Arizona, 2003

Flash Flood in Arizona, August 26, 2003

August 26, 2003 · NWS FGZ · 1 event in 1 county or zone

1 flash flood, as filed by the National Weather Service.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
1

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Flagstaff, AZ wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Aug 26, 3:10 PM MST, 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 26, 3:10 PM MST, 20 minutes before
NORTHERN ARIZONA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
310 PM MST TUE AUG 26 2003

.SYNOPSIS...HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BRING ABUNDANT MOISTURE
TO THE REGION...RESULTING IN A CONTINUATION OF DAILY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. AN INCREASE IN TROPICAL MOISTURE IS EXPECTED ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THROUGH AT LEAST THURSDAY. A SLIGHT DRYING
TREND IS EXPECTED BY THE WEEKEND.

.DISCUSSION...VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERE PRODUCING LOTS OF FLOODING AND
SOME SEVERE WEATHER. FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE AS IT HAS
VERIFIED ALREADY. MOISTURE STAYS VERY DEEP AT LEAST THROUGH THURSDAY
AND THIS DAILY PATTERN WILL CONTINUE. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT TOO MUCH
MID LEVEL MOISTURE WILL DEVELOP FROM IGNACIO AND SHUT DOWN THE
CONVECTION...BUT EVEN IN THAT SCENARIO...ENOUGH STRATIFORM SHOWERS
WILL STILL VERIFY POPS. EXTENDED PERIOD STILL LOOKS WET...BUT NOT
QUITE AS ACTIVE. POSSIBLE TROUGH DAYS 6 AND 7 COULD REALLY AMPLIFY
ACTIVITY...BUT WE WILL WAIT AND SEE. PETERSON.

.FGZ...FFA AZ ZONES 8/12/15/37/38 UNTIL 10 PM MST.

.CODED TEMPERATURES/POPS FOR SELECTED CITIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA

CITY             TEMPERATURES LO/HI           PROBABILITY OF PRECIP
                 TON WED   THU     FRI        TON WED   THU     FRI
FLAGSTAFF        053/074 052/075 051/077      040 050 040 050 040 040
WINSLOW          062/084 062/086 061/088      030 040 030 030 030 030
PRESCOTT         063/079 062/080 061/082      050 050 050 050 040 040
PAGE             071/090 073/088 072/090      020 030 030 030 020 020
WINDOW ROCK      052/080 053/078 053/080      030 040 040 040 040 030
CANYON DE CHELLY 060/086 061/084 061/086      020 030 030 030 030 020
COTTONWOOD       071/090 070/091 069/093      050 040 040 040 030 030
GRAND CANYON     053/075 052/076 051/078      030 050 040 050 040 040
GREER            050/069 049/070 048/072      040 050 040 050 040 040
HEBER            055/079 054/080 053/082      040 050 040 050 040 040
JACOB LAKE       053/072 052/073 051/075      030 040 040 040 030 030
NAVAJO N.M.      057/080 058/078 058/080      030 040 040 040 040 030
PAYSON           064/083 063/084 062/086      040 040 050 040 040 040
SEDONA           069/087 068/088 067/090      040 040 040 040 030 030
SELIGMAN         056/082 055/083 054/085      050 040 040 040 030 030
SHOW LOW         061/079 060/080 059/082      030 040 030 030 030 030
ST. JOHNS        057/079 057/081 056/083      030 040 030 030 030 030
WUPATKI N.M.     063/086 063/088 062/090      030 040 030 030 030 030
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 26, 9:45 AM MST, 5 hours 45 minutes before
AZZ004>018-037>040-270200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
945 AM MST TUE AUG 26 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR APACHE...COCONINO...NORTHERN
GILA...NAVAJO...AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES IN NORTHERN ARIZONA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR SOUTHERN COCONINO COUNTY AND ALL OF YAVAPAI
COUNTY FROM NOON MST UNTIL 10 PM MST TODAY...

A VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS REMAINS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY.
LIGHT EASTERLY FLOW WILL FAVOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE
HIGH TERRAIN OF CENTRAL ARIZONA BY LATE THIS MORNING. STORMS WILL
DRIFT SLOWLY WESTWARD OFF THE RIM AND INTO PORTIONS OF YAVAPAI AND
GILA COUNTIES LATER THIS AFTERNOON. NORTHEAST AND NORTHERN SECTIONS
OF THE STATE WILL SEE ONLY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE TODAY.

DUE TO THE VERY MOIST ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS...ISOLATED STRONGER
STORMS WILL PRODUCE TORRENTIAL RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. THIS IS MOST
LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF THE MOGOLLON RIM AND IN PORTIONS OF YAVAPAI
COUNTY. SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS MAY LEAD TO SOME FLOODING WITH THE
STRONGEST STORMS TODAY. THESE STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE HAIL AND GUSTY
WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH LABOR DAY

MOISTURE WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE STATE THROUGH THURSDAY. WIDESPREAD
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE WEDNESDAY AND INTO
THURSDAY...BEFORE SLOWLY DECREASING AGAIN BY THE WEEKEND.

FREQUENT HEAVY RAIN MAY WILL MEAN THAT THE FLOODING POTENTIAL WILL
REMAIN AT LEAST MODERATE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEFINITION OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER...A WEATHER EVENT POSING A THREAT
TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 124 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:30 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

1 flash flood. Local standard time, as filed.

Flash Flood, Yavapai

When
August 26, 3:30 PM MST to 5:00 PM MST
Where
Yavapai County, Chino Vly
Reported by
TRAINED SPOTTER
Coordinates
34.600, -112.554 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Homes flooded in the northwest portion of Chino Valley. The water was up to the hood of a jeep that drove through the water.

What these are

Flash Flood
Flooding that begins within six hours of the rain that causes it, or of a dam or levee failure or ice jam release, often with deadly speed.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Arizona in 2003Every state in 2003This day in weather historyWarnings in Arizona, August 2003

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 5374372.