Arkansas, 2003

Tornado and Flash Flood in Arkansas, May 16, 2003

May 16, 2003 · NWS TSA · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

2 thunderstorm wind, 1 tornado, 1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$10,000
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tulsa, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at May 16, 3:33 PM CST, 12 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 16, 3:33 PM CST, 12 minutes before
MESOSCALE FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OKLAHOMA
433 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003

THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY MOVING INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS IS EVOLVING
INTO A LINEAR SYSTEM...WITH REMAINING EMBEDDED MESOCYCLONES.
LOW-LEVEL STORM-RELATIVE HELICITY ANALYSIS SHOWES VALUES MAXIMIZED
ALONG AND NORTH OF THE WARM FRONT THAT IS IN THE ARKANSAS RIVER
VALLEY.  VALUES HAVE REACHED 429 M2/S2 IN FORT SMITH.  GIVEN THE
CURRENT MORE LINEAR NATURE OF THE STORMS AND THEIR PROXIMITY TO THE
BACKED MID-LEVEL WINDS AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW...THE STORMS SHOULD
CONTINUE IN THEIR CURRENT LINEAR MODE WITH THE THREAT FOR BRIEF
TORNADOES.

THE DRY SLOT AHEAD OF THE UPPER LOW IN CENTRAL OKLAHOMA HAS RESULTED
IN MORE SUN...WARMING TEMPERATURES AND DESTABILIZING AIR FROM THE
TULSA AREA SOUTH TO WEST OF MCALESTER.  CAPE VALUES HAVE RECOVERED
TO AROUND 1000 J/KG AND THIS WILL SUPPORT ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS
DEVELOPING IN THESE AREAS OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO WITH HAIL BEING
THE PRIMARY THREAT.

FORECAST ID= 08

.TSA...
AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT FOR ZONES ARZ001>002...
ARZ010>011...ARZ019>020.

OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT FOR ZONES OKZ054>064...OKZ067>069.
Hazardous weather outlook, May 16, 12:00 PM CST, 3 hours 45 minutes before
ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
100 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...

IN THE WAKE OF STRONG EARLY MORNING STORMS...CONDITIONS WILL AGAIN
BECOME INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. A
POTENT UPPER LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS DURING THE
AFTERNOON WHILE A SURFACE LOW TRACKS EASTWARD ACROSS OKLAHOMA.
CONVERGENCE AHEAD OF THE LOW WILL INITIATE THUNDERSTORMS BY EARLY
AFTERNOON WHICH WILL QUICKLY BECOME SEVERE.

STORMS PRODUCING TORNADOES AND LARGE HAIL WILL BE MOST LIKELY IN
SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND WESTERN ARKANSAS WHERE SHEAR PROFILES ARE
MOST FAVORABLE. ELSEWHERE...BANDS OF SUPERCELLS OR STRONG MULTICELLS
WITH BOWING SEGMENTS WILL BE MOST LIKELY. THESE WILL HAVE THE
POSSIBILITY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WINDS ALONG WITH
LARGE HAIL.

GIVEN THE RAINFALL THIS MORNING AND THE EXPECTED MAGNITUDE OF THE
RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...FLASH FLOODING MAY BECOME A
PROBLEM.  A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THE
ENTIRE FORECAST AREA.

WARNING PROBABILITIES FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND TORNADOES CAN BE
FOUND IN THE OUTLOOK SECTION AT: WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA. GIVEN
PROBABILITIES REPRESENT THE POTENTIAL FOR A WARNING TO BE ISSUED AT
YOUR LOCATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WHICH HAS AND WILL PRODUCE STORMINESS WILL
HEAD OFF TO THE EAST OF THE AREA SATURDAY BRINGING AN END TO THE
RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS FOR A DAY OR TWO.  AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
WILL BRING THUNDERSTORMS BACK INTO THE FORECAST LATE MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY.  HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE FRONT FOR WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER / EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
STORM SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED TONIGHT ACROSS
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA.

ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND AT...
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 16, 10:12 AM CST, 5 hours 33 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1112 AM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0615 AM    PEA RIDGE                 AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03   BENTON                         HUNDREDS OF TREES DOWNED
                                          BLOCKING MANY ROADS AND
                                          HIGHWAYS.

0600 AM    CROWDER                   OK   WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03   PITTSBURG                      TREE BLOWN DOWN

0600 AM    WESTVILLE                 OK   WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03   ADAIR                          BARN DESTROYED AND TREES
                                          DOWN

0557 AM    1 E GORE                  OK   WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03   SEQUOYAH                       TREE BLOWN ONTO MOONSHINE
                                          ROAD

0550 AM    LEE CREEK                 AR   WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03   CRAWFORD                       MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ALONG
                                          HIGHWAY 220

0450 AM    MUSKOGEE                  OK   WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03   MUSKOGEE                       TREES BLOWN DOWN

0445 AM    CHECOTAH                  OK   WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03   MCINTOSH                       SEVERAL LARGE LIMBS BLOWN
                                          DOWN

0430 AM    ONAPA                     OK   WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03   MCINTOSH                       SHINGLES BLOWN OFF AND OUT
                                          BUILDINGS DAMAGED. POWER
                                          LINES AND POWER POLES
                                          DOWNED. MOBLE HOME BLOWN
                                          OFF FOUNDATION.

0400 AM    2 W OKEMAH                OK   WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03   OKFUSKEE                       TREES DOWN AND OUT
                                          BUILDINGS DAMAGED

0400 AM    WELTY                     OK   WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03   OKFUSKEE                       OUT BUILDINGS DESTROYED
                                          AND TREES DOWNED

0355 AM    5 E BIXBY                 OK   60 MPH TSTORM WIND
05/16/03   TULSA

0300 AM    RALSTON                   OK   60 MPH TSTORM WIND
05/16/03   PAWNEE

XXX
Special weather statement, May 16, 11:25 AM CST, 4 hours 20 minutes before
OKZ054>072-162300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1225 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH #392 UNTIL 600
PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 19 COUNTIES...
IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA:

CHEROKEE              MUSKOGEE              OKFUSKEE
SEQUOYAH

IN NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA:

ADAIR                 CRAIG                 CREEK
DELAWARE              MAYES                 NOWATA
OKMULGEE              OSAGE                 OTTAWA
PAWNEE                ROGERS                TULSA
WAGONER               WASHINGTON

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA:

MCINTOSH

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BARTLESVILLE...BRISTOW...BROKEN ARROW...
CLAREMORE...EUFAULA...JAY...MIAMI...MUSKOGEE...NOWATA...OKEMAH...
OKMULGEE...PAWHUSKA...PAWNEE...PRYOR...SALLISAW...SAND SPRINGS...
STILWELL...TAHLEQUAH...TULSA...VINITA AND WAGONER.
Special weather statement, May 16, 11:43 AM CST, 4 hours 2 minutes before
ARZ019>020-029-OKZ049-053-073>076-162300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1243 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH #393 UNTIL 600
PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 3 COUNTIES...
IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS:

CRAWFORD

IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS:

FRANKLIN              SEBASTIAN

IN OKLAHOMA THIS WATCH INCLUDES 6 COUNTIES...
IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA:

CHOCTAW               HASKELL               LATIMER
LE FLORE              PITTSBURG             PUSHMATAHA

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ANTLERS...CEDARVILLE...CLAYTON...FORT
SMITH...HUGO...MCALESTER...MOUNTAINBURG...NATURAL DAM...OZARK...
POTEAU...STIGLER...VAN BUREN AND WILBURTON.
Local storm report, May 16, 11:48 AM CST, 3 hours 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1248 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0455 AM    4 E OKAY                  OK   WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03   WAGONER

0455 AM    BIG CABIN                 OK   WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03   CRAIG                          TREE DAMAGE

0418 AM    OOLOGAH                   OK   WIND DAMAGE
05/16/03   ROGERS                         SEVERAL TREES BLOWN DOWN

SA
Special weather statement, May 16, 2:48 PM CST, 57 minutes before
ARZ001>002-010>011-170247-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
348 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH #395 UNTIL 1000
PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES...
IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS:

BENTON                CARROLL               MADISON
WASHINGTON

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...EUREKA
SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...HUNTSVILLE...ROGERS...SILOAM SPRINGS AND
SPRINGDALE.

IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA MOVE QUICKLY TO THE
LOWEST FLOOR POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM OUTSIDE WALLS AND WINDOWS.
BASEMENTS AND STORM CELLARS OFFER THE BEST PROTECTION. MOBILE HOMES
SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR NEARBY...MORE SUBSTANTIAL STRUCTURES.
Special weather statement, May 16, 2:48 PM CST, 57 minutes before
ARZ001>002-010>011-170247-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED WATCH NUMBER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
348 PM CDT FRI MAY 16 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED TORNADO WATCH #396 UNTIL 1000
PM CDT FRIDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

IN ARKANSAS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 4 COUNTIES...
IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS:

BENTON                CARROLL               MADISON
WASHINGTON

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF BENTONVILLE...BERRYVILLE...EUREKA
SPRINGS...FAYETTEVILLE...HUNTSVILLE...ROGERS...SILOAM SPRINGS AND
SPRINGDALE.

IF A TORNADO WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA MOVE QUICKLY TO THE
LOWEST FLOOR POSSIBLE. STAY AWAY FROM OUTSIDE WALLS AND WINDOWS.
BASEMENTS AND STORM CELLARS OFFER THE BEST PROTECTION. MOBILE HOMES
SHOULD BE ABANDONED FOR NEARBY...MORE SUBSTANTIAL STRUCTURES.

The radar

The Western Arkansas radar (KSRX), 6 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:46 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

2 thunderstorm wind, 1 tornado, 1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Tornado, Sebastian

When
May 16, 3:45 PM CST to 3:46 PM CST
Where
Sebastian County, Jenny Lind
Rating
F0
Path length
0.2 mi
Path width
25 yd
Reported by
TRAINED SPOTTER
Coordinates
35.250, -94.317

Trained spotters reported a brief tornado touchdown near Jenny Lind. No damage was reported.

Thunderstorm Wind, Franklin

When
May 16, 3:51 PM CST
Where
Franklin County, 2 mi S of Branch
Measured
61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
POST OFFICE
Coordinates
35.267, -93.950

Thunderstorm winds estimated at 70 miles an hour blew several trees down.

Thunderstorm Wind, Crawford

When
May 16, 4:00 PM CST
Where
Crawford County, Kibler
Measured
61 kt (70 mph) estimated gust
Reported by
LAW ENFORCEMENT
Coordinates
35.433, -94.233

Thunderstorm winds estimated at 70 miles an hour blew several trees down.

Flash Flood, Madison

When
May 16, 5:03 PM CST to 6:30 PM CST
Where
Madison County, 5 mi S of Witter
Property damage
$10,000
Reported by
GENERAL PUBLIC
Coordinates
36.011, -93.725 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Heavy thunderstorm rains caused a rural road to be washed out.

What these are

Tornado
A violently rotating column of air in contact with the ground and extending from a thunderstorm, filed with its path, width and Fujita or Enhanced Fujita rating from the damage survey.
Thunderstorm Wind
Winds from a thunderstorm of 50 knots (58 mph) or more, or lower winds that caused damage or casualties. Measured gusts are marked MG, estimated EG.
Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arkansas in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyThe tornado archive for Arkansas, 2003Warnings in Arkansas, May 2003

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5359782, 5359783, 5359784, 5359785.