Damaging Wind in Oklahoma, August 1, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
217 PM CDT THU AUG 1 2002

THE COLD FRONT HAS MADE SUBSTANTIAL PROGRESS THROUGH THE HIGH PLAINS
TODAY. THE MAIN PUSH HAS BEEN THROUGH EASTERN CO INTO NORTHEAST NM
AND THE WESTERN PANHANDLES. THE FRONT SHOULD MOVE INTO THE BODY OF
NORTHWEST OK BEFORE MIDNIGHT WITH A PERIOD OF GUSTY NORTH WINDS AND
DRIER AIR. LOW POPS WILL REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR THE NORTHWEST
TONIGHT AND FRIDAY, ALTHOUGH SUBSIDENCE UNDER THE MID-LEVEL HIGH
WILL BE TOUGH TO BATTLE TO GET STORMS GOING. BUT WITH PRE-FRONTAL
DEWPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE 70S AND A FRONT, I CANT REMOVE THE SLIGHT
CHANCE.

DAYTIME TEMPERATURES WERE LOWERED FOR FRIDAY IN THE EXTREME
NORTHWEST. ALTHOUGH THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AND DISSOLVE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON, THE COLD ADVECTION OVERNIGHT SHOULD ALLOW FOR
DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES ONLY IN THE 80S IN PART OF NORTHWEST OK.

THE HOT AND RAINLESS WEEKEND FORECAST STILL LOOKS GOOD. WITH THE
UPPER RIDGE REMAINING ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS INTO
MID-WEEK, THESE CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WOULD
BE ANY EASTERLY SUB-TROPICAL WAVE THAT MAY GET CAUGHT IN THE EAST
FLOW AROUND THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE HIGH CENTER. HOWEVER, MODEL
UNCERTAINTY WITH THESE WAVES AND THE DISTANT FUTURE TIME PERIOD
INVOLVED DOES NOT INSTILL SUFFICIENT CONFIDENCE IN THIS FORECAST TO
ADD PRECIPITATION NOW.

FCSTID =
OKC   73  97  73  97 /  10  10  10  10
HBR   73  98  73  98 /  10  10  10  10
SPS   74  98  74  99 /  10  10  10  10
GAG   68  92  71  98 /  20  20  10  10
PNC   72  95  73  97 /  20  20  10  10
DUA   74  97  74  97 /  10  10  10  10

.OUN...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.