Hail and Damaging Wind in Texas, August 24, 2002

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
230 PM CDT SAT AUG 24 2002

SURFACE WINDS WILL BE RATHER DISORGANIZED THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS A
WEAK FRONT STALLS OVER THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. THE BEST CHANCES OF
PRECIPITATION REMAINS IN THE EASTERN AND NORTHERN SECTIONS. AN UPPER
JET IS PRESENT JUST TO THE NORTHEAST AND COULD ENHANCE STORM
ACTIVITY. ORIENTATION OF THE POPS LOOKS ON TRACK. SEVERAL BOUNDARIES
ARE PRESENT AND ISOLATED ACTIVITY REMAINS A POSSIBILITY IN ALL AREAS.
EDGED TEMPERATURES UP A BIT IN THE SHORT TERM SINCE NOT MUCH CHANGE
IN AIR MASS IS EXPECTED THE NEXT TWO DAYS.

IN THE EXTENDED...TEMPERATURES COULD BE A BIT HIGHER THAN INDICATED
TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK FOR THE PANHANDLES. IT APPEARS THE AREA
WILL BE UNDER A BUILDING RIDGE AT THE TIME. DID NOT TRY TO ADJUST
TEMPERATURES YET BUT IT WILL BE SOMETHING TO WATCH.

FCSTID = 21

AMARILLO    68 96 65 94 /  20 10 20 00
BEAVER      65 90 61 90 /  20 20 20 20
BOISE CITY  61 92 59 92 /  10 20 20 20
BORGER      66 95 62 91 /  20 10 20 10
BOYS RANCH  69 95 65 94 /  10 10 20 00
CANYON      68 96 66 94 /  20 10 20 00
CLARENDON   66 97 65 92 /  20 10 20 10
DALHART     62 92 61 91 /  10 20 20 00
GUYMON      66 90 61 90 /  20 20 20 20
HEREFORD    68 97 66 94 /  10 10 20 00
LIPSCOMB    65 93 61 90 /  20 20 20 20
PAMPA       65 96 63 91 /  20 10 20 10
SHAMROCK    66 97 65 93 /  20 10 20 10
WELLINGTON  67 98 65 94 /  20 10 20 10

.AMA...
TX...NONE.
OK...NONE.

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-242300-

TEXAS/OKLAHOMA PANHANDLES THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AMARILLO TX
115 PM CDT SAT AUG 24 2002

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT ACROSS ALL OF THE OKLAHOMA PANHANDLE AND THE NORTHEAST
HALF OF THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. THE SLIGHT RISK AREA IS GENERALLY ALONG
AND EAST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM KENTON OKLAHOMA TO HEDLEY TEXAS.

A WEAK STATIONARY FRONT EXTENDED FROM SOUTH OF DALHART TO NORTH OF
AMARILLO TO NEAR SHAMROCK. THIS FEATURE IS EXPECTED TO RESUME A SLOW
SOUTHWARD DRIFT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. MEANWHILE...
DAYTIME HEATING AND SUFFICIENT MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN A MODERATELY
UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE LATER THIS AFTERNOON...AND SHOULD RESULT IN THE
DEVELOPMENT OF ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS. MOST OF THE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR ALONG AND NORTH OF THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY.

A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORM WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO
BECOME SEVERE...WITH DAMAGING MICROBURST WINDS AND LARGE HAIL THE
PRIMARY THREATS.

SPOTTER GROUPS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL WITHIN THE SLIGHT
RISK AREA SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR POSSIBLE ACTIVATION LATER THIS
AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

ANDRADE