Damaging Wind in North Carolina, August 24, 2002

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
256 PM EDT SAT AUG 24 2002

REGIONAL 88D LOOPS INDICATE BROKEN DEEP CONVECTION JUST UPSTREAM
OF THE CWFA ATTM. INTO THE EVENING...UVV ALONG AND OUT AHEAD OF
APRCHG S/WV SHOULD BE ABLE TO MAINTAIN CVRG INTO THE NC MTNS WITH
CVRG EAST OF THE MTNS EXPECTED TO BE SCATTERED ACRS NORTHERN NC TO
ISOLATED IN THE UPSTATE.

LATER ON SUNDAY AND ESPECIALLY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...LARGE SCALE LIFT
AND DEEPER RH LOOKS TO INCREASE ACRS THE CWFA IN RESPONSE TO ENERGY
ROTATING AROUND UPPER LOW CLOSING OFF TO OUR WEST AND LLVL FLOW
ASSUMING AN INCREASINGLY UPSLOPE/UPGLIDE COMPONENT WHICH CONTINUES
INTO MONDAY.

FROM DAYS 3 THRU 5...DRY SLOT PROGGED TO PUSH INTO CWFA...
EFFECTIVELY SHIFTING WCB RNFL FURTHER NORTHEAST OF THE CWFA WITH
TIME...BUT BROAD AND DEEP SLY FLOW ALONG FRONT SIDE OF THE SLOWLY
FILLING UPPER LOW TO REMAIN OVER THE CWFA RESULTING IN DAILY CHCS
OF DEEP CONVECTION.

FCSTID = 55
GSP   71  91  70  84 /  30  20  30  50
AND   71  91  70  84 /  30  20  30  50
CLT   71  91  70  84 /  30  20  30  50
HKY   70  89  68  79 /  30  20  30  50
AVL   64  83  63  76 /  30  20  30  50

.GSP...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-250000-

SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
421 PM EDT SAT AUG 24 2002

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING...

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE PIEDMONT MAY INCREASE IN COVERAGE
DURING THE EVENING...WITH A FEW CAUSING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND
LARGE HAIL.

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS MOVING THROUGH THE NORTH CAROLINA MOUNTAINS
LATE THIS AFTERNOON...WILL MOVE EAST OUT INTO THE FOOTHILLS AND
PIEDMONT.  MANY OF THESE STORMS WILL BE STRONG...WITH SMALL TO
MEDIUM SIZE HAIL...AND WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH OR HIGHER.  A FEW OF
THESE STORMS COULD ALSO BECOME SEVERE...WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS.

THE BEST CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL LIKELY BE IN NORTH
CAROLINA...BUT A FEW STORMS COULD DEVELOP IN GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA AS WELL.

INTENSE CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND BRIEF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
SHOWERS WILL ALSO OCCUR.

JONES

NCZ035-036-055>057-066>072-SCZ007-008-242245-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
549 PM EDT SAT AUG 24 2002

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS...

A BROKEN LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...WITH WIND GUSTS ABOVE
40 MPH...WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH INTO THE
NORTH CAROLINA PIEDMONT...AND ADJACENT AREAS OF THE SOUTH
CAROLINA UPSTATE. STORMS EXTENDING FROM AROUND HICKORY SOUTHWEST
TO AROUND HENDERSONVILLE...WILL BE NEAR A SALISBURY TO GASTONIA
TO SPARTANBURG LINE BY 645 PM.

THOSE IN THE PATH OF THESE STORMS...CAN EXPECT LOCALLY STRONG
WIND GUSTS AND POSSIBLY SOME HAIL AS WELL. IN ADDITION...A FEW OF
THESE STORMS HAVE BEEN PRODUCING AN EXCEPTIONAL AMOUNT OF LIGHTNING.