD
IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS:
FRANKLIN SEBASTIAN
IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES...
IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA:
CHOCTAW HASKELL LATIMER
LE FLORE PITTSBURG PUSHMATAHA
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ANTLERS...CEDARVILLE...CLAYTON...FORT
SMITH...HUGO...MCALESTER...MOUNTAINBURG...NATURAL DAM...OZARK...
POTEAU...STIGLER...VAN BUREN AND WILBURTON.
Local storm report, May 16, 11:48 AM CST, 3 hours 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1248 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003
TIME(CDT) .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
0455 AM 4 E OKAY OK WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 WAGONER
0455 AM BIG CABIN OK WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 CRAIG TREE DAMAGE
0418 AM OOLOGAH OK WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03 ROGERS SEVERAL TREES BLOWN DOWN
SASpecial weather statement, May 16, 2:48 PM CST, 57 minutes before
ARZ001>002-010>011-170247-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
348 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH #395 UNTIL 1000
PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES...
IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS:
BENTON CARROLL MADISON
WASHINGTON
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...EUREKA
SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...HUNTSVILLE...ROGERS...SILOAM SPRINGS AND
SPRINGDALE.
IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA MOVE QUICKLY TO THE
LOWEST FLOOR POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM OUTSIDE WALLS AND WINDOWS.
BASEMENTS AND STORM CELLARS OFFER THE BEST PROTECTION. MOBILE HOMES
SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR NEARBY...MORE SUBSTANTIAL STRUCTURES.
Special weather statement, May 16, 2:48 PM CST, 57 minutes before
ARZ001>002-010>011-170247-
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED WATCH NUMBER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
348 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH #396 UNTIL 1000
PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES...
IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS:
BENTON CARROLL MADISON
WASHINGTON
THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...EUREKA
SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...HUNTSVILLE...ROGERS...SILOAM SPRINGS AND
SPRINGDALE.
IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA MOVE QUICKLY TO THE
LOWEST FLOOR POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM OUTSIDE WALLS AND WINDOWS.
BASEMENTS AND STORM CELLARS OFFER THE BEST PROTECTION. MOBILE HOMES
SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR NEARBY...MORE SUBSTANTIAL STRUCTURES.
Event by event
2 thunderstorm wind, 1 tornado, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.
Tornado, Sebastian
- When
- May 16, 3:45 PM CST to 3:46 PM CST
- Where
- Sebastian County, Jenny Lind
- Rating
- F0
- Path length
- 0.2 mi
- Path width
- 25 yd
- Reported by
- TRAINED SPOTTER
- Coordinates
- 35.250, -94.317
Trained spotters reported a brief tornado touchdown near Jenny Lind. No damage was reported.
Thunderstorm Wind, Franklin
- When
- May 16, 3:51 PM CST
- Where
- Franklin County, 2 mi S of Branch
- Measured
- 61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- POST OFFICE
- Coordinates
- 35.267, -93.950
Thunderstorm winds estimated at 70 miles an hour blew several trees down.
Thunderstorm Wind, Crawford
- When
- May 16, 4:00 PM CST
- Where
- Crawford County, Kibler
- Measured
- 61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust
- Reported by
- LAW ENFORCEMENT
- Coordinates
- 35.433, -94.233
Thunderstorm winds estimated at 70 miles an hour blew several trees down.
Flash Flood, Madison
- When
- May 16, 5:03 PM CST to 6:30 PM CST
- Where
- Madison County, 5 mi S of Witter
- Property damage
- $10,000
- Reported by
- GENERAL PUBLIC
- Coordinates
- 36.011, -93.725 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
Heavy thunderstorm rains caused a rural road to be washed out.
- Tornado
- A violently rotating column of air in contact with the ground and extending from a thunderstorm, filed with its path, width and Fujita or Enhanced Fujita rating from the damage survey.
- Thunderstorm Wind
- Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
- Flash Flood
- Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Tornado and Damaging Winds in Oklahoma, May 16, 20033 injured · $2.4 million · F1 · 35 events
- Tornadoes and Hail in Mississippi, May 16 to 17, 2003$567,000 · F1 · 41 events
- Tornadoes and Flash Flooding in Oklahoma, May 16, 20031 injured · $488,000 · F1 · 26 events
- Flash Flooding in Arkansas, May 16, 2003$3.0 million · 2 events
- Tornado and Flash Flooding in Arkansas, May 16, 2003$382,000 · F1 · 19 events
- Damaging Winds in Arkansas, May 16, 2003$975,000 · 70 kt wind · 12 events
- Flooding in Iowa, May 16 to 24, 2003$1.0 million · 2 events
- Tornado in Arkansas, May 16, 2003F2 · 1 event
- Tornado in Arkansas, May 16, 2003F2 · 1 event
- Tornado in Arkansas, May 16, 2003F2 · 1 event
- Tornado in Arkansas, May 16, 2003F2 · 1 event
- Tornado in Arkansas, May 16, 2003F2 · 1 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5359782, 5359783, 5359784, 5359785.